
Orbit: Crypto Community Feed
$CAP is rebounding today, is it time to short now?
$CAP 今天从底部反弹上来了。 我昨天写的文章里讲到了这个,我说要慎重做空,因为可能会在这边磨一磨。 今天我看它反弹了,然后我又去看了一下它数据。 数据其实没有那么支持现在做空,但是我个人最后还是做空了。 —————————————————— 我们看一下它的合约数据。 可以发现,它的合约持仓量在稳步的上涨,多空比在稳步下降。 常看我文章的人应该知道,这说明有资金在做空。 确确实实也是这样的,因为它毕竟反弹上来了嘛。 一般来说,上涨就会吸引很多做空的资金,下跌就会吸引很多做多的资金。 我们再来看一下它近期的合约数据。 可以发现,它的持仓量是呈现一个先下跌后上涨的趋势,多空比是呈现一个先上升后下降的趋势。 目前来看,那持仓量并没有上升到上一次暴跌前的位置,多空比也并没有下降到上一次暴跌前的位置。 我看到这个数据,做空的时候其实是比较犹豫的。 不过,我最后还是做空了。 —————————————————— 我个人认为,目前$CAP 短期应该是见顶或者接近顶部了。 我在$0.05 左右的位置做空的,我认为这个位置应该是短期的高位了。 而且,它从底部到现在也已经翻了三四倍了,涨得已经很多了。
Influential Creator
$OKB is really strong. Last night, $BTC dropped 2 points before the CPI data release, but OKB was basically unaffected and even rose, showing an independent trend.
1. A few days ago, after the non-farm payroll data boosted rate cut expectations, OKB surged 10%. The normal profit-taking correction from the day before yesterday has ended, and judging by the current momentum, it clearly wants to push higher again.
2. From the current perspective, as long as the price doesn't fall below 88, the overall trend remains upward. Moreover, this is an independent trend relying only on the broader market, X Layer, and the OKX ecosystem. Although it will be affected by the CPI data, it has the potential to maintain an independent trend.
3. Friends who haven't bought OKB can consider building some base positions; there will be opportunities to perform. But don't hold too heavy a position. Those who want to accumulate can choose the low points when everyone is panicking. I previously accumulated some OKB by participating in the flash earning event, so now I feel completely at ease. #财报观察员:AI基建财报接力登场
Snapshot at Aug 11, 2026, 14:43
Once $ETH $BTC positions are closed, it's really a struggle to re-enter a second time!
Before closing, seeing the floating profits fluctuate doesn't affect me emotionally, but the moment I close and the profit is in hand, I automatically treat that profit as my own principal.
I don't mind if the profit decreases, but losing principal feels really painful. Even though the amounts are the same, the feelings are completely different.
Mainly, the closing position last night wasn't very good; I closed at 1876, and now the price fluctuations are very small. If it drops below 1876, I don't want to buy back because that would raise my cost basis, so it would have been better not to exit last night.
If it goes above 1876, the highest now is 1881, just 5 points higher, which is too little. I was hoping to catch at least a 10-point move, and there's also the possibility of a pump, but I'm afraid of losing money.
It's so painful; human nature is really greedy and fragile. A rebound to just above 1881 shouldn't be a good thing? It means the upward momentum is weak, which is good for shorting.
The thoughts I had before closing are impossible to follow through immediately after closing 😖 $ETH
Snapshot at Aug 10, 2026, 23:23
$BTC LTF Structure Update 📉
• 4H candle closed below $64.1k, shifting market structure bearish
• Expecting a retest towards $64.5k resistance before a continuation dump to $63.3k (Main Target)
• $63.3k serves as key support watch for TP execution or potential hedge long opportunities back to the $65k Order Block 🎯
Respect the levels 🧠
#Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
Influential Creator
The storage sector now basically has very little volatility, but trading volume still ranks among the top. It feels like Hynix's trend is somewhat similar to SpaceX's before, where after extreme deleveraging ended, both bulls and bears exited, entering a high turnover + low amplitude accumulation phase.
Although the narrative bubble has burst, the fundamentals of Samsung, Hynix, and Micron are indeed solid, especially compared to SpaceX, which has a real profit anchor.
Against the backdrop of AI's rapid development, even if we can't say storage will always be in shortage, demand remains strong, especially for HBM and server DRAM, which are indeed in tight supply. NAND supply might be the first to start improving in the future. So the growth ceiling for the three major memory makers should actually be higher than SanDisk's.
Currently, Hynix's common stock at 1,420,000 KRW/1000 USD seems to have a decent cost-performance ratio, so I opened a long position again to hold some, while ADRs have a premium, and I don't know when they might suddenly be leveled out. Psychologically, shorting ADRs feels more secure than going long, so I first go long on the common stock.
Generally, extreme market conditions last about two weeks, so now positioning for recovery has a much higher success rate than betting on further declines. $SKHYNIX $SNDK
🇺🇸 SPACEX + NVIDIA: $500B AI & ORBITAL DATA CENTERS
SpaceX just kept up a dense Starlink launch cadence (successful from Vandenberg on August 8, targeting Cape Canaveral today), while Starship Flight 14 at the end of August will attempt to catch the Ship with the tower for the first time. The real hot spot is the exclusive partnership with Nvidia for the "Starmind" project – an orbital AI data center using Vera Rubin chips.
At the same time, Nvidia announced a partnership with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs, and KKR to raise over $500 billion in third-party capital, turning "AI Factory Compute" into a long-term investment asset. Robinhood also just reported a record Q2 (revenue +32%, net deposits $22 billion) and continues expanding into crypto and prediction markets
Clear positive impacts: The AI + space narrative is heavily fueled, supporting the $RENDER,$FET, $TAO,$SOL cohort and other AI infrastructure-related tokens. Retail flow via Robinhood could also return to crypto as risk-on sentiment increases.
Negative impacts: SpaceX's massive AI spending is causing stock volatility, which could spill over into the US stock market and create short-term pressure on all risk assets, including $BTC.
My personal view: This is an extremely strong long-term move. AI is no longer just on the ground it's heading into orbit. This narrative is still fresh with massive upside room. I lean toward holding long-term positions rather than short-term trading.
#
Which group do you choose to prioritize tracking this week: $RENDER (AI compute), SOL (ecosystem + retail), or BTC as a safe anchor?
What is your specific reason?
#BTCETHETFFlowsDiverge
#SPCXStarshipDebate
#AIInfraEarningsWatch
Key points: Some thoughts on this altcoin season:
Playing this altcoin cycle with the logic of the last altcoin cycle will inevitably lead to a mental breakdown.
What everyone thinks about the altcoin season:
1. Like the last cycle, all coins rise, whether new or old coins.
2. The increase matches the last cycle's rise; only then is it called a rise, only then is it called an altcoin season.
In fact, many altcoin sectors in this bull market are already relatively large. If you haven't made money, it's because:
1. You missed the rhythm and missed the explosive sectors.
2. You entered late, with a high cost basis.
For example, if you bought wld at 9u or ordi at 70u and call them trash, saying there's no altcoin season, look at how much they've risen from the bottom to the highest point. Why didn't you buy earlier?
The two altcoins above belong to the local hotspot altcoin season.
Those holding onto old coins shouldn't fantasize that all old coins will reach or even break their previous highs; not every coin is inj.
Most old coins have already exited the historical stage, but in the final phase of the bull market, they will still have a spike to show respect to the bull market.
#波动雷达:币种异动观察
$DOS really had a strong move today.
It surged directly from 0.324 to 0.535, up 33 points, and is now pulling back near 0.52. The 24-hour trading volume is 127 million, which is quite substantial. For a new coin on its first day, this performance shows the sentiment is definitely in place.
The background of this coin is actually quite interesting. DAPPOS is a Web3 AI operating system, with its core product called xBubble — you give it a simple prompt, and it automatically helps you generate documents, slides, websites, videos, and such. Essentially, it’s "doing Web3 tasks through chat," which lowers the entry barrier significantly. DOS is its ecosystem token.
The funding background is not weak. In March 2024, it completed a $15.3 million Series A round led by Polychain, with a valuation of $300 million. In July 2023, there was also a $5 million seed round with investments from Sequoia China, IDG, and OKX Ventures. Altogether, it has raised over $20 million, and the shareholder list is quite strong.
Why the surge today?
On August 10, DOS was listed on several exchanges simultaneously — Gate launched spot trading first, Binance Alpha went live, and OKX also listed perpetual contracts. Bitget and BingX followed suit. Within one day, it was listed on five or six platforms, instantly unlocking liquidity. The premium effect typical of new coin launches naturally kicked in. OKX’s contract opened at 20:00 today, priced in USDT, with up to 20x leverage.
Total supply is 1 billion tokens, with an initial circulation of 200 million. In the token allocation, the team and investors together hold 42.5%, all with a 12-month lock-up period. Short-term selling pressure is actually not large, with no major unlocks expected in the coming months.
What exactly is driving this surge?
The Web3 AI narrative has been quite hot recently, combined with listings on five or six exchanges in one day, liquidity premium and narrative premium stacked together, resulting in this market performance. From 0.324 to 0.535, a 65% increase before pulling back — this rise has basically priced in both the "listing expectations" and the "AI narrative" at once.
What’s next depends on whether the product can truly be realized. No matter how strong the narrative is, it still needs actual users and revenue to support it. But at least today’s move was quite decisive, with good volume to match.
My grid orders are still running. $SNDK on the SanDisk side averages over 500 arbitrage trades daily, and profits are slowly coming back. For a newly launched coin like DOS, volatility is indeed high, but I’m not very familiar with this project, so I’m just watching for now, not rushing to act. If there’s a pullback later, I might consider trying a small position. For now, I’ll let the grid run itself; no need to rush.

Snapshot at Aug 11, 2026, 16:14
🚨 DON'T BUY $BTC HERE
First, the market should fill FVG around $70K
Only after that do I expect final dump and BOTTOM formation
My 60-90 day roadmap:
1. Liquidity sweep around $67K + FVG fill at $70K
2. Distribution begins / 7-10 days of sideways chop
3. First sell-off + liquidity sweeps around $61.3k / $57K
4. Dump toward $48K
5. Final bottom test in $42K-$48K zone
Important reminder: once $BTC pushes toward $70K, many ALTs could rally 20-60%
$ETH and $SOL have already shown a solid bounce, but they still have room for more local upside
After that, I expect the drop to begin, because this is another Bull Trap
Many believe bottom is already in, but I think that's a huge mistake
The final sell-off phase before bottom forms is still ahead
REMINDER:
I was one of few who called $BTC's $126K ATH
I was also one of first to call $98K → $60K and $83K → $57K dumps
Most people only find my market calls when it's already too late...
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