Post

疯狂的Jerrick(Trader)
疯狂的Jerrick(Trader)
Show original
我就说为什么比特币跌的这么流畅呢,原来是微策略又连续两周卖币了。 可能也是最近自己的分析疏忽,造成了这么重要的一个信息被我忽视掉了。本来昨天就计划去看看微策略是否有公开最近持仓状态,结果更新的时间到现在为止已经过去了三天。 相信这也能大致解释为什么ETF机构这几天这么不看好比特币。 Strategy上周卖出了1600多枚,几乎与上上周持平。 加上最近几周的数据,相当于最近6周出了两周没动作之外,其他四周都是净卖出的状态。 这和过去市场熟悉的“Strategy 不断融资买 BTC”逻辑出现了一定反差。 如果接下来的一周仍然继续减持 BTC,那这个信号的级别就明显不一样了。 有可能下一波下杀的导火索就是微策略的连续多周的持续减仓策略所导致的市场信心下降到某个临界点所引起的连锁反应。 所以,综合ETF资金和微策略的动作来看,BTC真的没有做多的理由。 还是老实空吧。 反弹就空,感觉现在又多了一层拿住的理由。 以上只是个人分析记录,不作为投资建议。 #7月CPI平稳落地,9月加息预期降温 $BTC
疯狂的Jerrick(Trader)
疯狂的Jerrick(Trader)
In the previous two posts, I already mentioned that BTC is weak. Let me explain why I think it's weak: 1. First, after the CPI was released last night, I clearly felt that BTC could catch up with a rebound: firstly, the recent ETF funds haven't shown much negative feedback; for many days before, there were large net inflows, and only in the last two days has there been some slowdown and net outflow. Secondly, most other major coins have risen stronger than Bitcoin, such as HYPE, BNB, OKB—these platform tokens, I think, should have a driving effect on Bitcoin. But the final result was very poor, with a very smooth decline. 2. From the price action perspective and watching the market: for example, in this chart, you can look at the rebound marked 1 and 2. If you put this on a slightly stronger asset, you would at least see some continuity, but the very next candlestick after these points completely wiped out the previous upward momentum. For the holding experience, it clearly feels like there is no bullish momentum; the bulls seem to be dead. So I have been holding the short positions I opened today. Today I opened two short positions, one on Hynix and one on BTC. Both were opened at the daytime highs today. Relatively speaking, I can hold them to watch the volatility during the US stock market session tonight. Judging from today's performance of the major A-shares, the US tech and semiconductor sectors should see a correction tonight. The above is just my personal trading record and does not constitute investment advice. #7月CPI平稳落地,9月加息预期降温 $BTC

Disclaimer: OKX Orbit content is provided for informational purposes only. Learn more

Replies

No comments yet. Be the first to reply!