夺竿秋

夺竿秋

我很丑但是我很温柔。谢谢回赞

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$CORE The 5 truths the entire network is talking about? The market is all chasing CORE's grand BTCFi narrative and ecological vision, yet deliberately ignoring the project's most critical, rarely publicly discussed underlying truths, which are also the core logic determining the mid-to-long-term trend. First, BTC hashrate is not a security golden ticket. Most mistakenly believe that binding Bitcoin hashrate means top-level security, but in fact, Bitcoin miners only participate in voting weight and will not cover for CORE protocol vulnerabilities. Previous validator reward anomalies and emergency hard forks prove that hashrate is just marketing hype and cannot avoid underlying code risks. Second, ecosystem buybacks remain a blueprint rather than an implemented fact. The official planned SatPay and AMP ecosystem fee buyback mechanisms are currently only at the roadmap stage, with no continuous, stable on-chain buyback cash flow yet. Do not treat this as a normalized buying benefit. Business layouts are about seeking profit opportunities, not equivalent to having achieved self-sustainability. Third, locked tokens delay selling pressure but are not a deflationary benefit. The dual staking model locks a large amount of tokens, but none of the locked tokens are permanently destroyed. When market sentiment improves and ecosystem returns decline in the future, these dormant tokens will be unlocked en masse, posing a potential dumping risk. Fourth, domestic and overseas community narratives are severely fragmented. Domestic hype focuses on hundredfold expectations and ultimate visions; overseas focuses on vulnerability aftermath, governance flaws, institutional access risks, and real ecosystem data, emphasizing risks over fantasies, with a huge cognitive gap. #本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地?
COREUSDTPerp20xBuyOpen position
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+0.00%
Snapshot at Sep 16, 2026, 23:46
夺竿秋
夺竿秋
$BTC on the eve of the FOMC: While the entire market bets on a rate hike, $BTC is betting against the consensus expectations In the early morning of September 17 Beijing time, the Federal Reserve's September FOMC decision was released, marking the biggest recent macro catalyst for BTC. The consensus is almost unanimous now: Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and HSBC have all shifted to expecting a 25 basis point rate hike; among 101 economists surveyed by Reuters, 86 predict a rate hike, with market pricing close to 90%. Once realized, the interest rate will reach 3.75%‑4.00%. Interestingly, the rising expectations are not entirely due to runaway inflation. The rebound in August PPI and CPI, along with rising oil prices and US Treasury yields, are the triggers, but Goldman Sachs points out a reality: to a large extent, the Fed does not want to overturn the fully priced-in market expectations rather than a sudden deterioration in fundamentals. Outside the market, Trump and White House advisors have publicly opposed the rate hike, bringing political battles to the forefront. Many people simply understand: rate hike = bearish for BTC, no rate hike = bullish for BTC, but this year's market has long been more complex. In the short term, BTC is a risk asset; high interest rates raise risk-free returns and squeeze leveraged funds, suppressing it; in the long term, it is "digital gold," betting on the long-term risks to US Treasuries and dollar credit. The same asset with two logics switching at any time is the root cause of BTC's recent repeated volatility and sharp moves up and down. #本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地?
BTCUSDTPerp100xBuyOpen position
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+7.96%
Snapshot at Sep 17, 2026, 00:15
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夺竿秋
$CORE Actual Landing: CORE did not attend any “hype events” today Many people are obsessed with the team flying to conferences daily, taking group photos, and seeking exposure. But the real rhythm in the circle: recently, all external actions of CORE have shifted to low-key business cultivation with zero public hype or inspections. Today, the team did not attend any public summits, did not do any public roadshows, and did not announce any official schedules. All efforts are focused on compliance scenario implementation, overseas payment channel integration, and polishing the SatPay ecosystem closed loop. Previously, inspections were about “raising expectations, creating heat, and telling stories.” Now, inspections are about “patching loopholes, stabilizing compliance, and connecting with real institutional cash flow.” The core task of the project at this stage is very practical: Fix the institutional trust gap caused by early protocol loopholes, open overseas fiat payment channels, and improve real application scenarios for BTCFi. The silent deep cultivation period is the key phase for a project to transition from hype-driven to ecosystem-driven. Not tweeting, not showing schedules, does not mean stagnation; on the contrary, it means no longer relying on hype to pump the price, but accumulating real value through actual implementation.
COREUSDTPerp20xBuyOpen position
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-7.87%
Snapshot at Sep 16, 2026, 23:58
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夺竿秋
$ETH: In the chaos, the thinking actually becomes clearer Falling to around 2389, setting aside all the noise, the market logic becomes simple and straightforward. Technical chart Short-term resistance: 2440‑2480 The previously repeatedly tested lower boundary of the box now turns into strong resistance. As long as there is no volume surge to reclaim this area, every rebound tends to be a repair within the downtrend, not a reversal. The previous high at 2530 has been confirmed as a short-term iron ceiling. ​ - First support: 2370‑2380 This is the critical lifeline for this round of rebound. Today it just touched this sensitive level. Holding it means there is still room for oscillation and game; a decisive break below will directly destroy the rebound structure, with the next target looking toward 2300 or even deeper. ​ - Indicator status The hourly chart shows continuous weakening, with rebound momentum steadily fading. Do not mistake small-scale bottoming signals as buy-the-dip signals. Now is not the time to "buy more as it falls," but to observe whether support can withstand selling pressure. News reality On one side, the CLARITY bill cooling off brings negative sentiment; on the other, the FOMC decision is imminent. Do not expect a single piece of news to immediately save the market. Currently, ETH faces a dual game of technical breakdown risk plus macro uncertainty. The positive news has not materialized yet, while the negative is already priced in. How is the thinking clear? It’s not about being determined to short, nor stubbornly holding to buy the dip.
ETHUSDTPerp100xBuyOpen position
Trade
-12.96%
Snapshot at Sep 16, 2026, 23:25
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夺竿秋
The truth behind $BTC's sharp drop: Who is panicking, who is greedy? A few days ago, when it surged to 79,600, the whole network was saying the bull market is back, everyone was greedy; After a few big bearish candles hit, everywhere were crash talks, and collective panic set in. Before the FOMC decision, this wave of volatile decline has completely exposed the gap between two types of people. Who is panicking? 1. Short-term leveraged traders The market swings sharply up and down, with many chasing highs and short-sellers trying to catch bottoms constantly getting liquidated. As mentioned earlier in live trading, even knowing the risks before the news, they couldn't help but bet early. When the price falls, anxiety maxes out, rushing to cut losses or add positions in panic, the more chaotic it gets, the easier it is to make mistakes. Leverage doesn't create losses but amplifies panic infinitely. 2. New funds chasing highs They rushed in during the 78,000-79,600 "false reversal" wave, missed profits, and got trapped first. When the market weakens slightly, their first reaction isn't to calmly observe support but to worry the big bull market is over. 3. Those driven by emotions They believe all the good news when the candle is green and magnify all the bad news when it's red. US debt, interest rate hikes, regulation, selling pressure—all the negatives flood their minds simultaneously. Much of the panic doesn't come from the market itself but from the overwhelming negative voices in the community. Who is greedy? This greed isn't mindlessly shouting to buy the dip; it's when others are afraid, some are calmly calculating the value of their chips.
BTCUSDTPerp100xBuyOpen position
Trade
-9.79%
Snapshot at Sep 16, 2026, 23:21
夺竿秋
夺竿秋
$BTC 📝|Real Trading Feelings: Clearly Understanding the Volatility, Yet Still Unable to Endure the Torture of False Breakouts Sharing my current position: 4.5x full position long on BTC, opened at 76304, now at 75654, floating loss of 3.86%. Looking back at historical trades is even more painful: I secured a solid 74% profit on a big winning long, but also suffered losses from the high at 79600 where I foolishly hoped for a reversal and kept flipping positions. Many think losses come from wrong directional calls, but that's not entirely true. These past few days have been a typical false breakout market: a surge to 79600 gives you a bull market illusion, then it suddenly crashes down. When you're bullish, it violently spikes down; when bearish, it suddenly shoots up with a strong bullish candle. Even if you have a clear sense of the big picture, holding positions during choppy moves is mentally exhausting with every spike acting like torture. Some real post-trade reflections: 1. The most damaging thing in volatility isn't making wrong calls, but the emotional drain from holding positions Knowing well that volatility expands before FOMC and both bulls and bears get swept, I still entered to speculate. It's not that I don't understand the risks, but I always want to bet on the direction early, unwilling to wait for the event to unfold. Once the idea of short-term bottom fishing takes hold, it's easy to forget "volatility has no bottom, nor top." 2. Winning trades are protected patiently; losing trades mostly come from "unwillingness to accept" losses The historical +74.84% long was closed out bravely when it was good; The losses around 79600 came from refusing to admit "this is not a reversal, but a bull trap" after the market turned. #本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地?
夺竿秋
夺竿秋
$BTC sues before shutdown! Celsius claims $495 million from BitMEX, "312 old case" stirs up the whole scene A major event sealed for 6 years suddenly brought to court, overseas communities wildly sharing: the already bankrupt Celsius officially filed a huge lawsuit 11 days before BitMEX planned to stop trading on September 23. On September 12, BRIC (Blockchain Recovery Investment Coalition) representing Celsius's bankruptcy assets filed a lawsuit against multiple BitMEX operating entities in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of New York. The complaint alleges: during the epic crash on March 12, 2020, known as "312," BitMEX was suspected of fraud, deliberate market manipulation, and improper chained liquidations, causing Celsius to lose 6,360 BTC, valued at approximately $495 million at the time of the lawsuit.
夺竿秋
夺竿秋
$CORE |Opinion of Overseas Influencer Suoha Ge: Why Don't Large Amounts of Tokens Dump All at Once? Overseas influencer Suoha Ge posted a very controversial viewpoint on X, sparking widespread sharing and discussion in the community: Many people just follow hype blindly, but smart people clearly see: with so many tokens released in hand, why not just dump them all at once? Core logic: Once the SatPay bank is established, institutions will fiercely compete for chips. It's hard to support the price if dumping now. If needed later, all chips will be released. Two interpretations from the community 🔵 Bullish perspective (agreeing with Suoha Ge's logic) 1. Chips are strategic reserves, not for immediate liquidation. If a large-scale dump happens now, it will directly crash the market, and they won't get a good price themselves. Waiting for the SatPay new banking product to truly launch, institutional funds to enter, and market support to strengthen is the best window for selling. ​ 2. The imagination space for institutions scrambling for chips. SatPay, as a BTCFi bank-level product, once operational, will attract traditional institutions. Institutions need a large amount of chips; by then, the market will have enough buying power, allowing chips to be released calmly without crashing the price. ​ 3. This is a game strategy: hold now without selling, wait for positive news to materialize, then choose the right time to sell. 🔴 Bearish perspective (questioning this explanation) 1. This is just an idealized script; bank establishment ≠ institutions will definitely scramble for chips. SatPay has compliance risks; whether the product can scale and whether institutions will really enter are all uncertain. #欧易星球
夺竿秋
夺竿秋
$CORE 📝|SatPay Visa Virtual Card, Hot Topic in Overseas Communities Recently, overseas X and YouTube influencers have been collectively discussing the SatPay USD Visa Virtual Card, a crypto-to-fiat spending card launched by the CORE ecosystem. As shown in the image: USD virtual card, card issuance fee 0 USDC, fees deducted from account balance, supports VISA network, usable for both online and offline spending. Two major voices in the overseas community ✅ Bullish perspectives (supporting influencers & users) 1. Practical use case for BTCFi landing CORE has always focused on Bitcoin utility, and the SatPay virtual card is a tangible landing product. Crypto assets can be directly converted into a VISA card for spending, bridging on-chain assets to real-world payments, completing the ecosystem's consumption scenarios, no longer just limited to staking and mining narratives. ​ 2. Zero cost to issue, low threshold No issuance fee; users can convert on-chain assets into a USD virtual card. It can be used for overseas online shopping, subscription services, and online payments, which is very attractive to overseas retail investors. ​ 3. Long-term potential If the product runs stably, it will bring real on-chain user activity and genuine usage demand to CORE, not just speculative trading. OKX Planet
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$CORE 📝|CORE External Network Hot Discussion: Hard Fork Completed, but Community Divisions Continue to Widen The focus of discussions today on overseas X and Reddit is no longer just on the 69 million tokens that flowed out, but more people are debating: Does this emergency hard fork truly solve the problem? Supporters' Views 1. The team completed the emergency hard fork, recovering 186 million excess rewards. The total supply cap of 2.1 billion was not broken, and ordinary users' staked assets were not damaged, which counts as timely damage control. ​ 2. The root cause of the vulnerability was a flaw in the validator reward calculation logic, not a hacker intrusion. It is an internal protocol bug. The project team has engaged the third-party audit firm Halborn for a review audit and will optimize the reward verification rules going forward. ​ 3. They believe the current decline is driven by sentiment. The BTCFi narrative still holds. Once the review report is released, market confidence will gradually recover. Core Criticisms from the Doubters 1. The hard fork only fixes forward issues and does not roll back historical transactions. The 69 million tokens have already flowed out to external wallets and cannot be recovered on-chain. Legal means must be pursued for recovery. These tokens can be dumped on the market at any time, hanging over the market. ​ 2. The community questions governance transparency: How long did the vulnerability lurk? How many nodes participated in the malicious acts? The list of involved validators has not been publicly disclosed, the full review report has been delayed, and many key details remain unclear.