天台少女秋秋
天台少女秋秋
【秋名山AE86俱乐部】我们是失意者联盟，不装大神，不卖财富密码，偶尔聊行情，吹吹牛，更多时候研究：这次又是谁收割了我？ 下方入口👇
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Trader's Human Weaknesses
1. Dreaming of making more profits with high leverage after a small gain is the beginning of bankruptcy. Leverage should only be gradually reduced, never increased. 2. After a few profitable trades, mistakenly believing it’s due to your own prediction skills, mistaking market gifts for ability. 3. After losses, rushing to recover, thinking the next trade will make it all back, starting revenge trading. 4. Reluctant to exit at the take-profit point, or treating the target as a market certainty, ultimately turning floating profits into losses. 5. Even with stop-loss in place, holding on with hope, or constantly moving the stop-loss, turning small losses into big ones. 6. Loosening conditions and trading on feeling after consecutive wins; arbitrarily changing stop-loss and increasing position size after consecutive losses, trying to force a turnaround. 7. Focusing on single trade profits and losses with extreme emotions—pride when winning, frustration when losing—ignoring the overall capital curve. 8. Fear of missing out on the market, rushing in with incomplete signals, trading for the sake of trading. 9. Setting key levels based on shadows on large timeframes, ignoring small timeframe trading ranges, stop-loss stuck at the wick tip, frequently getting stopped out. 10. Unable to endure the boredom of a ranging market, frequently opening positions, using poor risk-reward ratios to gamble. 11. Blaming the market for losses, taking credit for profits, never objectively reviewing each trade. **Supporting Mindset Remedies** - Floating profits are not money; only realized profits count. - Accept predetermined losses; losses are part of trading. - Don’t aim to win every trade, only seek a favorable long-term risk-reward ratio. - After consecutive wins or losses, strictly adhere to original rules; never modify them arbitrarily. - Only trade when complete signals are met,
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Contract liquidation player, recently finally realized that maybe I'm really not suited for trading contracts.
Originally had a good plan: 90% to buy spot, 10% to play contracts.
But after losing heavily on contracts, I started to gradually use the spot funds, and in the end, the 90% spot was also given to the market makers.
Now starting over, continuing to buy BTC spot, slowly recovering, waiting for it to reach 100,000.
Not pretending to be a guru, nor selling any wealth secrets, all experience gained through losses.
If you are also on the road to recovery, let's chat, I will reply to all comments.
-0.96%
Snapshot at Sep 15, 2026, 19:23
$SOL has once again approached the $100 mark.
This rally from the lows looks strong in terms of price, but the trading volume hasn't kept up; the higher it goes, the more the volume shrinks. Looking at price alone, it might seem like the bulls have regained control, but the capital inflow isn't that strong.
Looking at position data, the bulls' share has reached about 67%, and market sentiment is clearly bullish. With price rising and positions highly concentrated, this combination often leads to increased short-term divergence. Once resistance appears above, a squeeze on the longs could come quickly.
$SOL is in a somewhat awkward position right now; $100 is a clear psychological barrier. Whether it can hold above this level depends heavily on subsequent volume and capital support. Relying solely on a volume-shrinking rally raises questions about sustainability.
The Federal Reserve has really taken action this time.
On September 16, the Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate hike, bringing the benchmark interest rate to 3.75%–4.00%, marking the first rate increase in over three years.
For the crypto market, rising interest rates mean a tightening liquidity environment. $BTC is currently still fluctuating around $76,000, and just a few days ago it experienced the shock from the Clear Act vote failing 49 to 50. Short-term sentiment is clearly more cautious than before.
What’s more troublesome is that the market is now facing not just interest rates.
The failure of the Clear Act vote has cooled regulatory expectations for crypto; the Fed’s rate hike adds pressure on risk assets. These two factors combined could significantly amplify the volatility of highly volatile assets like BTC, ETH, and SOL.
Especially $SOL, which once dropped to around $96, the market is now quite sensitive to its support level.
This round of market movement is no longer just about price ups and downs; macro liquidity and regulatory news are simultaneously influencing capital sentiment.
-1.78%
Snapshot at Sep 17, 2026, 09:59
After the interest rate hike was implemented, $BTC, gold, and crude oil began to exhibit three completely different market trends.
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% this time, while signaling the possibility of another rate hike this year. The market is truly digesting not just these 25 basis points, but the subsequent policy trajectory.
BTC is currently around $76,000, having surged to $82,000 in early September, but has since retraced more than 7%. Previously, the U.S. Senate rejected the CLARITY Act by 49 to 50 votes, coupled with rising U.S. Treasury yields, putting pressure on risk assets. The area around $75,000 remains a significant level. If this level does not hold, market sentiment may continue to weaken.
Gold also failed to fully withstand the pressure from rising interest rates, with spot gold falling from around $4,365 to about $4,240. Rising rates and a stronger dollar suppress gold, but central bank gold purchases and geopolitical tensions still provide support, causing noticeable short-term volatility.
Crude oil follows a different logic. Middle East tensions and supply disruptions continue to impact the market, with Brent crude previously reaching around $108. High oil prices, in turn, increase inflationary pressure, complicating the Federal Reserve's future policy space.
Now, these three assets face three different core variables: BTC depends on liquidity and risk appetite, gold depends on real interest rates and safe-haven demand, and crude oil depends on supply and geopolitical situations.
-2.10%
Snapshot at Sep 17, 2026, 07:38
Massive withdrawal of funds from crypto ETFs, are institutions starting to panic?
After the US spot ETF data was released on September 15, the flow of funds clearly changed.
Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a single-day net outflow of about $450 million, the largest single-day outflow since the end of June; Ethereum spot ETFs also had a net outflow of about $142 million.
The day before, the market was still seeing continuous inflows, but on Tuesday there was a sudden collective withdrawal, showing how quickly short-term sentiment can shift. $BTC also came under clear pressure after the failure to advance the clear bill vote, dropping once to around $76,000, while ETH fell to around $2,400.
This ETF fund withdrawal coincided with several overlapping factors: the US interest rate decision, rising Treasury yields, and setbacks in crypto regulatory legislation, making institutions' short-term risk reduction actions quite evident.
If ETF funds continue to flow out consecutively, it is naturally not good news for BTC's attempt to regain upward momentum. The fund flows in the coming days may be more worth watching than single-day price fluctuations.
Interest rate announcement tonight, another storm brewing, can BTC hold up?
Yesterday, the CLARITY Act vote failed by 49 to 50, shaking market sentiment, and $BTC came under pressure as well.
Just digested that news, and today it's the Federal Reserve's turn.
At 2 AM Beijing time on September 17, the Fed will announce its latest interest rate decision. Current market pricing shows about a 92% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike, and about 8% chance of holding rates steady, so purely looking at the rate outcome, the market has already priced in most expectations.
What really deserves attention is the subsequent statement. If Powell signals a tougher stance on inflation and future policy, BTC may continue to face pressure; if the tone is milder than market expectations, risk assets could react positively.
Yesterday was the bill vote, today is the Fed rate decision, BTC is facing back-to-back tests these two days.
Why is the US so bad, releasing an interest rate decision that affects the whole world?
At 2 AM on September 17, the Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest rate decision.
This time, the market is not only watching whether rates will be raised or not, but more importantly, Powell's statements afterward. After the interest rate result is released, the US dollar, US stocks, gold, and the crypto market could all experience significant volatility.
The crypto space has already been unstable recently, with $BTC falling back and major coins under pressure. And just at this moment, the Fed's rate meeting hits, so after 2 AM, there will be another storm.
Tell me loudly, which coin is the CS coin👿
The overall market has been pulling back these days, $BTC, $ETH and other mainstream coins are quite calm, but $ZEC suddenly started doing its own thing.
Today ZEC surged about 6% again, with the price returning to around $1120. It just went through a round of intense volatility, on September 14 it surged more than 9% in a single day, then pulled back yesterday, and today it started pushing up again.
The hardest hit are the short sellers.
Others see the market pulling back and think ZEC is so high it should drop, but just as they set up their short positions, it hits you with a bullish candle.
This market is no longer about following the overall market trend, ZEC has its own ideas.
Moreover, ZEC's trading volume has been consistently high recently, with market participation clearly higher than ordinary altcoins, and its price fluctuations are particularly dramatic.
Which manipulator has been pumping the price all along? 😂
Why has $CL crude oil suddenly surged so strongly this time?
The core reason is the ongoing tension in the Middle East. The market is worried about the impact on crude oil supply and transportation, especially the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz, combined with attacks on Saudi Arabia's east-west oil pipeline and the suspension of loading at Yanbu port, which further amplifies concerns on the supply side.
Affected by these factors, WTI has climbed back above $100, currently around $105, and Brent has also reached about $108. The short-term continuous rise is mainly due to the supply premium caused by geopolitical risks, rather than a sudden surge in demand.
So if CL continues to push above $100, I still prefer to look for short positions after the rally. After all, the current price already includes considerable supply risk, and once the situation eases or supply resumes, the previously built-up risk premium may quickly retreat.
There is a small event in the group these two days, where you can participate by sharing trading cards. After completion, you have a chance to win U card rewards.
This is my first time participating in such an event. The specific rules have been posted in the group announcement. If you're interested, you can check it out.
