
孤星追月
1、长期盈利的模式 80%仓位管理+10%选币种+5%选方向+5%运气 2、唯一领涨领跌的只有BTC 所以,做任何币种都需要关注BTC 的动向 3、2026年6月从1000u到8月最高峰14万u,再到9月爆仓。 根源是仓位过重导致,教训惨痛。所以,任何时候,都不能重仓,哪怕你有100%把握,都需要以防万一。 4、轻仓的好处是可以随时止损及时纠错,不至于伤筋动骨。 5、珍惜手上的每一分钱,积少成多,摒弃暴富心理。 6、祝大家一切都好❤️。
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Buying $BTC at the 84000 level is good for going long; the chance of dropping below 80000 is very low. 82000 and 81000 are key support levels. But don't bet your life on it, set stop losses properly;
$LTC cannot be shorted, cannot be shorted, cannot be shorted, it's a coin with over ten years of history. It is already following its own trend, and it's hard to say how high it can go. With the next rise of BTC, it will also go up.
Saying they will rise doesn't mean there won't be pullbacks; don't blindly dive in and get liquidated by a few points of fluctuation.
For $ZEC, I make no judgment. I have a small short position; what goes too far will reverse. Both BTC and LTC can be halved, and other coins can't escape either. What about BNB? When it reaches a high level, it will fall as it should; you can't just chase highs blindly.
+971.32 USDT
+842.41%Snapshot at 26 Sept 2026, 18:22
Everyone, don't pay attention to the news; it will mislead you.
Whether interest rates rise or not, this or that, by the time you hear the news, it's already worthless.
This is a trillion-level market; ordinary news has no impact on this market. Only sudden events like 9/11 or the Russia-Ukraine war can affect the global economy.
For example, regarding interest rate hikes, do all institutions and companies not have contingency plans? Impossible. Others have already priced in the worst-case scenarios long ago.
Reading more news will increase our knowledge, but if you say you can control a trillion-level market, that's really an exaggeration.
I have always been optimistic about $BTC rising, with volatility within 7%, and it will not break 80,000 again this year.
In the past two days, altcoins that shorted and made money want to close their positions;
Those with losses, when the loss is small, also want to close part of their positions to break even;
You must never have the idea of making big money by holding long-term.
Why????
Just to prevent $BTC's rapid surge from driving a big wave of altcoin rallies.
Repeatedly emphasize, do not only focus on what you bought, you must closely watch BTC movements when trading any coin.
#BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元
Always losing money, what to do?_0926 8:46
Losing money is normal; it depends on how you lose, which determines whether you can make money in the future.
No one in this world can make money from the trading market without paying a penny in tuition fees, not even geniuses.
💌 Always losing, never made a profit
If you haven't even doubled your principal and have already lost everything,
a. It means your trading system has problems and needs to be completely overhauled;
b. Temporarily do not open positions, if you must, open at most 1u without leverage, observe and learn first;
c. Learn to read candlesticks first, do not look at any indicators.
If you haven't made money for several months, half a year, or a year, this market might not be suitable for you, and you should consider quitting.
If you really encounter this situation, the only investment advice is: regularly invest in S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 stop-loss funds. This is the only way you can make money, no other options.
💌 Mostly making money, occasionally liquidated
You have made profits before, even multiplied several times, but eventually got liquidated. This means the trading system is generally fine, the problem lies in position management, requiring more rationality and restraint.
a. Cut margin at least by half, or even more
Previously, a position opened with 20x leverage and 100u, now open at most 50u;
b. Stop loss earlier
Set stop loss closer, for example, if previously set at -100u loss, now change to -50u; and avoid buying impulsively.
💌 Never gamble on luck at any time, it's a guaranteed loss!
Where to buy, where to sell?
If you have 1000u but only buy 1u, does the timing of entry matter?
💌 My view is: you can buy at any position you want.
The key is how much to buy. If the direction is wrong, will you stop loss or add positions to average down?
You need to think these through in advance. If you haven't figured it out, buy less and observe the situation.
💌 Don’t try to predict the high or low points; no one can do that.
If the loss is unbearable, close the position; if the profit is sufficient, close the position.
If you invest 50u and make 100% profit, doubling your money, I think that’s already quite good. Which industry yields 100% profit? You’re better than investment institutions whose annual returns are only about 10%–20%.
💌 Everyone’s situation is different, so take-profit and stop-loss points vary; don’t focus on specific positions.
Those wealthy big players can make money with $BTC fluctuating by 500 dollars. Can ordinary people trade contracts within a 500-dollar fluctuation? No! The scale of capital is different.
Early Morning Thoughts_0925 4:53
Dear friends, Happy Mid-Autumn Festival! ❤️
1. I recommend everyone to at least have a tablet configured, opening 6 to 8 windows to facilitate short-term trading. Don't use Android; its smoothness is not as good as Apple's.
2. I never look at any news-related information.
Here is my understanding: This world is governed by capital controlling everything. The virtual currency market is at the trillion-level scale, and only capital controls the market; the market cannot be determined by news.
Unless there is a sudden disaster like 9/11 or a major unexpected event like the Russia-Ukraine war that impacts the global economy.
3. Why is the US stock market still climbing despite interest rate hikes?
The capital world always has contingency plans; interest rate hikes have long been priced into the stock market.
4. Don't chase highs in the US stock market, and definitely don't short lightly.
AI will remain hot for many years; the bubble phase is far from arriving.
AI-related stocks will all break historical highs, and the volatility range will be very large. Using leverage is not suitable for buying US stocks; once trapped, it may be impossible to get out in the short term, which will be very painful.
Unless you have plenty of money and don't use leverage.
4. Position allocation
Don't put all your eggs in one basket; you can allocate 3 to 5 coins.
If you are used to going long, at least allocate 1 short position and 4 long positions, with at least one in the top 20 by market cap; others can be altcoins. If you prefer shorting, do the opposite.
Why? World-renowned investment companies diversify funds and layout across multiple fields. Fundamentally, it's about risk management.
#BTC冲高回落,市场轮动开始了吗?
Recent Trading Thoughts_0924 19:03
The last sentence of the previous post was: If $BTC is traded short-term, a forced liquidation price at 82000 would be safer.
1. The big picture
Based on BTC holding steady at 80,000 and not quickly breaking 90,000, even if it breaks 90,000, it cannot immediately stabilize at that level (this is my judgment).
Therefore, when BTC reaches a high level, a pullback is inevitable. Short-term long positions should not take profit at 90,000 but can set take profit at 87, 88, or 89 thousand; long-term positions don’t matter as much.
For BTC’s decline, significant resistance will be at 82,000, with 81,000 as the last line of defense. If that breaks, 80,000 will most likely not hold. Once 80,000 fails again, it will return to the 70,000 range, making BTC’s prospects this year bleak. Only 3 months remain until December.
I believe the possibility of $BTC breaking below 80,000 is extremely low. I opened about 100x leverage long positions at an average price of 84,000 with 400 USDT; take profit is set at 88,500 and stop loss at 80,500.
2. How to operate other coins
a. Those who profited from short positions should reduce at least half of their positions or even close them;
b. For coins whose trend differs from BTC, you can continue holding, such as $MUBARAK and one. If the position is heavy, it should also be reduced. There might be a slight rise but not lasting more than 2 hours.
c. Mainly long positions, while managing take profit and stop loss properly.
3. What to do if the direction is uncertain
Trade with the trend on the right side; do not rashly build positions on the left side.
Whether long or short, at least wait for 3 consecutive 15-minute candlesticks in the same direction before taking action.
$BTC $ETH
BTC and ETH always have highly correlated trends, so there's no need to buy both.
The only difference is the magnitude of their price changes; today you might rise more, tomorrow I might rise more.
Whose momentum is stronger? Without a doubt, it's BTC!
Will BTC break its all-time high of 126,000? Most likely yes. Will ETH break 4,900? That's uncertain.
If trading BTC short-term, you definitely shouldn't go long above 87,000; for long-term, it doesn't matter. For short-term, you should go long only around 85,000, with a liquidation price at least at 82,000.
💌 This is how I think: BTC just stabilized at 80,000 and has reached above 85,000. Will it break 90,000 so quickly? I think the probability is very low. If it can't break 90,000, it will definitely pull back from some high point. Even if it breaks 90,000, will it stabilize immediately? The chance is also low.
So no matter how you look at it, a pullback will happen. Pulling back to 85,000 is very normal, going down to 82,000 is not surprising, but it won't reach 81,000. If it does reach 81,000, holding 80,000 will be very difficult, which I think is impossible.
Therefore, for short-term liquidation price, 82,000 is relatively safe.
$MUBARAK live trading share
It's now 12:47
The last 3 fifteen-minute candlesticks are not long enough, and there is almost no upper shadow
Still cannot short