星期天-77

星期天-77

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星期天-77
星期天-77
$SOL surged to 108, confirming the previously mentioned "on-chain governance voting" narrative SOL is currently priced at 108.12, up 0.95% in 24 hours, climbing stepwise from 91.52 to now, surpassing the previously mentioned 105 USD threshold. ChainCatcher previously reported that this rally coincides with Solana's first on-chain binding governance vote conclusion, with traders pricing in supply contraction expectations in advance—SGP-2 doubles the deflation rate from 15% to 30%, and SGP-3 increases the burn amount from 650 to a maximum of 9,000 tokens. Both economic proposals require a two-thirds absolute majority to pass. The technical indicators are full of strong signals: RSI6 is as high as 89.49, KDJ's K value is 87.39, J value 98.68, all lines are overbought; MACD's DIF line at 2.31 is above the DEA line at 1.84, with the histogram continuously expanding, indicating momentum is still growing rather than fading. EMA5/10/20 are in a bullish alignment, with the price running close to the upper band. The voting results are expected to be announced within hours after epoch 1023 ends. If the deflation proposal passes, the expectation of supply contraction will be realized, potentially becoming a catalyst for the next wave of capital inflow; if rejected, there will also be significant short-term profit-taking pressure. #美国核心PCE持平上月,沃什杰克逊霍尔讲话如何定调? #财报观察员:英伟达超预期,软件收入开始兑现 #BTC冲高回落,期权到期放大关口博弈 $BTC
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星期天-77
星期天-77
$BTC officially broke through 80,000, reaching 81,280. The previously mentioned liquidation zone has already been breached. Current price is 80,900.0, up 2.28% in 24 hours, with a high of 81,280.0 and a low of 76,681.1. Starting from the data point at 78,742 yesterday, this wave has truly stood above the 80,000 integer mark. The previously repeatedly mentioned "sell wall near $80,000" and "breaking 80,000 will trigger $1.393 billion short liquidation intensity" clues are now being verified. Technically, it is clearly overheated: RSI6 reached 85.72, KDJ's K value is 76.1, J value 94.7, short-term momentum is very strong, price is running above the BOLL upper band at 80,773.2, indicating a strong overbought state. However, SAR is still supporting below at 78,855.2, indicating no sign of trend weakening. Notably, this breakout did not show a wick followed by an immediate dump back. The price pulled back to around 80,900 and stabilized, indicating this wave is not a simple wick-induced bull trap but has capital absorbing it. According to the previously mentioned HODL15Capital data, there were many sell orders near 80,000 that had been placed for nearly a hundred days. Whether these orders were truly eaten this time is worth further observation. Do you think this time it can push straight to 82,500, the thicker sell wall? #BTC突破80000美元,能否站稳新关口 #美启动对伊经济孤立,油价为何回落? $ETH $SNDK
星期天-77
星期天-77
$BTC surged to 81,520 then fell back to 79,862, still some distance from the 83,000 mentioned by Ali Charts Current price is 79,862.4, up 1.37%, with a high touching 81,520.0, a new high surpassing the previous 80,848, then a bearish candle quickly smashed back below the 80,000 integer level, now consolidating around 79,862. Previously, analyst Ali Charts mentioned that Bitcoin's current trend is forming a fractal structure similar to the end of 2022, corresponding roughly to 83,000 USD. If resistance occurs in that area and a pullback happens, it could form the next important buying opportunity. This surge is still about 8,500 USD short of 83,000, so it hasn't reached that observation window yet, but this rise and fall already shows short-term selling pressure does exist. Technical weakness signals are obvious: KDJ's K value is only 16.34, J value dropped to -2.64, a death cross has appeared; MACD histogram continues to narrow, DIF line is approaching DEA line downward, momentum is rapidly weakening; RSI6 fell to 46.71, close to neutral but slightly weak. If the fractal structure holds, will 83,000 become the next key buying point? Worth continuing to track. Do you think this pullback is a shakeout or a real weakening? For personal opinion only, not investment advice. #沃什今晚亮相杰克逊霍尔,能否明确政策框架? #财报观察员:AI需求从硬件扩散至软件 #BTC冲高回落,期权到期放大关口博弈 $ETH
星期天-77
星期天-77
$BTC surged to 80,799 and then pulled back, stuck at 80,195 continuing to tug-of-war Current price is 80,195.9, up 1.51% in 24 hours, with a high touching 80,799.9, slightly lower than the previously mentioned 80,848 peak, indicating this surge was again suppressed by the same area. The price is now consolidating repeatedly between 80,000 and 80,400. The starting point of this move was 77,554.5, climbing stepwise. Compared to the previously mentioned starting point of 78,200, the pullback low has dipped further, indicating a deeper shakeout during this rally. Technically, KDJ's K value is 57.79 and J value is 48.40, in a neutral to slightly bullish range; RSI lines are all around 58-61, showing mild momentum without overbought pressure; MACD histogram remains positive, with DIF line at 358.8 above DEA line at 346.2. Although the gap is narrowing, overall momentum is still dominated by bulls. This is the second consecutive time near 80,800 that the price has been resisted after surging. As long as it does not break below the super trend line at 78,758.9, this level looks more like strong consolidation rather than a weakening signal. This is just a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. #美国核心PCE持平上月,沃什杰克逊霍尔讲话如何定调? #财报观察员:英伟达超预期,软件收入开始兑现 #BTC冲高回落,期权到期放大关口博弈 $ETH $SOL
星期天-77
星期天-77
$ZEC rebounded to above 800 after bottoming at 751.82, with Grayscale's "undervaluation" assessment supported by the market ZEC is currently priced at 814.86, up 6.10% in 24 hours. It previously corrected from a high of 889.20 down to 751.82, then stabilized and rebounded, now standing back above 800. The recent several hourly candles have consecutively closed bullish. This aligns with Grayscale's assessment from a few days ago—Grayscale Research believes Zcash has financial privacy and resistance to quantum computing risks that Bitcoin lacks, potentially making it more valuable in the AI surveillance era. Grayscale specifically pointed out that although ZEC has risen 19 times in the past year, its market cap is still less than 1% of Bitcoin's, indicating there is still competitive space in the currency-type crypto asset sector. However, Grayscale also cautions that investing in ZEC is high risk; even if it successfully challenges Bitcoin, a straight upward trend is unlikely—this recent move from 889 down to 751 and then back up to 814, with a volatility of nearly 18%, perfectly confirms this warning. Technically, the KDJ J value surged to 107.38, RSI6 is at 78.36, indicating short-term overheating; the MACD DIF line at 2.77 just crossed above the DEA line at -0.02, the histogram turned positive, showing clear momentum recovery. #美国核心PCE持平上月,沃什杰克逊霍尔讲话如何定调? #财报观察员:英伟达超预期,软件收入开始兑现 #BTC冲高回落,期权到期放大关口博弈 $BTC $ETH
星期天-77
星期天-77
$XAUT Gold card at 4644, Goldman Sachs: Oil prices more important than Jackson Hole Current price 4,644.4, up 0.21%, highest touched 4,679.8, surpassing the previous 4,662.5 again, but did not hold steady, retreating to consolidate. Goldman Sachs hedge fund business head Rich Privorotsky's latest view: This week, the importance of oil prices may exceed the Jackson Hole annual meeting. He lists the US sanctions on Iran as the focus, warning that if sanctions directly target Asian refiners, new trade frictions may arise; Nvidia's Wednesday earnings report was called by him a "mixed catalyst." This aligns with the previously mentioned easing of US-Iran tensions, just reminding that the risk has not truly been lifted. Technical aspect: KDJ's K value is 81.5, J value 83.6, RSI three lines around 55, MACD histogram expanding, momentum is strong but not extreme, price stands above the BOLL middle band at 4,627.8, short-term structure still bullish. 4700 has not yet opened, which variable do you think will decide the direction next week first: oil prices or Wash's speech? For personal opinion only, not investment advice. #BTC突破80000美元,能否站稳新关口 #美启动对伊经济孤立,油价为何回落? #Strategy增发扩充现金,BTC配置节奏受关注 $BTC $ETH
星期天-77
星期天-77
$ETH holds steady at 2478, much milder compared to $SOL's sharp plunge from its highs Current price is 2,478.13, down 1.41% in 24 hours, with a high of 2,549.34 and a low of 2,453.52. The current hourly candle shows a small bullish gain of 0.72%. Comparing this to SOL at the same time is interesting—SOL dropped directly from 103.55 to 98, a decline of over 5%, while ETH only retraced from 2,549 to around 2,478, a much shallower pullback. Technically neutral: KDJ's K value is 36.92, J value 43.78, at mid-low levels without extreme overbought or oversold conditions; RSI lines hover around 49-52, indicating a typical indecisive range; MACD histogram has turned green, DIF line at 0.80 just crossed above the DEA line at 4.64 not far below, showing momentum recovery but not fully strong yet. On a longer timeframe, ETH has climbed stepwise from 2,335 to 2,549, then pulled back to the current level. The overall structure is much steadier than SOL's one-sided impulsive surge, representing a typical oscillating upward trend. This aligns with the previously mentioned observation point "whether this ETH cycle can outperform BTC/SOL"—in today's pullback, ETH's resilience is clearly stronger than SOL's, serving as a small validating signal. $BTC #BTC突破80000美元,能否站稳新关口 #美启动对伊经济孤立,油价为何回落?
星期天-77
星期天-77
$SOL surged to 103.55 before dropping back to 98. The previously asked question "Can it reach 110?" seems to require some more waiting. Current price is 98.06, up 1.90% in 24 hours, but today it hit a high of 103.55, pushing even higher than the previously mentioned 102.80, then failed to hold and fell back to the current price, with a volatility of 1.60%. Technically, it has clearly weakened: the K value of KDJ is only 23.03, and the J value has dropped to 15.59, falling quickly from a previous high, a typical high-level death cross; the DIF line of MACD at 0.53 has fallen below the DEA line at 1.02, the histogram turned red, momentum shifted from bullish to bearish; RSI6 is only 37.91, indicating short-term weakness. From a larger timeframe perspective, after bottoming at 87.53, SOL went through a several-day consolidation in the 94-96 range, then broke out with volume to 103.55. The current pullback looks more like a normal profit-taking after a rally, not a trend reversal—the foundation built during the previous consolidation remains intact. As long as it does not break below 94, the probability of resuming the uptrend after consolidation is higher. $BTC $ETH The round number 100 is currently the focus of the tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Do you think SOL can hold above it again? This is just a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. #BTC突破80000美元,能否站稳新关口 #美启动对伊经济孤立,油价为何回落? #Strategy增发扩充现金,BTC配置节奏受关注
星期天-77
星期天-77
SanDisk stock token surged then fell back, chip manufacturer couldn't hold this time $SNDK current price 1,496.86, up 3.58% in 24 hours, but today's candle is down — intraday high reached 1,566.95, then several consecutive bearish candles pushed it back to the current price, a decline of 1.51%. The platform headline bluntly states: "US stock indices diverge, investors await Iran sanctions news, chip manufacturers drag tech sector lower." This is the same main theme as the previously mentioned easing of US-Iran tensions, but this time the trend has changed — market sentiment shifted from "waiting before sanctions news lands" to actual sector pressure, with chip stocks hit first, which aligns with Micron's recent warning about the "memory wall" and tight HBM supply. Technically, KDJ has formed a death cross, K value 43.70 fell below D value 63.25, J value only 4.61; RSI6 is just 32.04, clearly weak; however, MACD histogram is still positive (6.28), just narrowing, not yet bearish. EMA5/10/20 are currently converged around 1,517-1,521, price has broken below this range, short-term weakness. $BTC $ETH Do you think this chip stock correction is a short-term digestion or the start of a trend reversal? For personal opinion only, not investment advice. #BTC突破80000美元,能否站稳新关口 #美启动对伊经济孤立,油价为何回落?
星期天-77
星期天-77
$SOL outperforms the market, rising 5.32% to hit 101, with Circle's issuance as a background factor Current price 101.59, 24-hour increase of 5.32%, highest reached 102.80, lowest 93.26, the gain significantly exceeds BTC (+2.28%) and ETH (+0.95%) in the same period, making it the strongest performer among the three coins in this wave. Market news mentions that Circle issued 500 million USDC on Solana today, which is a routine operation on the stablecoin supply side, usually indicating new funds preparing to enter for long positions or to provide liquidity. This is somewhat related to SOL chain activity and trading depth but does not equate to direct buying pressure, so it should be viewed rationally. Technically, KDJ's K value is 79.66, J value 82.73, RSI6 is as high as 77.83, already entering the overheated zone; MACD's DIFF line at 1.60 is above the DEA line at 1.06, the histogram is positive and expanding, indicating momentum is still strengthening with no signs of bearish divergence. The price is running close to the upper BOLL band at 101.73, with short-term elasticity basically exhausted. Unlike the "steady climb" style of $BTC and $ETH this round, SOL is showing a typical accelerated rally with the steepest slope, representing that among this wave of altcoin funds, SOL has attracted the most incremental inflows. Do you think SOL can break through to near the previous high of 110? #BTC突破80000美元,能否站稳新关口
星期天-77
星期天-77
$ETH rose to 2511, following the same wave of funds as BTC breaking 80,000 Current price 2,511.56, up 0.95% in 24 hours, with a high of 2,533.33 and a low of 2,424.23. Comparing the same time period with BTC, this rally shows ETH moving up together with BTC breaking 80,000, not making a solo move. After consolidating around 2,480, the price has climbed back above the BOLL upper band near 2,519.69. KDJ's K value is 63.32, J value 81.16, RSI6 at 74.49, showing much more restraint in momentum compared to BTC (K76.1, RSI6 85.72). This indicates BTC is the main driver in this joint move, with ETH following the upward trend and not yet entering an extreme overbought zone. Previously mentioned judgments by Yi Lihua and Tom Lee — "ETH's rebound will be greater than BTC's" and "ETH's current trend is a historic-level start signal" — based on this data, there is currently no evidence that ETH is outperforming BTC. Instead, the traditional pattern of BTC leading and ETH following holds. Whether ETH can prove stronger still depends on which has a higher percentage gain in the coming days. Do you think ETH will surpass BTC's gains next? #BTC突破80000美元,能否站稳新关口 #BTC突破80000美元,能否站稳新关口 #Strategy增发扩充现金,BTC配置节奏受关注 $BTC $XAU