
诸葛投研✊
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$OKB current price is 117, having firmly held above the psychological level of 100, now challenging the 115–120 resistance zone. Short-term trend is bullish but the breakout is not yet confirmed.
1. Supply hard cap: In the second half of 2025, OKX will perform a one-time burn of 65.25 million tokens, permanently lock 21 million total supply cap, and cancel minting/burning rights. This scarcity is comparable to BTC and forms the fundamental logic for long-term value reassessment.
2. Traditional capital endorsement: In Q1 2026, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE, parent company of NYSE) will strategically invest in OKX, valuing the transaction at $25 billion and gaining a board seat. This significantly enhances compliance and institutional appeal.
3. Ecosystem implementation: X Layer + Exchange OS are fully exploding, combined with a $1 billion X Layer fund and Circle USDC launch, continuously expanding demand.
4. Technicals: Price has risen over 30% in 30 days, and gained +12% against the market in the past week. It has firmly held above 100, with 95 turning from resistance into support; contract positions and long buying are expanding simultaneously, but 117 is close to a dense upper lock-in zone.
My approach: 117 is at the lower edge of the 115–120 resistance zone, so I won’t chase higher. I will accumulate in batches on pullbacks to 105–110, with a stop loss below 95; if volume breaks above 120, then target above 130. Heavy positions can take profits in batches within 115–120 and keep cash ready for confirmation.
Snapshot at 25 Aug 2026, 14:24
$HYPE is the most attractive token on the market, but near the ATH level, I suggest waiting for a pullback due to fear of heights.
On 8/25, HYPE reported around 80-81 (80.62), just a step away from the ATH at $82.43, with a weekly increase of 40%. The mechanism is solid: Hyperliquid routes transaction fees into the aid fund to support buy orders. In August, volume exploded and fee rates soared, with buy orders covering unlocks.
However, the monthly unlock of about 9.92 million HYPE is a looming threat. RSI is 54.3, and the first wave of short squeeze momentum has already weakened.
Once perpetual volume drops, the buy/unlock ratio worsens, and the retracement happens faster than expected. HYPE is the only one among the 6 tokens with a "mechanical long" strategy, but this mechanism also depends on fee rate conditions.
$SOL is the strongest mainstream coin today—breaking above 100, with a 24h gain of +7.5%, outperforming BTC (+4.6%) and ETH (+1~3.6%), leading the altcoin rally.
On 8/25, SOL reported around 101-102 (intraday high 102, confirmed break above the 100 integer level), 24h +7.5%, weekly gain starting at 25%. The cumulative net inflow of spot SOL ETFs has surpassed $1B, showing real institutional capital coming in; governance proposal SGP-0003 aims to increase daily burn from 650 to 7,500-9,000 tokens (deflation of 12-14 times), and SIMD-0550 plans to double the annual deflation rate—these fundamentals underpin its leadership in the rally.
However, RSI has dropped back to neutral from an overbought 82, indicating the first wave of short squeeze momentum is fading. The 100-102 range is a dense area of previous highs and trapped positions, with upper shadows indicating significant selling pressure.
SOL’s short squeezes are always the strongest but most fragile; leading the rally means that any pullback will see profit-taking hit hardest. Without new catalysts and relying purely on momentum, a pullback is safer than chasing higher.
$ETH is truly strong, but chasing at the 2,500 level is like catching a flying knife.
On 8/25, ETH reported around 2,500+, 24h +1.16%, weekly increase over 30%. ETH ETF weekly net inflow about ~$697M, one of the strongest weeks this year; BlackRock added 6,580 ETH into ETHA.
However, the 24h high was 2,532 and low 2,476, indicating heavy selling pressure above $2,500. Good news turning into bad news, the strongest ETF inflows often mark short-term tops.
Mid-term not broken: price firmly above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, institutional inflows are real. But short-term, focus on cost-effectiveness, not faith.
My approach: don’t stand guard at the top. The market is unpredictable; entering now risks both long and short blowups.
Snapshot at 25 Aug 2026, 11:34
Awesome! $BTC surged to 80,000, thanks to the short sellers' assist!
As I said before, this is a short squeeze market. Once the shorts get caught, there's a high chance it will keep pushing up. (Breaking 86,000 is tough)
But the shorts still rushed out recklessly, so it just keeps going up 😂😂😂
Snapshot at 25 Aug 2026, 09:16
$NES Stop touching it, the project team has already RUGged, it won't rise back!
1. The current price difference between OKX and the neighboring exchange is because OKX has already closed NES deposits and withdrawals, so basically no one is trading, causing this. Those holding spot, run quickly.
2. This kind of complete Rug pull to zero can just be treated as a Meme play. Those who bottom-fished last night took the chips, someone has to pay. Who will buy? In the end, it can only end unresolved PvP.
3. Also, the NES project team’s behavior is a bit ugly; they transferred coins into the exchange and sold them off in the morning, then withdrew liquidity and Rugged in the evening, no pretense at all.
4. It’s still responsible of a big exchange like OKX to have suspended NES deposits early, probably because they detected abnormalities in the project team, very commendable!
Brothers who want to touch it, just treat it as a meme play, don’t expect it to re-anchor
No matter how good an asset is, it becomes a knockoff in the face of high leverage. Even high-quality assets like Apple, Tesla, and Moutai have experienced drawdowns of over 50%.
How can contracts survive this? $SNDK is still more comfortable as spot.

$OKB stands out uniquely, just firmly holding at 114, the valuation re-evaluation logic after ICE's strategic investment is still unfolding.
1. 24h up 4.73%, SMA5 has firmly held the 109, 110 levels.
2. RSI at 77.7, although high, is healthier than BTC and ETH, not yet extremely overbought.
3. ICE invested in OKX with a valuation of $25 billion, a hard cap deflation of 21 million, xStocks ecosystem trading volume growth, fundamentals are solid.
4. Daily trading volume is only $18.72 million, rising on low volume indicates good chip lock-in, with little selling pressure.
My approach: hold above 110, add positions on pullbacks to 107-109. Set stop loss at 103, target 120-130.
Snapshot at 24 Aug 2026, 18:29
$SOL broke through 94, hitting a new phase high, but this rally is more driven by following the trend + narrative push, with no strong independent logic.
1. Up 24.5% in 7 days, SMA5 at 92.42, 94-96 is the previous high resistance zone, yesterday's high was 96.26.
2. RSI at 92.6, overbought in sync with BTC and ETH, so there's considerable pullback pressure.
3. Agave v4.2 upgrade has been implemented, 350ms slot time improves performance; continuous net inflow into ETFs is supportive.
4. Tokenized stocks concept is hot, but whether incremental funds can keep up in the SOL ecosystem still depends on the overall market mood.
My approach: 88-90 is short-term support, reduce positions if it breaks down. Planning to enter around 85, avoid catching a falling knife above 95.
Snapshot at 24 Aug 2026, 18:28
$ETH is even stronger than $BTC, with the price at 2474 almost fully priced in the Fidelity staking benefits, RSI at 95.8, everyone should be cautious of risks.
1. Up 29% in 7 days, SMA5 is around 2409, 2470-2500 is a dense resistance zone.
2. RSI 95.8 is more extreme than BTC; historically, at this level, there is an 80% chance of a quick pullback.
3. Fidelity's application to stake 100% of ETH holdings is a medium to long-term positive, and the ETF net inflow of about $755 million in August is also a fact.
4. The Glamsterdam upgrade expectation landed on 8/20; after all the positive news is out, it turns bearish, and new buying will slow down.
My approach: no chasing in the short term, wait for the 2300-2350 range to consider buying. Those with heavy positions should take profits in batches and keep cash ready for a pullback.
Snapshot at 24 Aug 2026, 18:27