$BTC $ETH $SOL Let's start with the conclusion The bear market is now nearing its end, so even to be cautious, you should build a 30% position Large funds prioritize BTC/ETH/SOL/OKB If you don't have much capital, you can set up some high-quality knockoffs, such as ENA, AAVE, PUMP, and so on Currently, I have activated live contract trading on OK Planet to challenge 1WU trading up to 10 WU. Of course, I don't recommend trading contracts—my large positions are all spot trading. But if you don't open live trading, it's not worth watching. After all, no matter how much talk you have, it's better to trade hands-on I hope you guys can help follow me—I'll definitely be back Let's all get rich together

$BTC It stayed sideways over the weekend with low volume, just waiting for the US stock market on Monday to give a direction. After a surge to 87,400 followed by a pullback, the price has been locked between 83,000 and 85,000. RSI returned to 50, KDJ is neutral in the middle, and MACD bearish bars are shortening, indicating that the buying momentum is fading and active selling is also limited. This is neither a buildup for a breakout nor a trend reversal to bearish, but rather a wait-and-see for new pricing signals from both bulls and bears. ETF net inflows have continued for seven consecutive days, proving institutions are still accumulating; however, the single-day inflow has dropped to about $134 million, which can only support the price but cannot push it to break through for now. The next two days will likely continue to fluctuate, with the real directional choice coming after the US stock market opens on Monday: if it holds above 85,000 with volume, first target 86,000, then test 87,400; if it breaks below 83,000, then retest 81,500 to 82,000. My judgment: short-term slightly bullish, but without breaking 86,000, all upward moves are just range rebounds. On Monday, focus on the Nasdaq and US Treasury yields; whichever breaks the balance first, BTC will follow that direction.

$BTC BTC 1H is currently still in a descending channel, so I’m not guessing the bottom for now. My trading plan: ① 82.8K–83K support Observe first, no bottom fishing directly. If 1H stops falling, forms a higher low, and breaks through the descending trendline, consider going long after a pullback confirmation. ② Long conditions Enter after breakout + pullback confirmation. Stop loss placed below the pullback structure. First target is 88.9K–89K. ③ Breaking support If 1H breaks 82.8K with volume and the rebound fails to recover, do not catch the falling knife. Wait for a pullback confirmation before considering short. I focus more on waiting for the 1H structure to give the answer rather than guessing the direction. Trade when there’s a signal, wait when there isn’t. What do you think?

$BTC The most dangerous thing for BTC right now may not be a drop, but that you think it can't fall anymore. After falling back from above 87,000, BTC has been oscillating repeatedly around 83,000. Let's not rush to judge bullish or bearish here, just look at the positions: If 83,000 holds → The pullback structure remains → Focus on whether it can reclaim 87,000 If 87,000 breaks through → The upper space opens up → 90,000 enters the near-term battle zone If 82,300 breaks down → The pullback deepens → Liquidity around 80,000 may be retested The most important thing now is not to predict whether the next candle will rise or fall, but to wait for the price to reach key levels and then see if it confirms. The biggest fear in trading is not being wrong, but betting prematurely without confirmation.

$ETH Latest $ETH Market Analysis Ethereum has surged strongly this round, reaching a high of 2807, very close to our previous target of 3000. This rally is a strong daily-level surge, so the daily support is crucial for Ethereum at the moment. Key daily support level: 2395 If this level is effectively broken, the probability of further downward continuation will significantly increase. Looking at smaller timeframes: In sync with Bitcoin, the 4-hour level has also entered a key consolidation zone, but Ethereum's overall market is much weaker. Currently, it is very close to the 4-hour short-term support at 2652. If the 4-hour 2652 support fails, the market will most likely fall further to test the strong daily support at 2395. Therefore, Ethereum's market in the next two days is very critical, with focus on the two key watershed levels at 2652 and 2395

$BTC 1. Current operational approach: Before BTC breaks above 87000, the rebound should mainly be approached with a short-selling mindset. I think the weakness is quite obvious, and since it's the weekend, there's no reason for a big V-shaped reversal; that's a bit ridiculous due to insufficient liquidity. In other words, unless it breaks above 87000, go long; otherwise, stick to the short-selling strategy on rebounds. Keep it simple and straightforward, don't complicate things. 2. Market trend forecast: If it falls below 82800 again, then a second wave correction on the weekly level might be coming. At that time, 80000 will definitely be broken, and even 75000 might be breached. After a big correction, the real big opportunity will come. There aren't that many "support-resistance flips". 3. Logical analysis: If it were to rise normally, breaking through around 82800 shouldn't be followed by a pullback to 82800; otherwise, wouldn't the shorts be freed from their positions? That's not how it works. Why not? Because the main players trap you on purpose, why would they help you get out? Do you understand? $BTC

$BTC BTC formed a hammer candlestick this morning, indicating bullish signs for the day. Today is the Mid-Autumn Festival; wishing everyone a happy Mid-Autumn and joyful family reunion; Hong Kong stocks are closed for one day, while US stocks remain open as usual. Yesterday, BTC broke below the 8.37 support but quickly rebounded above it, which is a clear false breakdown designed to trap shorts. BTC is moving in a fluctuating upward structure, possibly touching resistance at 8.52 and facing another pullback, then bottoming and rebounding around 8.37, forming a W double bottom pattern. Looking at volume-price divergence and rising on low volume, liquidity will be scarce during the Asian session holiday today; we will wait for the US market open to see if there will be any volatility. During the Mid-Autumn holiday, cherish the reunion and spend quality time with family; reunion is the most important! $BTC

$BTC From the daily chart perspective, it is currently in the consolidation phase of the right shoulder of the golden pit. The main strategy is to buy on dips. The regular swing low buy points refer to the MA30 range, while the bottom-fishing points refer to around MA250. You can also layout mid-term positions on dips according to your own situation. From the 4H chart perspective, the price has pulled back from a high to the MA30 of this level and has been in a sideways state. There is a clear bullish candle currently, but the overall structure is very confusing and cannot be judged as a direct basis for a rally. Further confirmation of the structure at internal levels is needed. The structure at this level suggests continuing to place sell orders below. From the 1H and lower levels, two obvious consolidation zones have been formed during the session, and the center of gravity shows a clear downward shift. This means a direct rally will face significant resistance. A sustained rally requires a breakout structure for secondary confirmation: although there is a dense support zone below, the current candlestick pattern is bearish, so it is not advisable to place orders at the current price. It is still better to catch rebounds based on different support zones. Aggressive support at 83330-82885 (small range points, watch the market closely for quick in and out, valid for 4H), short-term support at 81898-81347 (watch the market closely for quick in and out), second support at 80089-79205. Short-term resistance at 86073-86774 (support at 853 area after reaching), second resistance at 88253-89011, #BTC

$BTC #BTC is currently in a range with large orders both above and below. $84,700–$85,200 and $87,200–$88,000 are two short-term liquidity magnet zones; the price may first sweep one of these today. On a larger scale, there is $5.2 billion stacked below between $80,000–$85,000, while only $2 billion is above between $87,000–$90,000, so the downside risk is heavier. However, the $84,300 support has not been broken yet, indicating that bulls and bears have not decided the outcome. The operation is simple: hold above $84,700, bias bullish, target $87K+; break below $84,700, bias bearish, target $82K–$83K; break above $88K, target $89K–$90K. Do not take sides prematurely; wait for the price to move first.

$BTC The recent trend for BTC hasn't changed; it's still seen as oscillating. Yesterday, BTC pulled back to 82,800 before bouncing up, indicating support below, but it fell back after hitting resistance at 85,000. It remains within a large range, with resistance above 86,500 and support between 80,000 and 83,000. The shaded area represents resistance and support. Until it firmly breaks above the resistance, there's no rush to consider a new upward trend; likewise, as long as the support below holds, there's no need to be prematurely bearish. After such a significant rise recently, it's unlikely we'll see a big move in the short term; most likely, it will continue to oscillate. The next couple of days are the weekend, typically quiet with little market movement, so it's very likely to keep grinding within the range, with normal spikes up and down. My view is: don't chase gains or sell off in the middle of the range; wait until the price reaches the edges of the range to make decisions.

$BTC After the past four "Xi-Trump meetings," BTC dropped more than 20% within two months each time. Coincidentally, today Bitget was hacked for $350 million. The market hasn't reacted much yet, but based on historical experience, it will start to ferment in the next month. Despite this, I personally think 58K is the bottom for this cycle, for three reasons: 1️⃣ Closed at 86,600 on September 21, the first time breaking the downtrend. 2️⃣ It's been almost a year since the peak; the previous two bear markets lasted 364 days and 378 days from peak to bottom. 3️⃣ CoinKarma's Institutional Liquidity Index (ILI) reached 61.4 on September 23, the highest in a year. The plan is to wait for a pullback, ideally starting to buy at 75,000, which is exactly the 50% retracement level of this rally. But the market changes at any time. You can check the LIQ indicator on CoinKarma, which measures whether the buying or selling pressure is stronger. Since 2019, at the lows of eight major crashes, seven times the LIQ was above 4. When the price rises again, you can look at the ILI at the top: if the price hits a new high but the ILI is lower than the previous high, it means institutional money is not keeping up. Last October, BTC peaked near 125,000, and it signaled the top one day in advance.