分析:以太坊涨势源于空头回补而非看涨情绪

ChainCatcher 消息,据 CoinDesk 报道, CF Benchmarks CEO Sui Chung 分析指出,以太坊近期的价格反弹主要由空头回补驱动,而非市场新增看涨押注。尽管 ETH 价格自 4 月初以来上涨近 90%突破 2,600 美元,但 CME 以太坊期货的一个月年化溢价仍维持在 6%至 10%的低位区间,未能随价格上涨而提升。

Chung 强调:"在更常规的市场环境下,如果交易者以杠杆方式建立新多头头寸,我们预期会看到期货基差水平上升。这提醒我们,并非所有涨势都由新需求推动,有时它们反映的是市场重新定位和风险调整。"

美国上市的现货以太坊 ETF 资金流入乏力进一步佐证了这一观点,过去四周中仅有十个交易日出现净流入,且仅一次超过 1 亿美元。这些市场指标共同表明,当前以太坊价格上涨缺乏新增需求和机构投资者的强劲支持。

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