帖子

PPI game plan — in simple terms: 🟢 Bullish: Core PPI comes in soft and jobless claims rise → yields may fall → BTC could get a relief move higher. 🔴 Bearish: Core PPI ≥ 0.4% while claims remain low → Fed-cut expectations could weaken → BTC/ETH may face selling. 🟡 In line: Expect volatility and possible moves in both directions before a clear trend develops. The important point is reaction, not just the headline number. BTC is already near a key liquidity area, so chasing the first spike after the data can be risky. Levels to watch: BTC around $63K–$64K, with ETH and altcoins likely reacting to BTC's move. For a safer approach, wait for the initial volatility to settle and look for confirmation rather than trying to predict the first candle.