
唐华斑竹
唐华斑竹:著名KOL,区块链研究者,财经学者。 2013年开始加密货币交易,拥有丰富的交易经验,左侧交易者,风格偏稳健,注重强安全边际,坚守既定策略和纪律,追求长期稳定收益和高胜率。 欢迎志同道合的朋友加入一起交流,一起成长!
1.2KFollowing
889followers
Feed
Feed
Liang Wenfeng rumored to have "1.7 trillion liquidation", the truth is more heartbreaking than the rumor
These days, a piece of news has been spreading wildly online: Liang Wenfeng's 1.7 trillion liquidation.
Don't rush to believe it. This number has no official source, and the management scale of Magic Square Quantitative has never reached the trillion level, let alone 1.7 trillion. It seems more like an exaggerated headline that has been repeatedly forwarded.
But the headline is false, the story is true. What really happened is more worth pondering than the rumor.
In July 2026, Liang Wenfeng's old business, the quantitative investment empire, suffered a rare major drawdown. In the same month, his new venture DeepSeek's valuation was heading towards 500 billion.
The quantitative empire collapsed in one month
Let's talk about what really happened.
According to data from Private Placement Ranking Network, as of July 31, 2026, among the 9 displayed products under Liang Wenfeng's Magic Square Quantitative, 8 had negative returns for the year, with only one barely holding a positive return of 0.04%, which is almost negligible.
In July alone, all 9 products dropped more than 20%, with the core product's maximum drawdown reaching 22.15%.
What does this mean? It means if an investor put one million into Magic Square at the beginning of July, by the end of the month, it might only be seventy-something thousand left. In one month, it lost the amount typical of a deep bear market.
More heartbreaking is the time span. Over the past five years, Magic Square Quantitative had an average annualized return exceeding 100%, a godlike existence in the industry. The myth built over five years collapsed in one month, and the profits earned in the first half of the year were all given back in one month.
The AI empire is expanding wildly
In June 2026, DeepSeek completed its first round of external financing since its establishment, raising over 50 billion yuan, with Liang Wenfeng personally contributing 20 billion, making him the largest single investor. Tencent invested 10 billion, CATL system 5 billion, JD.com, NetEase, and IDG each 3 billion, and the national team fund 1 billion. This round of financing set a record in China's AI industry.
In early August, Caijing reported that DeepSeek restarted its second round of financing, planning to raise 50 billion yuan with a pre-investment valuation of about 500 billion yuan, aiming to sign the deal in late August.
On September 9, news came that DeepSeek had hired CITIC Securities to prepare for a STAR Market IPO, planning to start the listing process within the year.
Just a quarter ago, Liang Wenfeng was saying "no financing, no listing," but now financing rounds are coming one after another, and listing is on the agenda. The man who once relied on his own funds to tough it out has finally opened the door to the capital market.
Two legs, one is weakening
Liang Wenfeng's story has always relied on two legs.
One is quantitative. Magic Square Quantitative made huge profits in recent years, and these profits were continuously injected into DeepSeek to buy computing power, support the team, and conduct research. The outside world calls it "quantitative blood transfusion to AI," which was also DeepSeek's biggest confidence to persist without financing.
The other is AI. In January 2025, DeepSeek R1 emerged suddenly, wiping out $589 billion of Nvidia's market value in a single day, shaking Silicon Valley. Since then, DeepSeek became China's AI business card and a target for capital pursuit.
The drawdown in July caused cracks in the first leg. The safety cushion of quantitative blood transfusion is thinning, and the market is starting to ask: how much money does Liang Wenfeng still have, and is it enough to keep burning?
The answer lies in the timeline. While quantitative suffered, DeepSeek's second round of financing started, valuation at 500 billion, IPO preparations followed. This is not a coincidence but an active switch: from relying on his own money to relying on market money.
The most ironic comparison
Putting the two report cards together, the irony is overwhelming.
Among Magic Square's 9 products, 8 lost money this year, all dropped over 20% in July, losing real money and the trust accumulated by countless investors over five years.
On DeepSeek's side, valuation is 500 billion, oversubscribed financing, IPO in queue, and Liang Wenfeng's personal net worth rises with the expansion of the AI empire.
The same account, two ledgers: the money lost in quantitative is earned back in AI's valuation. Retail investors losing money in Magic Square may be, in another form, part of DeepSeek's valuation.
Netizens' jokes are more straightforward: "If you don't make money in A-shares, make money in API; Liang Wenfeng never loses." On August 6, DeepSeek just announced an overall API price increase, charging global developers more "Token tax." While quantitative is bleeding, AI is raising prices, Liang Wenfeng's calculations are sharper than anyone's.
Liang Wenfeng's real trouble
Of course, switching is not without cost.
Financing means dilution, listing means transparency. The Liang Wenfeng who once said "no financing, no roadshows, no listing" will have to accept market pricing, shareholder scrutiny, and quarterly report interrogations once entering the capital market. DeepSeek's past mystery will be thoroughly dismantled by prospectuses and financial reports.
A more realistic problem is that AI is a money-eating beast. Hundreds of billions in computing power investment, doubling team size, continuously rising R&D costs, 50 billion financing sounds scary but may only last a few quarters at AI's burn rate.
Whether the quantitative leg can recover determines if he still has private funds; whether the AI leg can generate its own cash flow determines if he can remain composed in front of the capital market. Liang Wenfeng, with two legs, has never needed to stand firm on both as much as today.
What to watch next
Putting aside the rumor of "1.7 trillion liquidation," there are three real observation points.
Can quantitative stop the bleeding? Whether Magic Square's July drawdown was due to strategy failure or extreme market conditions, and whether net value can recover in August and September, will decide how much strength remains in the old "quantitative blood transfusion" model.
Can financing and IPO land? When will the 50 billion second round financing be officially announced, and whether the STAR Market IPO really starts or remains rumor, once confirmed, DeepSeek's valuation anchor will be officially established.
Can the price increase be accepted? After the API price hike, will developers vote with their feet, will competitors seize the opportunity, this is a direct test of commercialization quality.
From a small-town youth in Zhanjiang, to a quantitative giant, then to the helm of an AI unicorn, every step of Liang Wenfeng has ridden the wave of the times. Now with one leg weak and one strong, he needs to prove not only how valuable AI is but also whether he can manage two empires simultaneously.
Rumors will fade, stories won't. 1.7 trillion is false, but the coexistence of drawdown and valuation in the report card is true.

It's so simple, just ask Mr. Xu, and he will personally answer you. If before making major investments, you had asked Mr. Xu and the active OK brothers and sisters every day more often, it wouldn't have come to this.
1. I don't know this person, nor do I know if he is a former OKX employee.
2. But whether he is a former OKX employee is actually not important. Any former employee of a company, or even unauthorized current employees, cannot represent that company. Please only trust official channels, official accounts, and formal authorizations.
3. The vast majority of high-yield scams exploit human greed. Many times, what you are focused on is the returns promised to you by others, but what scammers are after is your entire principal.
Don't develop unrealistic greed just because you encounter so-called "big shots" or people with "insider status."
Some people become so-called "big shots" not necessarily because of strong abilities, but possibly because they have lower moral boundaries and sharper scythes.
True big shots usually don't mingle in the underworld. You most likely won't easily meet them.
平时聊RWA,大家第一反应都是房子、证券、黄金那些传统资产上链。但DAWN @dawninternet 另辟蹊径——直接把AI算力、无线网络和边缘基础设施产生的现金流打包,代币化之后放到链上。
简单讲就是,你平时看到的宽带节点、算力设备,它们每天实打实在产出收入。DAWN把这些收入变成链上可持有的收益产品。
USD.infra Vault 就是这个思路的落地产品,目标年化 12% 。底层资产直接挂钩支撑AI基础设施的RWA现金流,不是那种靠补贴硬撑的收益,而是网络本身在跑、在赚。
DAWN其实已经铺了很久了。基于Solana做的去中心化宽带网络,美国覆盖超过400万户家庭,加纳也有试点,融了差不多4000多万美金,Polychain、Dragonfly、VanEck都在里面。现在他们把网络建好了,开始做RWA协议——把算力、连接、边缘基础设施的现金流搬到链上。
9月22号下午2点(UTC),Vault正式开。机构也好散户也好,都能参与。
#DAWN #RWA #DePIN #AI基础设施 #Solana
Farewell, dear brother, forever in our memories!
Day 86 of quitting addiction check-in, 14 days left to the 100-day goal ✅
Spent the whole night on the kid's homework
Tired, feel like I won't love anymore 💔
A family of three, three Pokémon card accounts, all advanced trainers
Didn't even get a 30th anniversary shiny future commemorative box
Even more tired, feel like I will never love again 💔
That's it for today 🙏🏻

Yushi Technology, from 444.9 billion to 192.9 billion: a valuation massacre
477 yuan.
This was Yushi Technology's closing price on September 11, with its market value officially falling below 200 billion. Looking back 18 trading days, this "first humanoid robot stock" touched 1100 yuan during the STAR Market's call auction phase, corresponding to a market value of 444.9 billion.
In 18 days, it evaporated over 240 billion, more than halving.
Emotional premium comes fast and goes faster
Yushi Technology's issue price was 150.8 yuan, with an issue P/E ratio of 219 times, while the average P/E ratio of the general equipment manufacturing industry it belongs to is only 38 times. On the first day of listing, it opened directly at 1100 yuan, which means an emotional premium of 629% was added on top of the issue price.
Then what? Big drops, small drops, slow declines, and then big drops again—a textbook "emotional tide retreat." It hardly gave short-term traders a decent escape window.
Growth cliff, profits even more painful
In the first half of 2026, revenue was 1.152 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.54%, which is indeed impressive in traditional manufacturing. But don't forget, its revenue growth in 2025 was 332%. From 332% to 48%, this cliff is too steep.
The profit side is even more awkward—net profit attributable to the parent company was 274 million yuan in the first half, indeed turning profitable, but net profit excluding non-recurring items dropped 19.34% year-on-year. The company said this was due to a sharp increase in R&D and sales expenses, which makes sense, but it also reveals a reality: the gap from humanoid robots "being able to run and jump" to "being able to make money" is a commercialization chasm filled with real money.
What's worse, even after falling to 477 yuan, the TTM P/E ratio is still above 330 times.
Institutional divergence is absurdly large
Nomura's target price is 370 yuan, CCB International only 269 yuan, and CITIC is even harsher, with a reasonable stock price range of 130 to 145 yuan. The price range among these three institutions exceeds 200%.
The core disagreement boils down to one sentence: Is Yushi a "hardware manufacturing company" or an "AI platform enterprise"? Pricing it as the former means a P/E ratio at most twice the industry average; pricing it as the latter means high valuation during loss periods is tolerable, but the premise is that growth must be continuously validated. When growth falls from 332% to 48%, the market naturally leans toward the former.
Small free float becomes an "accelerator"
At the beginning of Yushi's listing, the freely tradable shares were very few, with a large number of pre-IPO shares and strategic placement shares locked up, and the earliest large-scale unlocking not until August 2027. Such a tiny free float amplifies both upward and downward moves. On September 11, the turnover rate reached 85.28%—almost all tradable chips turned over in one day.
It's not just Yushi's problem; the entire sector is clearing out
From early 2026 to early September, the humanoid robot sector index fell 13%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 12 percentage points. The sector's PE percentile has dropped to 0% in nearly a year, reaching the "cheap" range. But between cheap and worth buying, there is still a key variable: the timeline for performance fulfillment.
BOCOM International put it well: the industry's valuation logic is shifting from "technology Beta" to "delivery Alpha." You show technological breakthroughs, but the market no longer pays; you have to present quantifiable orders and replicable delivery capabilities. Yushi's fully autonomous combat technology released on September 7 is indeed impressive, but the stock price still fell the next day.
Policy direction is also changing
The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology signals a focus on core components and embodied intelligence, promoting robot applications in agriculture, medical care, and elderly care. The National Development and Reform Commission clearly states: prevent blind follow-ups and herd behavior.
Translation: industrial support is shifting from "encouraging entry" to "selecting winners." For leading companies like Yushi, this is actually good news—the competitors relying on concept hype will accelerate clearing out.
477 is not the end, but a midpoint
Yushi's CEO himself admits that robots doing simple assembly in their own factory still lag in speed and efficiency. This is honest, but it also means: the "humanoid robot general platform" valued at 444.9 billion yuan by the market is still in the early stage of validation.
The window for concept premium is closing, and the window for performance fulfillment is opening. This transition will not be gentle.

#AI发展焦虑升温,芯片股集体走弱
Unitree Robotics, from 444.9 billion down to 192.9 billion: a valuation massacre
477 yuan.
This was Unitree Robotics' closing price on September 11, with its market value officially falling below 200 billion. Counting back 18 trading days, this "first humanoid robot stock" touched 1100 yuan during the STAR Market's call auction phase, corresponding to a market value of 444.9 billion.
In 18 days, it evaporated over 240 billion, more than halving.
Emotional premium comes fast and goes even faster
Unitree Robotics' issue price was 150.8 yuan, with an issue P/E ratio of 219 times, while the average P/E ratio of the general equipment manufacturing industry it belongs to was only 38 times. On the first day of listing, the opening price directly surged to 1100 yuan, which means an emotional premium of 629% was added on top of the issue price.
Then what? Big drops, small drops, slow declines, and then big drops again—a textbook "emotional retreat." It hardly gave short-term traders a decent escape window.
Growth cliff, profits even more painful
In the first half of 2026, revenue was 1.152 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.54%, which is indeed impressive in traditional manufacturing. But don't forget, its revenue growth rate in 2025 was 332%. From 332% down to 48%, this cliff is too steep.
$UNITREE

安全这件事在比特币生态里越来越不像“找家审计公司出个报告”那么简单。看 GOAT Network 和 ZKM @ProjectZKM 这套组合,会更明白为什么形式化证明、对抗测试、BitVM3 挑战期、抗量子密钥会绑在一起做。
Ziren 这套系统做形式化验证已经超过一年了,在更早的阶段,对抗性模糊测试(adversarial fuzzing)就已经是 Ziren 安全验证流程里的常规环节了。到 Ziren 2.0 阶段,他们进一步引入了 Lean 4 机器可检验证明。这个思路很清晰:审计能发现漏洞,但 Lean 4 能从数学上证明漏洞根本不可能存在。这是两个完全不同的安全等级。
不同的系统需要锁定的属性不一样。如果是隐私协议,零知识性就是核心产品,需要证明的就是这个属性。但如果是像 zkVM 在做比特币桥这种场景,最重要的属性是健全性(soundness):一份不该存在的证明,必须在数学上不可能被构造出来。Ziren 选择在 Lean 4 上死磕健全性,方向选得很准。
审计是找bug,Lean 4 是证明bug不可能存在,这就是区别。Ziren 2.0 把安全保障推到了一个新的层级。Lean 4 给一个已经被大量验证过的系统又加了一层严谨度,这正是 ZK 基础设施需要的工程标准。
GOAT rollup 提款由 Ziren 证明有效,同时在比特币上通过 BitVM3 保持可挑战性,这是整个技术栈安全性的一个基础组成部分。Lean 4 证明加上比特币上的 BitVM3,这个安全门槛放在整个行业里都算相当高的水准。形式化确定性检验、独立审计、对抗性模糊测试、再加上 Lean 4 机器可检验证明,这四道关卡叠在一起,就是 Ziren 安全地位的真正来源。
@GOATNetwork 在安全方面的布局眼光放得很远。一个要用比特币来保障下一代经济网络安全的系统,必须得能扛住量子计算的冲击。他们的验证者共识密钥正在从 secp256k1 迁移到 ML-DSA-65,这是后量子密码学的路线。换句话说,这套网络从设计之初就把量子计算机当成假想敌来对待了。
我觉得一个很明确的行业趋势正在形成:头部项目在安全层面的投入已经从"做一次审计发个报告"进化到了"把形式化验证嵌入整个开发周期"。这种做法前期成本高、周期长,但换来的是从数学层面证明系统的安全性,而不只是"目前没发现问题"。
毕竟在区块链世界,安全就是一切的基础。能够在形式化验证、后量子密码学、比特币层挑战机制这几个维度同时发力的项目,在整个赛道里都具备稀缺性。Ziren 2.0 的 Lean 4 工作、GOAT Network 的量子安全迁移和 BitVM3 集成、以及 Tachyon 在 Zcash 生态的突破,都在说明这个方向上有真实的技术推进在发生,而且推进速度比很多人预期的要快。
#LFGoat #GOATNetwork #AI #BTC #L2 @sophianeverfold

Formal determinism checks, independent audits, adversarial fuzzing, and machine-checked proofs in Lean 4 are how Ziren's security status is earned.
GOAT rollup withdrawals are proven valid by Ziren and held open to challenge on Bitcoin through BitVM3, so this is a fundamental part of stack security.
And the security horizon stretches far beyond today's adversaries. A network built to secure the next economy with Bitcoin has to outlive the quantum computer: validator consensus keys moving from secp256k1 to ML-DSA-65.
The wider research is available at GOAT Research HackMD:


