Crypto_猫哥

Crypto_猫哥

推特同名@Crypto_猫哥 币圈八年老韭菜 擅长抓二级妖币、一级金狗带群友吃了几千X的$Pnut、$Goat 挑战1WU到100WU 点点关注、关注必回

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Crypto_猫哥
Crypto_猫哥
$BTC $ETH $SOL Conclusion first We are currently near the end of the bear market. Even to be cautious, you should build a position of 30% Large funds prioritize BTC/ETH/SOL/OKB If you don't have much capital, you can lay in some quality altcoins like ENA/AAVE/PUMP Currently, I have opened a live contract trading on OK Planet, challenging to turn 10,000 into 100,000. Of course, I don't recommend everyone to trade contracts. My large positions are all spot. But without live trading, it's not as engaging. After all, talking is no match for actual operation I hope brothers can help by following me, I will definitely follow back Let's all get rich together
Crypto_猫哥
Crypto_猫哥
$BTC The July CPI data will be released at 8:30 PM. Unlike last month when oil prices continued to fall, during this statistical period oil prices first dropped and then rose. However, the main rebound in oil prices will be reflected in the August CPI, so this time it is very likely to remain in line with expectations. As of August 10, the Cleveland Fed's forecast is: July CPI month-over-month +0.09%, core CPI +0.21%, year-over-year 3.42% and 2.52% respectively, basically consistent with market expectations. After the data is released, the first thing we need to check is whether the core CPI monthly rate will exceed 0.3%, because the 0.0% core month-over-month in June was an anomaly, and there is a risk of a rebound in July. If the final CPI release meets expectations and remains stable, the impact on the US stock market will be minimal, and stocks will continue to follow their original logic. However, it is still important to note that the June total CPI of -0.4% and core 0.0% data were too abnormal. This month, it is impossible to be better than last month under any circumstances. If this point is used to manipulate public opinion and trigger a sell-off as a false negative, it could actually be an opportunity to buy the dip.
Crypto_猫哥
Crypto_猫哥
$SPCX Yesterday, the core defensive support range was pre-set at 129–130 Last night, the market bottom precisely retested the 130 level, and after stabilizing the support, it immediately launched a counterattack, showing a very solid bullish base The price surged to a high of 140, approaching our first target of 145 infinitely, but after falling slightly for a minor shakeout just before the goal The current pre-market price is 134.7, with very shallow retracement and stable support, representing a standard bullish continuation consolidation pattern Key reminder: At 20:30 tonight, the US CPI data will be released, which will directly impact the opening sentiment of the US stock market Structurally, the price is expected to continue rising to 145 tonight, but the sentiment-driven trend is unpredictable Therefore, the defensive level is lowered to 128-125, which is the 30-minute uptrend support level As long as this structural level is not broken, there is still momentum for further upward movement
Crypto_猫哥
Crypto_猫哥
$SKHYNIX $SNDK $MU The storage sector's second test is complete, is a rebound rally ready to launch? After SK Hynix experienced a volume contraction and dip in recent days, it has now successfully broken through the short-term supply line. From the volume-price structure perspective, the second test is basically complete, and there is a high probability of a significant short-term rebound. The first target is tentatively near the upper boundary of the resistance zone (1.68 million - 2 million KRW). As SK Hynix stops falling and recovers, the linkage effect among the three storage giants becomes prominent: SK Hynix ($SKHYNIX): Second test completed, rebound space opened upward; SanDisk ($SNDK): Expected to move in sync, aiming to challenge the upper boundary of the resistance zone (1325 - 1696); Micron ($MU): Linked rebound, target above 1100.
Crypto_猫哥
Crypto_猫哥
$SNDK $SKHYNIX $MU The decline of Hynix in this wave is basically over. The highest point dropped by 60%. The duration was one and a half months. This one and a half months should also be the worst period in the crypto world, almost catching up with last year's 1011 black swan event. The review is full of lessons learned: at any time, we should be alert to overly anticipated markets and overcrowded trades, as they always result in the opposite in trading. Trading is really not about how impressive the returns are in the short term, but about who lasts longer.
Crypto_猫哥
Crypto_猫哥
$BTC Every 4 years, Bitcoin returns to historically extreme oversold levels. Every 4 years, people also say: This time is different, it will fall even lower. Then, Bitcoin starts a new cycle once again. Now, this indicator has returned close to its historical bottom again.
Crypto_猫哥
Crypto_猫哥
$QQQ $SPCX $BTC The recent surge in the US stock market has option traders chasing aggressively. The S&P 500 rose 5.8% over the four trading days ending August 4. Options activity has also started to accelerate. The S&P 500's one-month average Call/Put Ratio has climbed to 0.9, marking the highest bullish level in at least four years. Short-term options' Call Skew hit a two-year high last week. There's also an unusual situation: On August 4, the S&P rose nearly 2%, but the VIX not only didn't fall, it increased by almost 1 point. Normally, when stocks rise, volatility tends to decline. Now even volatility is being driven up by heavy Call demand. The index looks comfortable, but on the options side, some are already paying higher prices to secure upside exposure.
Crypto_猫哥
Crypto_猫哥
$SNDK Today's Sharp Commentary on SanDisk: $SNDK Yesterday, the overall US stock market declined, but SanDisk remained strong at a high level. Once the daily-level downtrend line is broken, the upside space will open up📈 Key support below: around 1164, this level can be used as a stop-loss point for medium to long-term entry. I tend to enter long positions lightly at market price, then add another position near 1220, with a stop-loss if it breaks below 1164.
Crypto_猫哥
Crypto_猫哥
$BTC What exactly is $BTC trying to do recently? Without a clear structure, it's difficult to gain from either going long or short. In the tweet on July 19, it was mentioned that the first rebound high starting from 57800 would be at 66900, and then on July 21, BTC rose to 66956, confirming this view. It has now been 20 days since 66956; what is Bitcoin doing? The 57800-66956 range is a daily-level uptrend, and from 66956 until now, it has been a correction against this daily-level uptrend. The slow movement is very normal, which exactly confirms our previous view that BTC is already in the main accumulation phase. The longer the horizontal consolidation lasts, the less pain there will be afterward, and each day brings us closer to the end of the bear market. In the video on August 9, the important resistance level at 65400 was mentioned to have exerted force again, so we placed a short position, which is still open. If it cannot break above 65400 this week, the correction will most likely continue.
Crypto_猫哥
Crypto_猫哥
$BTC $ETH $SOL Intraday Market Analysis Good afternoon, brothers. After the market surged, it has fallen back for two consecutive days. The pullback levels I mentioned on Monday have basically been reached, and the other three have also reached their levels. Once the pullback is in place, we just wait for the news release tonight. As long as it doesn't deviate from expectations, the market will continue to rebound and surge, targeting 64500-65300. Breaking through these two targets will lead to a final surge to the 67000 resistance. If there is really major negative news, it might test around 62300 again. The probability of major negative news is 10% according to my prediction. Even if it dips to around 62300 with a wick, just add another long position. ETH After ETH broke 1890, it has also reached the 1850 level. Currently, long positions are not at a loss. Those with heavy positions can reduce a bit to guard against a negative spike near 1820 and can add another long position there. Always ensure your position management. The target is 1900; breaking this resistance could push it up to the 1930-1950 range. As long as it can surge into this range again, the bullish pattern will be restored, and the market will continue to rebound in the next few days, targeting 2000-2100. SOL The levels I gave for SOL are basically the lowest. I gave 75-74, with the lowest at 74.5. Currently, the daily chart shows a rebound pattern. Long positions should defend the 74.5 level; as long as it doesn't break below again, the bullish pattern remains. If negative news occurs, guard against a spike near 72-73 and add another long position. The target is 78-79, and a breakthrough would look toward 83-84
Crypto_猫哥
Crypto_猫哥
$BTC Is tonight's CPI likely to be positive? The highlight tonight is the release of the US July CPI data. On Polymarket, an experienced trader betting on inflation direction predicts that July CPI will be 3.4%, with the market currently assigning about a 39% probability to this outcome. This trader has a historical success rate of nearly 58% on inflation-related trades, making their track record somewhat reliable. Wall Street's view has also emerged: the main driver lowering inflation this time is likely not oil prices or food, but the rent and housing sector. If housing inflation continues to slow down, combined with weak energy prices, CPI is expected to drop further from June's 3.5%. The 3.4% figure is quite delicate: it indicates that inflation is indeed cooling, but it won't fall too sharply.