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$BTC Bitcoin frenzy aftermath! The real test of human nature comes after new highs
This round started from 62508 and surged to 87374, a spectacular rally. While the price kept rising, the feelings inside were conflicted. The higher the market goes, the richer the profits, yet fear grows alongside. Watching the price continuously hit new highs, on one hand enjoying the bull-driven gains, on the other constantly wary of a pullback risk at the top. After a big surge, the market has accumulated a massive amount of profit-taking positions; once funds start cashing out collectively, the correction will be very intense. The current pullback has reached 83926. On the daily chart, after hitting the high, a long upper shadow candle formed, indicating heavy selling pressure above. The bullish major trend is not completely broken yet, the moving average system still points upward; however, the KDJ indicator has turned down from a high level, showing the bullish momentum is no longer as strong as before.
Mentally prepare two plans:
If the bulls regroup and hold above resistance, the price will continue to test new highs;
If selling pressure keeps releasing, respect the correction and avoid stubbornly staying bullish.
At high levels, discipline outweighs prediction. Set trailing stops and take profits in batches. Don’t let unrealized gains slip away back to the market. The market never lacks opportunities; securing realized profits is the key to staying in the game long-term.Sacrificing the queen to protect the rook has never been about conceding defeat; it's about dragging the opponent into an endgame I've already calculated.
In this $ACH game, only 2.12% movement occurred in 24 hours. The seemingly calm Sicilian Defense opening actually conceals an undercurrent. The 1-hour RSI hits 65.1, stepping onto the overbought threshold—this is an impulsive knight jump, a position inflated without piece support. Meanwhile, the daily RSI is only 41.7, indicating the mid-to-long-term board still shows Black's slow pressure. The divergence between these two timeframes is a classic tactical trap: short-term baiting for a rise, long-term denying fulfillment.
More striking is the Bollinger Bands. The short-term price surged to 114% of the band, surpassing the upper band by 0.3%—the piece has moved beyond our territory, without cover. The mid-term only reached 72%, still 1.3% below the upper band, showing the overall structure is not out of control, but the small-scale pattern is overloaded. Every surge is an opponent's baited sacrifice offered to me.
My judgment: this is a critical point transitioning from midgame to endgame; first, defend and counterattack, do not chase highs.
📉 Short:
Entry: Place order 1.8% above current price (let the opponent move first; I wait at the high ground)
Take Profit 1: -4.7% (first layer of exchange, securing initiative)
Take Profit 2: -3.4% (second layer convergence, compressing opponent's space)
Stop Loss: +11.2% (bottom line; if breached, it means I miscalculated the big picture, immediately accept loss and reset)
Entry set 1.8% above current price is not greed but waiting for a worse opponent price. The 11.2% stop loss depth is because the endgame must leave tactical maneuvering room; it can't be overturned by a single check.
Many want to chase after a 2.12% rise in 24 hours. A grandmaster does not chase—I only strike at the 0.3% flaw exposed after the opponent's move, hitting the vital point.
On the board, the winner is not the fastest mover but the last one still calculating. #strategyplaybookWhen everyone is looking up at the tower's pinnacle, the structural engineer is already calculating when it will crack.
The $AAVE building has had 4.68% more bricks added in 24 hours, but the load-bearing walls have started to creak. The current price of $95.24 has been forcibly pushed to 132% of the Bollinger Bands' short cycle — meaning the quote is hanging beyond the upper structural band, with only -1.1% of soil cover thickness left to the upper band, and +4.9% settlement space remaining to the lower band. This is not a skyscraper; it's scaffolding.
The RSI short cycle reading is 70.4, with the overbought zone flashing red, while the long cycle at 55.9 remains at a mediocre level — a mismatch of stress typical of a dangerous building profile where luxury upper floors are added without foundation piling.
My construction log is clear: the entry point is set at $97.99, 2.9% above the current price to execute. Why? Because I need to wait for the last batch of high-chasing construction teams to pour the floor slab to the limit before I can short from the high opposite side. Target one is $87.10, a retracement of 8.5%, just hitting the concrete foundation of the previous box; target two is $90.03, a 5.5% retracement, corresponding to the first structural expansion joint.
📉 Short:
Entry: 97.99 (current price +2.9%)
Take Profit 1: 87.10 (-8.5%)
Take Profit 2: 90.03 (-5.5%)
Stop Loss: 109.29 (+14.8%)
Why set the stop loss so far? Because if this building can really withstand a 14.8% upward explosion, it means there is an unknown pile foundation beneath — in that case, I must unconditionally exit and admit the blueprint was wrong.
The underlying protocol design of $AAVE is sound; the lending pool's load-bearing structure is considered shear wall level in the DeFi circle. But a good blueprint doesn't mean this floor isn't overloaded. The Bollinger Bands mid-cycle position is 66%, with only 2.8% clearance between upper and lower bands — the space is compressed to the thickness of civil defense engineering. The next move is either a breakout upward or a collapse downward, and the overbought signal tells me cracks will start from the top.
Those chasing at this price are like owners adding sunrooms on the top floor without adding ring beams. When inspected, the floor slab will speak for them.#StablecoinRulesAdvance Stablecoins are starting to look less like crypto products and more like financial infrastructure 👀
The Fed is seeking input on reserve, capital, custody and risk rules, while SoFi is already settling Mastercard transactions with SoFiUSD.
What caught my attention is the scale: its card processing could exceed $25B annualized.
The next stablecoin race may not be about trading volume. It may be about who becomes the invisible dollar rail behind everyday payments.For the rebound to become a trend, the three coins only lack the word "confirmation"
DWL: Watch the moving averages and also the quality of the pullback
In the short term, don’t just focus on the price increase; the key is whether the short-term moving averages can support the price. If there is a volume breakout above the recent platform high, and volume contracts on the pullback while the price remains above the breakout level, it indicates improved buying support. Conversely, if it repeatedly surges but fails to hold, then falls below the most recent pullback low, beware that the rebound may weaken again.
BICO: The range boundaries are clearer
Look first at 0.0223 below, with further support at 0.0218; resistance above is at 0.0231 and 0.0238. If volume supports holding above 0.0231, continue to watch 0.0238. If it surges but then falls back below 0.0223, it indicates heavy selling pressure above; losing 0.0218 means the pullback may widen.
DOGE: Box breakout requires pullback verification
In the short term, focus on the upper edge of the box and the previous pullback low. After a volume breakout of the box, a pullback that does not break below confirms resistance turning into support. If there is a sharp rise leaving a long upper shadow and the close falls back into the range, be alert to emotional capital withdrawing.
In short: WLD looks at platform breakout, BICO looks at 0.0231, DOGE looks at the upper edge of the box. Whether the three coins can continue to strengthen depends on whether there is sustained buying after the breakout, not just a momentary intraday price increase.
For market observation only, not investment advice.
#美联储重启加息，BTC为何仍有韧性？ ? #稳定币新规推进，支付结算加速落地 If you've been watching ETH this week, you might be feeling a bit hesitant like me: it’s clearly above the moving average, yet it keeps getting gently pushed back near 2760. So is this move really building momentum, or has risk appetite quietly shrunk a bit? Here’s what I see: ETH is hovering around 2700, with the price still above the key moving average, and short-term momentum hasn’t broken down. There’s a clear resistance band from 2760 to 2808 above, and two supports repeatedly mentioned at 2630 and 2600 below. On the surface, it looks like a standard tug-of-war between bulls and bears, but if you only focus on these numbers, you might miss what’s truly important. What the market is really trading now isn’t whether ETH can break through 2760, but whether anyone is willing to keep buying after the breakout. This distinction is crucial. Price can surge on sentiment, but whether it holds depends on whether risk appetite is expanding outward or if only a few funds are testing locally. The former would lead ETH to pull up a batch of major and quality altcoins together, while the latter usually leaves just a lonely upper shadow candle before everyone pulls back again. The bullish path isn’t complicated. As long as ETH can close above 2808 with volume and hold above 2760 on any pullback, the short-term structure will shift from consolidation to offense. If ETH/BTC strengthens simultaneously, it shows funds are willing to move from Bitcoin to higher-risk assets. In such times, altcoin sentiment usually warms up, especially for those with strong narratives and trading depth. For trading rhythm, this is a window where you can be a bit more aggressive. $ONE Looking at ONE's candlestick chart, it crashed directly from 0.006 to 0.0014, and now has bounced back to 0.0024. I have no illusions at all.
Is this a bottom rebound or a death struggle? To be clear, this is currently a "dead cat bounce," so don't rush to catch the falling knife.
Looking at the data, the 24-hour trading volume is 153 million, with a net CVD inflow of 400,000. There is indeed some capital at the bottom making a super oversold rebound.
But don't be fooled by this 29% increase; the trapped positions between 0.003 and 0.004 above are piled up like a mountain.
The previous cliff-like plunge completely destroyed the technicals.
With this small volume now, it simply can't absorb the selling pressure overhead.
So, my judgment is very clear: this is just short covering after overselling and gamblers bottom fishing, definitely not a trend reversal.
Since I see through it, I won't hesitate.
If you hold spot, take advantage of this rebound near 0.0025 to decisively reduce your position to protect your principal; don't fantasize about a V-shaped recovery.
If you're empty-handed, no matter how tempting it looks, don't jump in to catch the falling knife.
If it dares to surge to around 0.003 without volume, I'll directly open a short position to ride the profit from a second bottom test.
As for heavy bottom fishing? Absolutely not. The stop-loss is firmly set at 0.0018; if it breaks, get out immediately.
In this market, don't gamble on that illusory "bottom"; only do right-side trades with higher certainty.
Instead of stubbornly fighting with the dog whales in this trash coin,
better save your bullets for mainstream coins.
I don't even want to glance at the rebound of such a broken coin.$ETH Ethereum is now at 2690, right stuck in the middle of bulls and bears, here’s my take
Position-wise: Today it surged to 2743 but didn’t hold, 2748 is a pivot resistance line, in the past three days every time it touched above 2740 it got pushed back
Further up, 2787 to 2807 is the high zone left by two surges this week, the real iron ceiling, 2800 is just a number, this market can only be considered a rebound, not a reversal
Support below is clear: 2667 is today’s low, 2660 below that is the 2600 round number barrier, that’s the bears’ face, if lost directly look for a 2550 pullback level$BTC crypto friends, the most interesting scene in this macro round has played out: the Fed's rate hike landed, but BTC was not crushed!
After the rate hike landed in September, BTC surged to around 87,000 before facing pressure and falling back, currently oscillating sideways in the 84,000-85,000 range. What’s more noteworthy is the BTC ETF, which saw a single-day net inflow approaching $1 billion, with institutional funds still continuously entering.
It’s clear that the market had already priced in this rate hike expectation in advance. The landing of the boot triggered a typical "sell the fact + short covering" scenario. The funds now supporting BTC are more inclined to be institutional allocation, no longer short-term funds driven purely by retail sentiment as in the past.
Looking at the US fundamentals: US stock bulls show strong data, Q4 revenue at $95.7 billion, up 11.1% year-over-year, net profit up 14.9%. US consumer resilience remains strong, indirectly indicating that inflation is falling slower than expected, and the Fed still retains hawkish room going forward.
But next, the real focus should be on Micron.
AI servers are driving explosive storage demand, with high prosperity in DRAM, NAND, and HBM. Whether this can translate into solid profits depends entirely on Micron’s earnings report.
If the earnings greatly exceed expectations, the AI narrative will continue to strengthen, and both US tech stocks and BTC are likely to benefit from the sentiment boost; if performance falls short of expectations, the tech sector will collectively pull back, and BTC will be dragged down with volatile swings.
So the current trading strategy is very clear: do not chase the highs near 87,000, focus on defending the 83,000-84,000 range ETH is currently around 2693, still suppressed by the short- to mid-term moving averages on the four-hour chart, and the rebound has not stabilized above the structural level. RSI remains in the neutral zone, indicating no clear short-term trend, more like a spike to sweep stop losses. There is dense liquidation accumulation around 2692, so slight price fluctuations easily trigger low-leverage stop losses. Above 2705, there is an even thicker liquidation peak; the probability of a breakout sweep by the main force to clear liquidity is relatively high, but the moving average resistance remains, making chasing longs a poor risk-reward trade.
Just parked the car in the shade and wiped my face, my phone vibrated again, no time to deal with those collection calls, continuing to watch the market. For operations, try shorting in batches between 2696 and 2704, with a stop loss at 2716, take profit first at 2660, and if it breaks below, look to 2635. If the one-hour candlestick closes firmly above 2710, all short positions must be exited.
At this position, only talk about odds, no need to bet on faith.
$ETH
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温
@OKX星球 Many people rush to declare the trend broken as soon as the price falls below MA5, mistaking the short-term moving average for the trend itself. To judge the health of a trend using moving averages, two key points matter: whether the moving averages' arrangement has deteriorated, and whether deviations can be quickly recovered. Taking $BTC as an example, the current price is 84002, MA5=83858.7 is still below MA20=84206.4, indicating a short-term moving average crossover entanglement period. However, the gap between the two is less than 0.5%, with no accelerated divergence, suggesting this is more of a sideways consolidation rather than a trend reversal. RSI=46.0 is neutral to slightly weak, MACD histogram -38.93 shows bearish momentum but with limited magnitude, Bollinger Bands [83608.2, 84804.6] are narrowing, and the amplitude of the last 30 candles is only 2.47%, a typical low-volatility accumulation structure. The funding rate of +0.0051% indicates bulls are still paying to hold positions, and the Fear & Greed Index at 71 shows greed has not subsided; the pullback looks more like a shakeout.
In terms of operation, I prefer to scale into longs in the 83600-83900 range, where the lower Bollinger Band and MA5 provide resonant support. Stop loss is set below 83200; a break below would indicate the moving average structure has truly deteriorated. Take profit 1 is at 84800, the upper Bollinger Band resistance; take profit 2 is at 85300, an extension of the previous high. Also monitoring concurrently: $ENA, $HYPE, with the former's RSI reaching 75.2, clearly stronger than the broader market, while the latter follows BTC with weaker oscillation.$BTC $ETH Big brother, can you still make it to the other side this time? Just got a taste of ZEC's profits, then immediately got heavily trapped by BTC and ETH. The account is so deep in the red it's nerve-wracking.
ZEC｜10x full position long
Entry 1510｜Exit 1522
Holding 702 coins, pocketed 7422U. This trade was clean, took a small profit.
ONE｜1x full position short
Entry 0.0033｜Exit 0.0028
Holding 57.4 million coins, cut losses of 75,642U. Held on stubbornly for so many days, finally accepted the loss and exited; this tuition fee really hurts.
BTC｜50x full position long
Entry 85724｜Mark price 84331
Holding 200 coins, unrealized loss 278,696U. A 50x full position long on 200 BTC was brutally pushed to the edge of a cliff by this pullback. The small profit made on ZEC isn't even a drop in the bucket compared to this; the forced liquidation price is looming.
ETH｜30x full position long
Entry 2723｜Mark price 2687
Holding 7,500 coins, unrealized loss 270,751U. ETH followed BTC's steady decline; the 7,500 ETH full position long is also under huge pressure.
Overall, the 7,000+ profit from ZEC basically just covered ONE's losses, leaving almost nothing. Now the combined unrealized loss of 550,000U on BTC and ETH is the real mountain to climb. High leverage full position trades, if the direction is wrong, you can only endure. Next, it depends on whether BTC can hold around 84,000. Big brother, can you still make it to the other side this time? A newcomer in the $ZEC group DM'd me: "Sister Fish, ZEC has risen so much, can I still short it?" I stared at this message for a long time, typed three words: "Don't short," then deleted it, typed again: "Listen to me, don't touch it," and sent it. He replied: "Okay, thanks Sister Fish, you're really kind." Then he sent a salute emoji. "You're really kind," I sat in front of the screen for a long time. How am I kind? I've been shorting at 800 until now, stuck in the pit for almost a mont$ONE ONE's big bullish candlestick is very eye-catching, surging 37.26% directly within 24 hours.
Previously, it experienced a sharp rally reaching 0.006594, then continuously fell back, hitting a low of 0.001479, a huge drop.
Now the price has returned to around 0.0025, standing back above the short-term EMA, MACD is turning upward, and trading volume is simultaneously increasing, indicating a strong recovery rebound after being oversold.
But the key point:
This is only an oversold rebound, not a direct return to the previous major bull market. There is heavy resistance above, with the first pressure level around 0.003, and the rebound process may face pressure and fall again at any time. Altcoins are extremely volatile, rising sharply and also falling mercilessly.The narrow-range tug-of-war is the most patience-testing; a real breakout is actually quite decisive.
Mainstream coins continue to pretend to sleep, the market is tense as if on a tightrope, and no one wants to reveal their hand first.
This round of ups and downs has already dragged on for six days.
$ETH is hovering around 2635, facing selling pressure near 2672 and support at 2608. I'm still holding my long position at 2648; I reduced half of it after the surge two days ago, and today I added back when it pulled back to the moving average, continuing to hold on.
$BTC is even more dramatic, oscillating between 84,000 and 86,000. Longs chase at 84,000, shorts miss out at 86,000—both sides getting slapped. If the direction isn't clear by tomorrow morning, another group will be staring at the candlesticks doubting their lives.
$SOL continues its independent trend, rising another 3%, from 110 to 117. Strong coins never care about the overall market mood; the sharper the rise, the fiercer the pullback. For these, I just watch and don't act.
Recently, being slapped back and forth by one-sided moves, these days of sideways trading are roasting both bulls and bears on the fire. Ultimately, frequent switching sides in a consolidation zone is the worst—just as you turn bullish, it dips; just as you turn bearish, it surges, and in the end, everyone pays the slip fee.
No rush to add positions; keep holding longs.
Until the range breaks, all fluctuations are just tests.
The longer the sideways, the fiercer the breakout.
Bears won't give up, bulls won't relent, waiting for the market to reveal its cards.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#美联储重启加息，BTC为何仍有韧性？
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
#ETH强势拉升，空头清算超11亿美元 The yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds surged to 3.075%, the highest since August 1996. This is not just Japan's issue; it signals the end of the era of cheap global capital.
The Bank of Japan just raised rates to 1.25% in September, a 30-year high. With government debt exceeding 250% of GDP, rate hikes directly increase interest payment pressure. But inflation can't be suppressed, and the yen is weak, so hikes are unavoidable. Glanced over the entire network's fees, basically dead silent around zero, with perpetual basis almost completely flattened.
Interestingly, the liquidation heatmap at both ends is clearly packed with stop-loss chips, but market makers don't even spare the gas money to sweep around for hunting. The depth is ridiculously shallow, the order book is as thin as paper, and just a few hundred Ethereum thrown in can create a gap.
Without incremental funds digging into their own pockets, it's purely algorithmic orders shuffling left hand to right hand inside. In this vacuum period, whoever reaches out first to probe becomes liquidity nourishment; over twenty thousand dollars worth of bullets keep pressing down, waiting for one side to completely lose balance and explode with real volume before moving.
$ETH $ENA $PENDLE $LINK
LINK｜Buy on dips, 13.3–13.6.
The market has been hovering around 84,000 these past few days; the money hasn't left, it's just the main players rotating. Over the past week, more than 70% of altcoins have outperformed BTC, and altcoin perpetual positions haven't surged sharply—this rotation is driven by spot buying, which is much more solid than leveraged resistance.
LINK is the most stable among these old infrastructure projects: today at 13.83, up over three points, positions increased by 9.3% in one day, the long-short ratio is only 1.76, with 64% long, not crowded at all. Here's my plan:
① Buy zone: 13.3–13.6, supported by volume on dips;
② Take profit targets: first at 14.5, if it holds, then 15.5;
③ Stop loss: unconditionally exit if it breaks below 12.8 effectively;
④ Position: enter in two parts, don't go all in at once.
I personally keep long positions in LINK for simple reasons: it's the leader in oracle price feeds, has solid institutional partnerships, the story isn't new but it's resilient.
Risk on you, analysis only, not advice. How far do you think this rotation can go?
#BTC rallies then falls, has market rotation started?
$LINK "Sideways for the Third Day: Who Will Blink First"
It's been three days, and the market seems like someone hit the pause button. BTC and ETH neither fall nor rise, just grinding back and forth, with the market waiting for a direction.
ETH is hovering around 2670, reaching a high of 2705 but unable to hold. I'm still holding my 2700 short position: took profit once the day before yesterday, added back on the rebound yesterday, and continuing to hold today. BTC isn't doing much better, tugging between 84,000 and 85,000, touching 84,900 and 82,800, but refusing to pick a side. Those chasing longs will probably be staring at their screens in a daze tonight.
ZEC is quite eye-catching, jumping from 1500 to 1550, up three percent. A speculative coin is a speculative coin; while the main market moves sideways, it plays on its own. But this kind of rise raises questions about sustainability; if it really falls, it won't be subtle.
After being squeezed out to the point of doubting life a few days ago, these past days of sideways grinding have worn down patience. Both bulls and bears are uncomfortable. I'm not in a hurry and continue to hold shorts. Until a direction emerges, oscillation is the main theme.
Bulls don't die, bears don't stop. Keep waiting, don't rush.
#美联储重启加息，BTC为何仍有韧性？ #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 BTC 84440, Ethereum 2714, SOL 120.47. Bitcoin peaked at 85242 then dropped back down; looking at the MACD, there's already a death cross, indicating a clear lack of short-term bullish momentum. On the news front, it's said that Bitkub co-founder’s associated wallet sold 139,600 BTC four weeks ago. Whether true or not, the high levels are just oscillating, and everyone chasing the highs got trapped.
Ethereum is following Bitcoin, hovering around 2714, with a high of 2742. According to news, Robinhood Chain’s on-chain Gas revenue in August was $6.6 million, so the ecosystem is indeed active, but the price is still dragged down by Bitcoin.
SOL is the brightest star today, hitting a high of 122.20, currently at 120.47, rallying over 3 points against the trend. StonkFun announced the burn of 18% of STONK tokens, a deflationary benefit that directly ignited sentiment. SOL has been performing much stronger than Bitcoin and Ethereum recently, with an increasingly independent market vibe.
But I absolutely won’t chase the highs; this market is a cure for itchy hands.
Bitcoin’s support zone is between 83800 and 84000; if it holds, I’ll lightly go long with a stop loss at 83300 and a target of 85000. Ethereum’s support is between 2680 and 2700; I’ll enter there with a stop loss at 2660 and a target of 2750. SOL is the strongest; I’ll buy on a pullback between 118 and 119, stop loss at 116, target back to 122, and add more if it breaks higher.$ONE This market cycle feels like a carefully orchestrated trap.
It starts with a slow decline, making shorts think the trend is coming; then suddenly a big bullish candle sends shorts flying. Just as the bulls shout "breakout," the market immediately turns, a long wick plunges down, and the bulls line up to exit. Both longs and shorts get wiped out, no one is spared.
I was the one who rushed in only after seeing the bullish candle. Entered at the peak, set my stop loss, and the price seemed to know me, heading straight for the liquidation line. At the moment of liquidation, I realized it wasn’t the direction that was wrong, but my itchy hands, maxed leverage, and weak discipline.
For coins like this, volatility isn’t an opportunity, it’s a razor’s edge. When you profit, it feels like picking up money; when you lose, you don’t even have time to react. Next time you look at $ONE, first ask yourself: is this money absolutely necessary to make? Controlling your hands is more important than picking the right direction.
#美联储重启加息，BTC为何仍有韧性？ #财报观察员：好市多业绩超预期，美光接棒 The original plan was simple: turn $100 into $100K. One month later, instead of getting closer to the target, I’m actually down another $30. This week was especially brutal. I kept trying to short the market: $ZEC short → got punished. $ETH short → got punished. Altcoin shorts → punished again. At one point, I had more than ten short positions open at the same time. Meanwhile, the market kept pushing higher in wave after wave, forcing me to close positions and take losses. At first, I kept telliI’m much better at holding onto losses than I am at holding onto profits. After reviewing my past trades, I noticed the same pattern keeps repeating. When a position reaches around +100%, I immediately start worrying about a pullback and close it. But when I think about it carefully, sometimes the underlying spot price has only moved around 5%. So why am I getting nervous so early? The opposite happens when a trade goes against me. I can watch a position fall hundreds of percent and still refuse$CARDS is around 0.18 after a 15.46% move, with roughly $414K shown underneath. I’m interested, but this is exactly where I’d avoid chasing. I want to see whether 0.175–0.18 can become a proper base.
Entry: 0.172–0.178
Confirmation: Reclaim 0.182 and hold
SL: 0.164
TP1: 0.190
TP2: 0.200
TP3: 0.215
TP4: 0.235
Using 0.175 as the reference entry, that’s roughly 1.9R, 3.1R, 5R and 7.5R.
The trade only makes sense to me if buyers defend the pullback and volume expands again during the reclaim.Bitcoin pushed higher first but failed to maintain the move and quickly turned lower. The short-term moving averages are now rolling over, which is keeping the downside structure intact. The setup I was watching earlier was a continuation pattern, so I positioned for another leg lower rather than trying to predict a random rebound. The position is currently sitting around **+$3,182 in unrealized profit**. Price rarely moves without leaving clues behind. The recent candle structure was already sh$GRASS is trading near 0.5595 after gaining about 27.68%. Compared with the larger movers on this screen, the move is less extreme, but I still don't want to enter after an extended push. I’d rather see price come back toward 0.54–0.55 and show that buyers are still defending the move.
Entry: 0.535–0.550
Confirmation: Reclaim 0.565 and hold above it
SL: 0.515
TP1: 0.590
TP2: 0.620
TP3: 0.660
TP4: 0.720
Around 0.545 entry, the targets give roughly 1.5R, 2.5R, 4.0R and 6.2R. $ONE is around 0.002398 after a +58.81% move. I'm not comfortable buying straight into that expansion. The better setup for me would be a pullback that holds above the previous breakout area and then pushes back through 0.00242.
Entry 0.00230–0.00234
Confirmation Reclaim 0.00242 and hold
SL 0.00220
TP1 0.00255
TP2 0.00270
TP3 0.00290
TP4 0.00320
Using 0.00232 as the reference entry that's roughly 1.8R 3.2R 5.8R and 8.8R.
I want to see buyers defend the pullback rather than another vertical spikeToday I finally figured something out: raising interest rates in a low-rate environment is undoubtedly bad for the entire financial sector. However, if the Federal Reserve raises rates at such a high level, it could actually be good for the entire crypto space! Why is that?
FY2025 (October 1, 2024 – September 30, 2025, ended)
• Total Receipts: about $5.235 trillion (precisely $5,234.6–5,235 billion)
• Total Outlays: about $7.010 trillion
• Fiscal Deficit: about $1.775 trillion (around 5.8–5.9% of GDP)
• U.S. debt size: $40 trillion, with net interest close to $1 trillion
Losing about $2.7 trillion net every year, where does the money come from to cover this? Printing money, cutting interest rates (which is basically impossible now since the Fed wants to control inflation), so only printing money and dollar devaluation remain! For the crypto space, isn't this great news? Here comes the monetary narrative again! Moreover, U.S. debt requires us crypto enthusiasts to buy stablecoins, so the SEC keeps pushing U.S. stocks onto the blockchain, plus the midterm elections, and Trump also needs money from crypto billionaires! #美联储重启加息，BTC为何仍有韧性？ $BTC Bitwise has filed the final prospectus for a spot ETF on NEAR.
The document is dated September 24, the fund ticker is NRR, and the listing is proposed on NYSE Arca.
At the same time, Bitwise published its investment case for NEAR — a 39-page document co-authored by the company's CIO, Matt Hogan.
In it, Bitwise models three price scenarios for $NEAR by 2030:
🟢 base case — $155
🚀 optimistic — $562
🔴 pessimistic — $1.63
These are Bitwise's scenarios, not guaranteed price forecasts.
To justify the optimistic scenario, the company compares NEAR to Visa.
In 2024, Visa processed about $15.7 trillion in payment volume, and its market capitalization was approximately $701 billion.
Bitwise's logic is that blockchain networks can gradually become infrastructure not only for cryptocurrencies but also for payments, financial services, and AI applications.
In such a scenario, NEAR is viewed as an infrastructure asset, not just another L1.
Separately important is the ETF's structure itself. Coinbase Custody will act as the custodian of NEAR, and the fund plans to stake the assets. Investors are expected to receive about 67% of the staking rewards.
Bitwise already uses a similar model for its Solana product.
This creates a potentially interesting mechanism for the market: inflows into the ETF mean not only buying NEAR but also possibly moving some tokens into staking.
Accordingly, part of the asset may be temporarily removed from the liquid supply.
When Bitwise filed the application, NEAR was approximately 27th by market capitalization, with an average daily trading volume of about $272 million.
Now NEAR gains access to another type of capital: investors can gain exposure to the token through a traditional brokerage account without directly buying cryptocurrency.
Therefore, the main change is not just the ETF itself.
NEAR is gradually moving from an asset category mostly accessible to crypto users to a format that can be integrated into traditional investment infrastructure.$PHA is up more than 63% and sitting around 0.08312. That kind of expansion makes me even less interested in chasing the current candle. I’d rather see the first pullback find buyers and then reclaim the breakout area.
Entry: 0.0760–0.0790
Confirmation: Reclaim 0.0835 and hold it on retest
SL: 0.0720
TP1: 0.0880
TP2: 0.0950
TP3: 0.1050
TP4: 0.1200
Around 0.0775 entry, that gives roughly 1.9R, 3.2R, 5R and 7.7R.
The key for me is whether volume stays elevated while price holds the pullback.The interesting part isn’t only the size of the positions, but how differently each trade is performing. ### $ETH — 25,000 ETH | 25x Long * Unrealized P&L: **+$1.2997M** * Entry: **$2,523.95** * Liquidation: **$2,518.29** * Funding paid: approximately **-$825.8K** ETH is currently the only profitable position in the portfolio. However, the liquidation level is extremely close to the entry price, leaving very little room for even a small adverse move. With 25x cross-margin leverage, the position First, the price slid from around $0.0018 to $0.0015. That drop made it look like the shorts had finally got control, and plenty of traders probably started feeling confident. Then, barely 15 minutes later, everything flipped. $ONE suddenly ripped toward $0.0022, sending short positions straight into liquidation. But the crazy part came next. As soon as the shorts were cleared out, the market reversed again and started punishing the longs. And yes… I was one of the people who chased the upside. The most fragile link in the rebound is actually mistaking "recovery" for "confirmation." Is this wave truly a new round of initiation, or just a fake-out in a downtrend continuation? When I watch the market, what I care about most is not how much it has risen, but whether the cross-market linkage has genuinely connected. BTC now looks like a main switch: holding 80K keeps the structure decent; 82K to 83K is the area that needs volume confirmation—without volume, even if it surges up, it’s easy to be pushed back down. This looks more like a divergence phase in the trend, not a clean start phase. Snapshot of data, the signals I see: - BTC: 80K is the structural bottom line, 82K–83K is the volume verification zone; until surpassed, it’s considered a rebound. - ETH: Technical indicators show signs of warming; 2.55K–2.60K is a pressure zone that must be watched. - SOL: Risk appetite is more exposed; 110–115 is the touchstone for sentiment strength. - Cross-market: ETF subscriptions/redemptions, OI changes, US tech stocks and dollar rhythm are the keys to whether this round of linkage can continue. Momentum signals and risk signals should be viewed separately. The bullish path is: ETF funds flow back in net, OI rises moderately rather than surging, BTC breaks above 83K with volume, ETH simultaneously recovers 2.60K, SOL holds above 115; only then will altcoin sentiment truly ignite, and risk appetite shift from defense to offense. The bearish path is: BTC repeatedly fails to break 82K–83K, ETH stagnates around 2.55K No vision, can't hold on, the profit this time is as thin as paper, but I love it to death. During the bottom grinding in the session, $BTC never broke 79,076.1, and BTC buy orders gradually strengthened. I knew someone was catching below, so after signaling to go long, I took a partial position first. While everyone else was still watching, the price had already started to move up.
Now with 83,908.5 in front of me, +611.03% income in sight, it was worth the wait. You don't have to catch the whole fish every time; taking a portion is already great.
Better to miss a rally than to catch a flying knife and end up bleeding.
Take profit on 70% of the position first, keep the remaining 30% at cost price as protection. Let profits run if it continues to rise, and don't let gains turn uncomfortable if it falls back. Time to enjoy a good meal, but don't let greed ruin the rhythm.
For friends who haven't gotten on board yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round. Watch for new structures to emerge; opportunities remain, so don't be anxious.
$ADA $BNB No hiding, no pretending everything is fine. Here’s the real account update: Total P&L: -$8,455.92 Maximum 30-day drawdown: 73.18% Win rate: 41.02% That equity curve has been painful to watch. There were plenty of nights when I seriously questioned whether I could turn things around. But I’m still in the game. Today, I managed to pull a small win from $BTC. I opened a short at 84,485 and closed at 83,927, booking +426 U, or roughly +56% on the position. Compared with an $8,455 loss, $426 is obvi$META is really surging hard this round, from 679 to 780, hardly looking back along the way. This AI concept is really hitting the mark.
Muse is making quite a splash, even the Connect conference dedicated a segment to it, with both hardware and smart glasses integration. Morgan Stanley even came out saying it might be the most widely used consumer AI application after ChatGPT. The market's reaction is pretty honest too, with the stock price shooting up, and the market cap heading toward 2 trillion.
But honestly, the rise to 780 has started to lose steam. In the past two days, it dropped directly from 780 to 752, down nearly 30 dollars. This pattern looks familiar—expectations were hyped up, and when it’s time to cash out, the funds exit first, leaving others stuck wondering if Muse is really monetizing or just another story.
From my perspective, the AI hardware plus Agent shopping logic is quite appealing. Smart glasses connecting to Muse, Agents helping you place orders at Walmart—this definitely sounds like the next generation of interaction. But commercialization involves a lot between concept and execution. Before the financial reports truly reflect it, this recent surge has a bit of speculative expectation baked in.
Now that it’s pulling back at this level, whether it’s just a shakeout before continuing up or a temporary peak is honestly hard to tell. The MACD green bars are narrowing, indicating short-term momentum is weakening. For those holding, watch closely these days—don’t buy in at the peak of the hype, and don’t panic sell on the first day of the pullback.
#Muse加速扩张，MetaAI投入或迎来变现 Last night I made one of the simplest mistakes, and honestly, one of the most expensive ones. I removed my stop-loss and then refused to close the position when I had the chance to exit around breakeven. The result? A good chunk of my earlier profit was given straight back to the market. $ZEC Big reminder for myself: having a plan means nothing if you abandon the risk controls when the trade starts moving against you.Long-term U.S. Treasury yields continue to climb, increasing financing pressure.📈
This signal is more worrisome than short-term yields. Long-term yields are the true anchor for global asset pricing; when they rise, it means valuations of all long-duration assets must compress accordingly.
Why is this troublesome? Because this isn’t something the Federal Reserve alone can fix. U.S. debt has surpassed 40 trillion, with new bonds continuously issued, creating excessive supply. Coupled with high oil prices and sticky inflation, buyers demand higher risk premiums to take on the debt. Long-term yields are being forcibly pushed up.
The impact on the crypto space is direct. With a 5% risk-free return available, why would institutional funds take the risk to buy crypto assets? Bitcoin is just oscillating around 83,000, with no large on-chain capital stepping in—everything is propped up by on-exchange leverage. In this environment, even if altcoins have localized rebounds, their sustainability is very weak.
Operationally, keep holding on. Those with spot positions should hold steady; reduce leverage on contracts and avoid betting on direction. During this high-interest suppression period, preserving your USDT is more important than anything. Only when long-term yields truly peak and fall will the big rally in risk assets come. Don’t die before dawn.⚖️
How high do you think this wave of long-term U.S. Treasury yields will go?👇
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 Instead, I opened a short on $ETH. I’ve been saying for a while that when the market starts struggling, ETH is usually the first one I look at for a short setup—so I followed that idea again. — I honestly expected the market to sell off hard around 9:30 today. Last year, October 11th saw a sharp drop begin around that same time, so I thought history might repeat itself. But this time, nothing major happened. The market barely moved lower, and that actually made me more nervous. Now I’m questioni"Sideways for the Third Day: Who Will Blink First"
It's been three days, and the market seems like someone hit the pause button. BTC and ETH neither fall nor rise, just grinding back and forth, with the market waiting for a direction.
ETH is hovering around 2670, reaching a high of 2705 but unable to hold. I'm still holding my 2700 short position: took profit once the day before yesterday, added back on the rebound yesterday, and continuing to hold today. BTC isn't doing much better, tugging between 84,000 and 85,000, touching 84,900 and 82,800, but refusing to pick a side. Those chasing longs will probably be staring at their screens in a daze tonight.
ZEC is quite eye-catching, jumping from 1500 to 1550, up three percent. A speculative coin is a speculative coin; while the main market moves sideways, it plays on its own. But this kind of rise raises questions about sustainability; if it really falls, it won't be subtle.
After being squeezed out to the point of doubting life a few days ago, these past days of sideways grinding have worn down patience. Both bulls and bears are uncomfortable. I'm not in a hurry and continue to hold shorts. Until a direction emerges, oscillation is the main theme.
Bulls don't die, bears don't stop. Keep waiting, don't rush.
#美联储重启加息，BTC为何仍有韧性？ #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 "Liquidation Heatmap and Liquidation Magnet: The Micro-Operational Logic of Bitcoin's Short-Term Volatility"
In the crypto market dominated by derivatives, short-term price movements often follow the logic of "seeking the largest liquidity liquidation pool," meaning prices tend to move toward the areas with the densest network-wide liquidation orders.
Driving Mechanisms of the Liquidation Heatmap:
1. Magnetic Effect of Leveraged Positions: High-leverage longs and shorts leave dense forced liquidation price levels on the chart, forming huge passive liquidity pools. Market makers and high-frequency algorithms push prices to break through these thresholds to absorb massive counterparty positions at minimal cost.
2. Accelerated Short-Term Stop-Loss Stampede: When prices are pushed into areas dense with short liquidations, forced market buy orders triggered by the liquidation system create a stampede, which in turn propels prices to spike instantly; the opposite applies as well.
3. Momentum Exhaustion After Liquidity Plundering: Once the dense liquidation pools are fully "ignited" and cleared, the leveraged fuel driving price movement is often quickly consumed, leading to rapid liquidity reversals in the market.
By learning to observe the distribution of dense network-wide liquidation zones, you can understand those seemingly random spikes and avoid becoming fuel for algorithms. $BTC $ETH $ZEC 🟠 $BTC + 🔵 $ETH + 🟢 $ZEC | 1H Capital Rotation Observation
$BTC remains the core anchor of market direction, $ETH is used to observe market breadth, while $ZEC is more suitable for measuring whether high-volatility capital is spreading to other assets.
📊 Latest capital data still shows support: On September 24, US spot ETF data showed BTC net inflow of about $190.7M, ETH about $48.3M, SOL about $32.8M; recently, US crypto ETFs attracted about $3.04B over four trading days, including about $2.25B for BTC and about $603M for ETH.
🔎 Key 1H signals to watch:
🟠 BTC holds $84K → main market trend remains 🔵 ETH retakes $2.65K → breadth begins to improve 🟢 ZEC breaks $1,550 → high Beta capital rotation further strengthens
🔥 BTC stable + ETH/ZEC in sync → 🚀 capital diffusion, market has potential to expand
⚠️ BTC stable + ETH/ZEC weakening → insufficient market participation, beware of BTC strength alone
Don't chase every candlestick. Price gives direction, volume and capital flow confirm it.
#BTC #ETH #ZEC #Crypto #DailyOrbit #CryptoMarket 🔼 The Bull Market Has Been Confirmed.
This signal happens when the STH cost basis confirms crossing above the active LTH cost basis.
By active LTH, I mean the portion of supply that has moved at least once over the past 7 years.
This way, we exclude the portion of supply that can be considered dormant/immobile.【$BTC ｜LTH Profit Supply Signal】
In the past 12 years, this indicator has only turned upward 4 times.
After each of these 4 times, BTC continued to rise.
Now, it has strengthened once again.
The proportion of supply held by Long-Term Holders (LTH) in profit has crossed above the historical median minus 1 standard deviation again, currently rising to 68.41%.
Similar signals appeared in:
2015
2019
2020
2023
and now.
🐼【Indicator Logic】
When this indicator falls below this level, it means a significant portion of long-term holders are at a floating loss.
Historically, these holders usually do not rush to sell during loss phases.
When the indicator crosses back above this level, it often means this portion of long-term holdings is starting to return to profitability on a large scale.
The market has countless narratives every day.
But ultimately, the data is what truly matters.
I hope you keep watching the data instead of being led by narratives.
What do you think about this signal?
Do you believe $BTC will continue to strengthen, or will this time be different?👇Understanding the logic of U.S. Treasury bonds is key to grasping the current market situation✨
Actually, there's no need to overthink the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike news; the real market driver recently has been the movement of U.S. Treasuries.
With long-term yields continuously rising, it's clear that capital has long stopped buying into the Fed's verbal policy expectations. On one hand, policy tightens to stabilize inflation; on the other, massive bond issuance underpins the market. This contradictory approach has caused the market to question the creditworthiness of the U.S. dollar.
The current BTC pricing logic has been completely transformed; it is no longer simply a risk-volatile asset. Facing the ongoing overextension of fiat credit, Bitcoin and gold have become high-quality hedging assets. Coupled with continuous net inflows into ETFs and long-term institutional allocations, the bottom support is very solid.
In contrast, ETH's performance has been weak, falling with the market but not rising with it. Without a credit-hedging narrative and with staking yields lagging behind U.S. Treasury yields, ETH becomes the first asset to see capital withdrawal when liquidity tightens. This is the key reason for its divergence from BTC's trend.
The overall long-term trend remains positive, though short-term volatility after rallies will be more intense. At this stage, there's no need for frequent trading; just patiently wait for interest rates to stabilize and the market to complete credit pricing, then hold your positions calmly～
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 Secure the profits, a 40% short-term review in three days
This time I listened to the community friends, didn’t continue to be greedy, and took profits directly. Made 40% profit in three days, with very high capital utilization, the timing was pretty much spot on. The only regret is that the position was only 30,000 U, resulting in about 12,000 U in hand; if it had been 50,000 U, the profit could have been 20,000 U. It’s not true that I’m not a bit upset, but the market is never short of opportunities, what’s lacking is principal and patience.
I probably won’t play with AKE for a while, won’t touch it in the short term. Next, I’ll continue to look for the next Alpha, better to miss out than to make a mistake. $AKE $ONE $ZEC will still be observed, but no rush to act.
The current macro environment is also unsettled: The Federal Reserve has restarted rate hikes, yet BTC still shows resilience; long-term US Treasury yields continue to climb, increasing financing pressure; during earnings season, Costco’s performance exceeded expectations, followed by Micron. Hot sectors rotate quickly, securing profits is more important than paper wealth.
#美联储重启加息，BTC为何仍有韧性？
#财报观察员：好市多业绩超预期，美光接棒
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 5.2%—this number on the board is like a black bishop silently pinning my king's wing on f7—not check yet, but the next move will be.
The entire chessboard is being re-evaluated. The Federal Reserve restarting rate hikes is like pushing the queen from d1 all the way to h5 in the midgame, targeting not just a single pawn but the entire king's pawn chain. The 10-year yield at 5.2% is the highest point in 0.7 years; the 30-year at 5.46% shatters a 22-year ceiling. This is not a mere piece exchange; it’s a shift in central control—whoever controls the long-end rates controls the tempo of the entire board.
The most expensive lesson in my career is this: don’t focus on which move your opponent made, but on which space they are preparing for the next move. Expansion of long-end repos, on the surface, is to replenish market liquidity, but in essence, it’s a forced exchange—trading short-term chips for long-term breathing room. But if the piece structure doesn’t improve after the exchange, the endgame only becomes harder to play; this is a cold fact all grandmasters understand.
What does a 7.45% 30-year fixed mortgage mean? It means the ordinary person’s king’s wing pawns can no longer advance. Real estate is the longest pawn chain on the board; once it freezes, all the squares for other pieces to move shrink. Rising corporate financing costs are like the opponent’s knight jumping to capture your central control; and risk asset valuations are downstream of discount rates—interest rates are the water level, and when the water rises, all ungrounded pieces start to drift.
Look at tokens pegged to US stocks, like $xBMNR. Its movement is like a knight in the corner: sharp, jumping far, but on a compressed board, its mobility is gradually eaten away by the limited squares. Long-end rates are its invisible opponent; as pressure on the discount side continues, any position relying on future narratives is forced to reveal its hand early. It’s now in a typical constrained position: you think you’re attacking, but your queen’s wing is already locked by your own king.
What are the true masters calculating now? Not rushing to find checkmate, but first calculating the opponent’s time. The market’s time panic hasn’t arrived yet, but the chess clock is ticking. The most dangerous thing in a high-yield environment is never making a wrong move, but making the right move at the wrong tempo—prematurely sacrificing pieces is like handing over initiative for free.
My judgment: this is not a tactical probe, but a structural change in pawn formation. The midgame for risk assets has just been set, while the distant endgame’s direction is already written—whoever’s pawn chain breaks first only has the draw left.
In the endgame, pawns are more valuable than knights. #USTreasuryYieldsRise #日本10年期国债收益率创30年新高
The yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds surged to 3.075%, the highest since August 1996. This is not just Japan's issue; it signals the end of the era of cheap global capital.
The Bank of Japan just raised rates to 1.25% in September, a 30-year high. With government debt exceeding 250% of GDP, rate hikes directly increase interest payment pressure. But inflation can't be suppressed, and the yen is weak, so hikes are unavoidable. The long-term yield breaking 3% indicates the market is pricing in a clash between fiscal loss of control and forced tightening by the central bank.
For BTC, this is solid short-term pressure. Yen carry trades are a major source of global leveraged funds, borrowing cheap yen to buy high-yield assets including US stocks and crypto. As Japanese rates rise, carry trade costs increase, and liquidation pressure will transmit to all risk assets. BTC is oscillating around 85,000, already under pressure from Fed rate hikes and US Treasury yields above 5%. Another move from Japan makes a rebound even harder.
But looking longer term, the logic reverses. Japan's debt monetization is reaching its limit; fiscal loss of control means the yen's purchasing power will continue to be diluted. Debt issues are surfacing in major global economies, and cracks in fiat currency credit are growing. BTC, as a non-sovereign hard asset, benefits from this. Short-term pain, long-term gain.
Operationally, don't rush to bottom-fish. The chain reaction from yen carry trade liquidations may not be over yet. Wait for the market to digest this liquidity shock, then observe BTC's performance at key support levels. The direction hasn't changed, only the rhythm has been disrupted. Be patient for signals $BTC The load-bearing wall has passed inspection—the shear wall at Costco has withstood an 11% vertical load; the membership renewal rate is like its reinforcement ratio, dense enough to have almost no cracks.
On the Micron side, there is a super high-rise building currently pouring the core tube. Everyone is watching its concrete grade—DRAM, NAND, HBM—these three columns determine how many floors the entire building can have. The AI server is a huge additional construction demand suddenly imposed by the client; the blueprints have been revised repeatedly, but the foundation remains the same plot of land. The storage industry has always been a "load cyclic overload" disaster zone; the settlement joints from the previous cycle haven't been fully repaired, and new floor slabs are already being added.
The $xINTC target, in my view, is like an old building renovation project reviewed by an external structural engineer. Its own load-bearing system does not determine its fate; what truly determines its seismic rating are the two giant structures under construction next door—one is a stable shear wall structure for retail consumption, the other is a framed tube structure for storage computing power. The linkage of US stock token targets is essentially wind load transfer: when wind pressure in one direction weakens, displacement in the other direction is amplified.
Looking at targets like Costco, I focus on the foundation depth and long-term settlement curve—stable, slow, and predictable, like a landmark that has been operating for thirty years, hardly needing on-site re-verification. For targets like Micron, I look at stress monitoring data during construction; the first few minutes after opening are the peak pumping pressure during pouring, and everyone wants to know if the formwork will crack.
What is most taboo in design institutes? Reporting with a beautiful rendering that no one has read the structural calculation book for. The AI narrative is that rendering; the capacity expansion of HBM and contract prices of DRAM are the reinforcement in the calculation book. If the calculation book is unsigned, no matter how bright the rendering is, it is an illegal construction.
I have reviewed too many projects; the ones that collapse in the end are always those that skipped a waterproof layer to save time. Market linkage volatility hides in those invisible nodes—the credit spread of AI capital expenditure, the turnover rate of memory spot, and actual sales on the consumer side. These are hidden nodes; once they fail, cracks propagate from the top floor to the foundation in just one quarter.
The current market is a construction phase undergoing structural transformation. The upper part is a framework of consumer resilience, the lower part is the pile foundation of computing power expectations, and the middle transfer beam has not fully solidified. Whoever overloads the transfer layer too much will have to listen to the sound of concrete cracking. #CostcoBeatsMicronNext $ZEC I only realized after liquidating everything that the most hidden leverage in this game was not on the market, but added to my own life. I thought I was just placing a few trades, but in fact, I unknowingly used those steady days, my parents' expectations, and her fallen tears as collateral. The candlestick charts distorted my dopamine threshold, making me numb to all the ordinary warmth in reality. In the end, when the Federal Reserve released a hawkish signal, my dream shattered. When I turned around, the girl who once looked at me with eyes full of hope was gone, and I could barely catch the concern my parents offered. I always thought I was battling the market makers, but in truth, I was just a madman, exchanging the most sincere human emotions for a bunch of illusory bubbles. The moment I shifted the focus of my life to the market, I had already lost