
#PCEAndPayrollsWeek
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About PCEAndPayrollsWeek
US markets face two key macro releases this week: August PCE data at 8:30 AM ET on Sept 30 and September nonfarm payrolls at 8:30 AM ET on Oct 2. With the economy resilient, inflation still elevated and Treasury yields high after the Fed resumed rate hikes, markets remain sensitive to the policy outlook. Fed officials, including Barr and Jefferson, will also speak. The data could move Treasuries, US stocks, gold and BTC.
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Next week's major schedule: US Nonfarm Payrolls and China's PMI, OpenAI Developer Conference, Micron Financial Report
September 28 - October 4 Weekly Key Financial Events Overview, all times are Beijing Time:
Jianwen Financial Calendar reminds to focus on next week's highlights:
Macroeconomic data focuses on US Nonfarm Payrolls, PCE, and China's PMI. The “Fed's favorite inflation indicator” August PCE and September Nonfarm Payrolls will be released successively, directly testing the Fed's rate hike path in October. The current market pricing for an October rate hike is close to 70%, and long-term US Treasury y
#PCEAndPayrollsWeek This week feels like a two-part test for the Fed’s next move 🗓️
August PCE arrives on September 30, followed by September payrolls on October 2. With inflation still elevated, the economy holding up and Treasury yields already high, both reports could shift expectations quickly.
The tricky part is that strong data may not feel entirely positive right now. Persistent inflation could support further tightening, while another resilient jobs report might give the Fed more room to keep rates restrictive. On the other hand, softer numbers could ease pressure on yields but raise fresh questions about economic momentum.
Fed officials Barr and Jefferson are also scheduled to speak, so markets will be interpreting both the data and the messaging around it.
I’m curious which report ends up carrying more weight this time: inflation or employment 👀

The Week Ahead:
Monday: Start of the @BTCtreasuries Conference in NY. @Cryptonomista keynote at 11.55 AM
Tuesday: Australian Central Bank expected to raise rates by +0.25% to 4.60%
Wednesday: U.S. Core PCE
Friday: BTC mining difficulty expected to increase by +1.6% to 134.9T
Catch the full details in our Bitcoin Economic Calendar for the week of September 28th:

Inflation first. Jobs next. This could be a big week for the Fed narrative.
PCE and payrolls are two reports I’ll be watching together rather than separately. PCE tells us whether inflation pressure is improving, while payrolls give us a clearer picture of how much strength is left in the labor market.
Personally, I think the most interesting scenario would be sticky inflation combined with strong jobs. That would make it much harder for the Fed to justify easing policy anytime soon. On the other hand, softer inflation together with weaker hiring could completely change the rate conversation again.
For BTC and equities, I’m less interested in guessing each number and more interested in how Treasury yields and the dollar react once both reports are out.
One report can create a headline.
Two reports pointing in the same direction can change the whole macro story. 👀
This week, I’m watching the combination not just the individual numbers.
#PCEAndPayrollsWeek $BTC
⚠️ THE NEXT TWO DATA PRINTS COULD SET THE MARKET TONE
Wall Street has two major checkpoints ahead:
SEPT 30 → PCE inflation
OCT 2 → U.S. jobs report
The big question is whether economic strength can coexist with persistent inflation and elevated Treasury yields.
Fed speakers Barr and Jefferson could add another layer of volatility.
The reaction may spread across bonds, stocks, gold and $BTC .
This is a week where the data could matter more than the headlines.#PCEAndPayrollsWeek

KCEX Week Ahead
Weekend quiet. Diary isn’t. 📅
30 Sep: MiCA close, FCA window opens, ADP + Aug core PCE.
2 Oct: Peirce leaves. NFP.
6 Oct: $ETH Sepolia target — not mainnet.
Spot $BTC ETFs last week: $999M → $135M.
Price still $84k–$85k. Flow faded. Level held.
Friday first. ⚡
#KCEX #Bitcoin #WeekAhead

🚨 MACRO WEEK COULD SHAKE BTC + STOCKS
Two major U.S. releases are coming:
📊 Sept 30: August PCE inflation
📊 Oct 2: September Nonfarm Payrolls
With inflation elevated and Treasury yields high, markets remain highly sensitive to the Fed outlook.
Fed officials Barr and Jefferson are also scheduled to speak.
PCE + jobs data could trigger major moves across Treasuries, stocks, gold and $BTC .
Watch the data. Watch the yields. Volatility could be coming.
@OKX成长学院 #PCEAndPayrollsWeek
$BTC This week's macro highlights are here
This week, I think what the crypto community really needs to watch is whether US employment and inflation data can continue to push up the market's rate hike expectations.
Wednesday: ADP employment numbers, core PCE
Thursday: initial jobless claims, Federal Reserve officials' speeches
Friday: US nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate
Especially Friday's nonfarm payrolls.
Because last week the market already started to trade on the logic that high interest rates will be maintained longer, if this week's employment data remains strong and core PCE does not show significant cooling, then I believe the market's expectation for continued rate hikes in October may still be affected.
This is quite critical for BTC.
Conversely, if employment starts to weaken and inflation data cools down, the market's rate hike expectations may be lowered again, which could relieve pressure on risk assets. $ETH $SOL #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据


This Week's Macro Outlook: Nonfarm Payrolls and PCE Are Coming, Retail Investors Beware—It's a Critical Week for Crypto!
Brothers, this week the macro "double threat" arrives! On Wednesday, ADP and core PCE strike first; on Friday, the nonfarm employment "triple bomb" takes center stage. This is the final showdown before the October rate meeting, directly deciding the fate of bulls and bears!
The total crypto market cap has returned to $3 trillion, $BTC Bitcoin has risen above $86,000, and institutional ETF funds continue to flow in, but the pressure from U.S. Treasury yields breaking above 5% cannot be ignored. More importantly, the NYSE and Blockchain have signed a memorandum to advance tokenized trading of U.S. stocks. The RWA sector is moving from "concept" to "implementation." If this round of macro data is favorable, funds are very likely to prioritize flowing into RWA and tokenized stock sectors!
Additionally, Micron and Nike's earnings reports after market close on Wednesday and Thursday correspond to the main themes of storage chips and consumer demand, which have linkage effects with crypto mining machine concepts and consumer-grade Web3 applications. $ETH Ethereum ETF funds are flowing back, but altcoin rotation has not yet fully spread, so chasing highs requires caution.
What should retail investors do? Remember three points: ① Control your positions before the nonfarm announcement; ② Pay attention to pullback buying opportunities in RWA sector leaders (such as ONDO); ③ If $BTC holds the key support at $84,000, consider scaling in gradually.

This week's macro highlights are here 🚀
This week, I think what the crypto world really needs to watch is whether US employment and inflation data can continue to push up the market's expectations for interest rate hikes.
Wednesday: ADP employment numbers, core PCE
Thursday: Initial jobless claims, Federal Reserve officials' speeches
Friday: US nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate
Especially Friday's nonfarm payrolls!
Because last week the market already started to trade on the logic that high interest rates will be maintained longer, if this week's employment data remains strong and core PCE does not show obvious cooling, then I believe the market's expectation for continued rate hikes in October may still be affected.
This is quite critical for Bitcoin.
Conversely, if employment starts to weaken and inflation data cools down, and the market lowers its rate hike expectations again, then the pressure on risk assets may also be relieved.
$BTC $ETH $OKB
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据



