Orbit: Crypto Community Feed

🚨 WARNING: THE $BTC BOTTOM MAY NOT BE IN YET Everyone is convinced that $60K was the bottom. History suggests otherwise. The pattern has been remarkably consistent: • 2017 peak: $19K → -84% • 2021 peak: $69K → -77% • 2025 peak: $126K → roughly -50% so far That’s the key question. Bitcoin has never completed a cycle after falling only 50%. The market cycle structure also remains familiar: • 2016 halving → 2017 peak • 2020 halving → 2021 peak • 2024 halving → 2025 peak Previous cycle lows appeared about a year after the top. If that pattern holds, the market may still need more time. A decline of roughly 70% from the $126K peak would place Bitcoin somewhere in the $32K-$36K range. But price isn’t the only thing that matters. Real bottoms are built on fear, exhaustion, and disbelief. At the moment, many traders are still eagerly buying every dip. That doesn’t look like capitulation. The final stage often arrives when even the strongest believers lose confidence. Until then, caution remains important.

Merkle3s Weekly Recap: BTC range-bound at 63-65K, Strategy continues selling; Coldcard exploit losses rise to $116M; CLARITY Act misses recess window, September 15 retry; Fomo weekly revenue hits ATH of $2.64M 1️⃣ Macro & Regulation: CLARITY Act Delayed to September, Strategy Keeps Selling BTC ➡️ Senate skipped CLARITY Act vote before recess. Thune filed cloture 8/8, procedural vote set for 9/15 (needs 60 votes). 2026 passage odds dim ➡️ Strategy sold 1,690 $BTC ($108.6M, avg $64,262) on 8/3-9, holdings down to 840,447 BTC. USD reserves at $4.65B. Q2 impairment $8.32B 2️⃣ BTC: $63-65K Range-Bound, Coldcard Losses Rise to $116M ➡️ $BTC held $63,800-$65,300 range this week, historically weak August. 200-week MA key support ➡️ Coldcard losses rose from $89M to ~$116M (1,816 BTC, 5,200+ addresses, four attack waves) 3️⃣ On-Chain & Public Chains ➡️ Robinhood Chain: meme hype cooling, volume/activity declining, capital shifting to USDG ~7% APY. RWA strong: 420K+ holders, $1.3B TVL in 6 weeks ➡️ Solana: $PUMP Boost mode strong — graduation rate up from 0.8% (June) to 7%. Auto-buys/burns within 5 min post-migration, adds ~20% liquidity 4️⃣ On-Chain Trading Tools: Fomo Weekly Revenue Hits ATH ➡️ Fomo hit $2.64M weekly revenue ATH, surpassing Phantom and Jupiter ➡️ Fomo supports Solana + Hyperliquid Perps: gasless multichain swaps, social feed, copy trading, leaderboards — leads social trading tools

$ETH $BTC I’m honestly frustrated. Why does this keep happening? Why has Ethereum been stuck around $1,890 for so long? The structure still looks weak, and it feels like this upward correction could be coming to an end with another drop likely. I’ve planned my entries several times, but when it comes to actually clicking the short button, I freeze. And honestly… it’s driving me crazy. 😣 I closed my position around $1,876, so I could technically look at this as simply re-entering at a higher price — almost like buying back 15 points higher while still having room to manage the position. But I’m still hesitating. And that makes me wonder: Why am I so afraid of taking another loss? I could potentially go from a 500U profit back toward breakeven, yet the fear of losing feels much stronger than the confidence I had in the setup. Yesterday, I already took around a 550U loss after closing the position. So psychologically, if I enter again and give back some profit, why does it feel so painful? Maybe it’s not really about the setup anymore. Maybe it’s about loss aversion, regret, and the fear of being wrong twice. The market hasn’t necessarily changed. My psychology has. Right now, I’m realizing that sometimes the hardest part of trading isn’t finding the setup… It’s having the discipline to execute without letting the last trade control the next one. $ETH 📉

$LUNAUSDT 1D – Intraday Strong Bullish Momentum ⚡ ➡️$LUNA is showing strong continuation after breaking out from the 0.04150 support base. The 1D chart shows price trading well above MA5 (0.04470), MA10 (0.04328), and MA20 (0.04281), confirming a strong bullish structure with higher highs forming. ➡️The current move from 0.04150 to 0.05256 came with rising volume (1.09M $LUNA / 54.65K $USDT), confirming buying interest. The 7D (+20.85%), 30D (+4.78%), 90D (-26.86%), and 180D (-19.84%) show a mixed broader structure. ➡️The key resistance is around 0.05256–0.05300. A clean breakout above this zone could trigger another leg upward. Immediate support sits around 0.04949–0.05000. ➡️Quick Plan on $LUNA: ✅️Buy above 0.05300 ✅️Target 0.05600 – 0.06000 ✅️SL 0.04700 ➡️OR Wait for dip to 0.04949 – 0.05000 support zone Momentum remains strongly bullish, with volume supporting further upside 🚀

Market Update. $BTC $ETH & $SOL Liquidation flush This looks like a real liquidation-driven flush, not just a normal pullback. All three charts are showing the same structure: aggressive selling, expanding red volume, price below short-term MAs, and RSI pushed deeply into oversold territory. The interesting part is that BTC, ETH and SOL are now simultaneously oversold on the 15M, which increases the probability of a relief bounce but it does not mean the bottom is confirmed. $BTC $63,530 BTC broke down hard from the $64.2K–$64.5K area and wicked to $63,000. The 15M RSI is around 19, with RSI12 around 24 extremely stretched. My expectation: a relief bounce is increasingly likely, but I wouldn't call a bottom until BTC starts reclaiming $64K with volume. $ETH $1,859 ETH looks even more stretched. It dumped from nearly $1,900 to $1,853, while RSI hit roughly 15. That's extreme short-term selling pressure. ETH is my highest-probability candidate for a relief bounce, but only after the selling pressure visibly cools. $ SOL $74.79 SOL has been hit particularly hard, falling from above $76 to $74.69. RSI is around 20, while the moving averages are stacked bearishly. SOL probably needs BTC to stabilize before it can properly recover. My overall read The market is oversold but not yet bullish. The first move I'd watch for is: If BTC holds $63K and starts reclaiming $63.75K–$64K, I expect ETH $1,875–$1,900 and SOL $75.1–$75.6 to follow. If BTC loses $63K decisively, forget the bounce thesis for now. The market could enter another liquidation leg. The broader market is indeed experiencing renewed volatility today, with BTC trading below $64K and ETH below $1,900; reports are also pointing to leveraged positioning as an amplifier of the move.

$ETH EREUM ACTIVITY JUST HIT A 2026 HIGH — BUT WHY? Look, 989.5K active addresses in 24 hours is not nothing. That’s Ethereum’s highest daily activity since March, according to Santiment. Honestly, the number is impressive. But I know what you’re thinking: “Cool… does that actually mean anything?” Maybe. Maybe not. High activity can mean real users showing up, apps getting busy, more on-chain transactions, or just people moving money around because crypto decided to have another one of its little episodes. Numbers go up, everyone starts screaming “bullish,” and five minutes later nobody remembers what the number was supposed to prove. Here’s the thing: I’d rather watch what those addresses are actually doing than celebrate the headline. Are they interacting with useful apps? Trading? Moving stablecoins? Building something? Or is this just temporary churn? 989.5K addresses gets my attention. It doesn’t get my blind trust. Ethereum needs sustained usage, not one impressive 24-hour screenshot. That’s the difference between genuine demand and another crypto metric people will conveniently forget next week. #DailyOrbit

⚡ Crypto is getting attention… but attention isn’t the same as conviction. The market feels busy right now, but honestly, it still looks like everyone is searching for the next big story. Money is jumping from defensive plays to old favorites, then straight into high-volatility small caps. The problem? Nothing has really taken control yet. 🛡️ $XAUT — traders are still cautious XAUT staying near the top tells me risk appetite isn’t fully back. There’s still demand for defensive exposure while traders wait for more clarity. 🔻 $BICO & $PUMP — attention is cooling Both are still getting plenty of eyes, but momentum is fading. And this is important: search interest doesn’t automatically mean fresh buying. 🔄 Old names are waking up $BOME, $xSPCX and $PEOPLE are back on the radar. But for now, I’d treat these moves as rebounds rather than confirmed new trends. 🚀 Fresh attention: $GRVT & $WLD $GRVT is catching eyes after renewed volatility, while $WLD appears to be moving more on news and short-term sentiment. 🪙 The market anchors are holding $BTC, $SOL, $BNB and $OKB remain relatively stable, which is helping keep the broader market from losing its footing. 💡 Here’s the bigger picture: The market is rotating faster than it is actually trending. That’s why I’m not chasing every coin that suddenly appears on the trending list. Attention tells you where people are looking. Volume tells you where money is moving. Structure tells you whether the move can actually last. Until those three start lining up, I’d rather stay patient than become exit liquidity for someone else. 👀 Not financial advice. Manage risk first. #AIInfraEarningsWatch #CPIToResetFedBets #AIInfraFundingDiverges #DailyOrbit

🔥 ETH’s $ETH Three “Contrasting Charms” Today Sometimes the most interesting signals appear when price and fundamentals are telling different stories. 1️⃣ The more ETH falls, the more people keep staking ⏳ Ethereum’s staking queue is now around 40 days and 21 hours. 📈 Annualized staking yield: ~2.6% 👥 Validators: ~897,000 and still increasing. That doesn’t look like short-term trading behavior. It looks more like long-term capital saying: «“I’m not here just to profit from the next rebound. I’m willing to hold and earn yield for years.”» That kind of sticky supply can matter when market conditions eventually improve. 2️⃣ ETH ETFs: Weekly buying remains strong, but daily flows have cooled 🇺🇸 US spot ETH ETFs recorded roughly $245M of net inflows last week — one of the strongest weeks since April. But on August 10, flows turned slightly negative: 🔴 Daily net outflow: ~$14.6M 🔴 ETHA outflow: ~$23.8M So the picture isn’t perfectly bullish. Weekly demand remains strong, while short-term positioning has become more cautious. And that’s exactly what makes ETH interesting right now. 👀 The market may be watching the price… …but underneath it, staking participation and institutional flows are telling a different story. #Ethereum11Years #ETH #Ethereum #Crypto #ETF #AIInfraEarningsWatch #CPIToResetFedBets

🚨 APPLE MAY HAVE JUST FIRED A WARNING SHOT AT THE MEMORY MARKET #AppleTestsCXMTChips Apple testing CXMT memory chips may look like a simple supplier evaluation. But strategically, it could be much bigger. 👀 Today, Micron, Samsung and SK hynix remain major players in Apple’s memory supply chain, and there’s no confirmed CXMT deal yet. But even testing creates leverage. 🤝 More supplier competition 💰 More negotiating power on pricing 📦 Greater flexibility on volumes ⚔️ More pressure on existing suppliers And the timing matters. DRAM supply is already tight. If CXMT eventually clears technical and regulatory hurdles, Apple could have another source of memory supply — potentially changing the balance of power across the industry. The key question isn't: “Will CXMT replace Samsung or Micron tomorrow?” It’s: “How aggressively will existing suppliers respond if Apple gains another credible option?” Because sometimes you don't need a new supplier to disrupt a market. You just need the possibility of one. 👀 Now the market watches three things: 🧪 CXMT test results 🇺🇸 U.S. regulatory approval 📊 How Micron, Samsung & SK hynix respond Smart diversification — or the beginning of real pricing pressure on memory stocks? The next move could be more important than the headline. #Apple #CXMT #Micron #Samsung #SKHynix #DRAM #Memory #Semiconductors #AI #Tech #Stocks #CryptoStocksLeadRally #OKX.ai #OKXOrbitTopics

🚨 $BTC IS STUCK AROUND $64.3K — AND TOMORROW’S CPI COULD CHANGE EVERYTHING. 👀 Bitcoin is hovering around $64,300 as the market braces for the upcoming US CPI release. Right now, traders are clearly playing it safe. Why? Because this CPI print could help shape expectations for the Federal Reserve’s September rate decision, and even a small surprise could trigger a sharp move across both crypto and traditional markets. The market is already split. 🐂 Bulls are watching for softer inflation. 🐻 Bears are preparing for a hotter-than-expected number. And with $BTC sitting around $64.3K, there isn’t much room for complacency. One CPI number could be enough to wake the market up. ⚡ Until the data drops, watching price action matters more than making emotional bets. Stay patient. Stay alert. And avoid making abrupt moves before the release. Tomorrow could get volatile. 👀 #AIInfraEarningsWatch #CPIToResetFedBets #AIInfraFundingDiverges