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Bitcoin AHR999 has accumulated approximately 6240 days since January 3, 2009 (the genesis block). Among these, the number of days below 0.37 is about 120-180 days, accounting for approximately 1.9%-2.9%, all occurring during the extremely low phases of bear markets in 2018, 2020, and 2022.
AHR999 being below 0.37 is considered extremely rare and is often accompanied by major bear markets and liquidity crises, significantly less than the approximately 567 days below 0.45 (accounting for about 10.3%).
Historically, it has only been significantly below 0.37 three times, totaling 120-180 days.
Reasons for the increase in memory prices: Some people are using non-existent money to purchase a large amount of memory that has not yet been produced, intending to install it in GPUs that have also not yet been produced, and then place it in data centers that have not yet been built, powered by infrastructure that may never materialize, to meet a demand that essentially does not exist, and to obtain profits that are mathematically impossible to achieve.
Looking back, I should have bought everything at that time; the next day, alpha was listed on palu. I just wanted to pursue the persona of making precise predictions. So, establishing a persona is very costly; according to my investment strategy, I would have invested in everything. Although the market cap of Chinese Palu was already greater than that of Palu before alpha went live, ultimately, what gets listed is still decided by bn. The narrative content is the same, but due to overconfidence, I missed out on a big opportunity.
