Still can't trade crypto, and while trading, I realized Tao Zhe's level dropped from a concert to a music festival! Wuwuwuwu, who can save me and get me ashore aaaaaaaa! #BTC突破80000美元，能否站稳新关口 #美启动对伊经济孤立，油价为何回落？ #Anthropic估算30万亿美元市场，IPO叙事能否兑现？ $BTC $ETH $OKB @天才交易员绿毛

When I first started trading contracts, I couldn't hold positions either, which led to an extremely poor profit-loss ratio, and even with a high win rate, the account was always losing! Until later, I realized a truth: every trade you open should be well thought out. The strong get stronger means the weak get weaker, and we always keep the weak and discard the strong. Eventually, I learned to promptly remove losing trades and keep only those that align with the trend I believe in. I think that’s when I truly learned the first step of trading: trade the trades you know, trade the market you understand! #BTC加速拉升，资金还能继续接力吗？ #Anthropic拟8月底公开IPO文件，募资或追平SpaceX #财报观察员：泡泡玛特增长换挡，多IP能否接力？ $BTC $ETH $SOL @天才交易员绿毛

To be honest, I have never believed in trading based solely on so-called key price levels. These levels only determine the quality of your entry timing, and you can't predict them in advance. Every trade you open basically results in one of three situations: it either goes up, goes down, or moves sideways. Based on this, I think your timing should focus more on the current volume conditions. For short-term trades, you can observe 5 to 30-minute K-lines; for mid to long-term trades, look at the 4-hour and daily K-lines, which are very useful. Trading based on price levels is not about placing orders at predicted support or resistance, but about analyzing the real-time market situation. Of course, it's best if you also have some market intuition and an appropriate bankroll. Finally, I estimate that Bitcoin and Ethereum will show direction this week, still bearish. If anyone wants to know more, feel free to leave comments in the comment section so we can learn from each other.

This afternoon, I saw brothers in the Green Hair group envy Brother Mao for profiting from both long and short positions, but just now, after a rapid drop, all the efforts Green Hair made earlier were in vain. Actually, I have always believed that the logic of profiting from both long and short positions is fundamentally wrong. Whether in a trending market or a ranging market, it's best to identify and follow the trend direction for trading. Often, making five trades on both long and short sides won't compensate for the loss of one losing trade. First, the recent market is clearly a bullish trend, so shorting anywhere is essentially trying to short at the top. Only pending orders might capture small pullbacks, but if you wait for the actual bearish candle to complete before shorting, you might get firmly trapped. The potential profit from such shorts is minimal, while the risk is unlimited. As for ranging markets, I also don't believe in opening both long and short positions simultaneously because traders' mentality is too rigid. If the range breaks out, most people hope it's a false breakout, often turning a swing trade into a holding trade. Therefore, trading in a single direction is the most reasonable approach. In a trending market, you capture the full move; in a ranging market, you can at least preserve half of the range profits. In the long run, this is a positive expected value behavior! #美国核心PCE持平上月，沃什杰克逊霍尔讲话如何定调？ #财报观察员：英伟达超预期，软件收入开始兑现 #BTC冲高回落，期权到期放大关口博弈 $BTC $ETH $SOL @天才交易员绿毛 @天才少女秋秋 @多多不梭哈

Actually, I don't have much to respond to; everyone can just handle their own trades. At the very least, I haven't lost money since I started trading contracts. Even if you don't recognize me, I think my track record can be considered among the few. Although my principal isn't large and my profits can't compare to the big players, I never intended to compare myself to them. I hope that in the future, when I share, there won't be so much bitterness. I also deeply understand that as long as I'm in this market, there's always a risk of being wiped out at any time. This is also why I encourage everyone to withdraw more often. From now on, I will focus on my sharing, hoping to be helpful to the friends who support me! #美国核心PCE持平上月，沃什杰克逊霍尔讲话如何定调？ #财报观察员：英伟达超预期，软件收入开始兑现 #BTC冲高回落，期权到期放大关口博弈 $BTC $ETH $OKB

The reason for shorting $SPX is very simple: looking at the volume-price relationship on the four-hour chart, volume does not rise with price, which is a typical volume-price divergence. The four-hour timeframe is also a long-term indicator, making it relatively safer, so I decisively went short! $BTC $ETH #美国核心PCE持平上月，沃什杰克逊霍尔讲话如何定调？ #财报观察员：英伟达超预期，软件收入开始兑现 #BTC冲高回落，期权到期放大关口博弈

$BICO fees have been continuously dropping. Although entering a short position at this point is not ideal, the certainty is very high. #美国核心PCE持平上月，沃什杰克逊霍尔讲话如何定调？ #财报观察员：英伟达超预期，软件收入开始兑现 #BTC冲高回落，期权到期放大关口博弈 $BTC $ETH

Recently, more and more friends have been following me. I am deeply grateful for everyone's support. After analyzing the cryptocurrency market for quite a while, I want to share my perspective on the US stock market. Actually, I don't like trading US stocks. I consider myself a medium-short term, medium-frequency trader. Compared to many veterans in the crypto space, my style is already relatively steady and conservative, but even this approach gets heavily taken advantage of in the US stock market. This is because intraday K-lines in US stocks are completely ineffective. In fact, this applies to any stock market: support and resistance levels within daily timeframes or shorter are unreliable. Their stocks tend to follow more of a macro trend. For example, the last round of the global tech sell-off triggered by SanDisk was a very clear oscillating downtrend from the perspective of daily and weekly charts, but looking within the daily timeframe, the battle between bulls and bears was brutal. The final outcome was good, but the intensity of the fight was terrifying! Looking ahead, I believe brothers trading US stocks should not try to speculate but rather hold long-term or short. My view is that the FOMO sentiment in tech has already peaked, and smart money is still withdrawing. As long as the sentiment around gold and virtual assets remains, tech will not reach its previous highs! #美国核心PCE持平上月，沃什杰克逊霍尔讲话如何定调？ #BTC突破80000美元，能否站稳新关口 #财报观察员：英伟达领衔，AI回报进入验证期 $SNDK $SOL $BTC @天才交易员绿毛

The reason for the empty h is that the long positions are trapped, the trend doesn't really follow BTC or ETH, and the daily chart shows a bearish engulfing pattern. So it's just a test position. Other trades are too volatile, mostly profits have been lost back to break-even, which is quite a pity! #美国核心PCE持平上月，沃什杰克逊霍尔讲话如何定调？ #BTC突破80000美元，能否站稳新关口 #美扩大对伊制裁，海峡复航谈判推进 $BTC $ETH $H