
#USTreasuryYieldsRise
About USTreasuryYieldsRise
US long-term Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year yield reaching 5.2%, another high since 2007, and the 30-year yield hitting ~5.46%, a 22-year high. As the Fed resumed rate hikes and expectations for further tightening grew, bond repricing pushed funding costs higher, with the US 30-year fixed mortgage rate reaching 7.45% on Sep 24. The Treasury expanded long-term debt buybacks to improve market liquidity. Elevated yields may pressure housing, corporate financing and risk asset valuations.
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#USTreasuryYieldsRise The 10-year Treasury yield reaching 5.2% is striking, but the number that really caught my attention was the 7.45% mortgage rate 🏠
The 30-year yield has also climbed to around 5.46%, its highest level in 22 years. With the Fed hiking again and further tightening still being discussed, higher borrowing costs are spreading well beyond the bond market.
To me, this is where monetary policy becomes very tangible. Expensive mortgages pressure housing affordability, while higher financing costs make companies more cautious about investment and debt. Risk-asset valuations also face a tougher comparison when government bonds offer higher returns.
The Treasury is expanding long-term debt buybacks to support market liquidity, but that doesn’t remove the broader cost pressure. I’m curious which area feels the strain first: housing, corporate borrowing, or high-valuation assets 📊
Bullish scenario: Inflation concerns ease, risk appetite improves, and BTC reclaims resistance.
Bearish scenario: Rate expectations rise further, buyers step back, and crypto support levels come under pressure.
A technical breakout without supportive macro conditions can be vulnerable to sharp reversals.
The market needs confirmation, not just optimism.
Are macro conditions going to support the next crypto rally, or become its biggest obstacle?
🥇 XAU vs ₿ BTC — NEWS UPDATE
Gold (XAU/USD) has slipped to around $4,260, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields. BTC has also fallen below $83,000, reaching about $82,875 as the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to around 5.11%–5.15%.
$BTC XAU: ~$4,260
BTC: ~$82.9K
Main driver: Rising U.S. yields + stronger dollar
Market theme: Both assets are facing increased macro pressure and volatility.
#BTCPullbackAltRotation #USIranRiskPremium #CostcoQ4EarningsWatch


📉 Bitcoin slips to $83K as bond yields surge
#BTC dropped to around $83,300 as U.S. Treasury yields climbed to their highest level since 2007, putting pressure on crypto and other risk assets.
The weakness spread across the market, with ETH, SOL and XRP also trading lower, while the U.S. dollar strengthened.
Traders are now watching Friday closely, when more than $17 billion in BTC and ETH options are set to expire, potentially adding another burst of volatility.


UPDATE: The 7-year auction slightly tailed anyways (0.7 bps), even with the highest yield in this tenor's history of 5.085%. Foreign demand was weak at 57.2% with dealers taking down 12.5%, and BTC was 2.42. Not horrific, but not great, and certainly not a strong bounce back from yesterday. I'd give it a C or C-.
After yesterday’s abysmal 5-year Treasury auction (5.033%, BTC 2.21, ~3.1 bp tail),all eyes will be on today’s $44 billion 7-year auction. A big tail is unexpected after yesterday’s weakness, with investors already anticipating a higher yield. Instead, watch for BTC under 2.5, high dealer allocation (>12%), and indirect (foreign) demand under 60% for signaled weakness. An auction like this will show increasing market dysfunction.

Bitcoin just slipped back under $84,000. 📉
📊 US Treasury yields hit their highest since 2007
🛢️ Oil rebounded, pressuring risk assets
🐕 $DOGE led losses, down 8%
$18.1B in $BTC and $ETH ETH options expire Friday, call-heavy book could swing volatility either way.
Healthy pullback after $87K, or something bigger?
Where does $BTC BTC go?
#BTCPullbackAltRotation #USIranRiskPremium #CostcoQ4EarningsWatch
🔥 Bitcoin Onder Druk: Macro Storm vs. Crypto Liquiditeit
🔥 Macrodruk verplettert de momentum van Bitcoin Na een stijging richting $87K, zakte Bitcoin terug naar ongeveer $83,5K, wat laat zien hoe moeilijk deze markt is geworden. De Amerikaanse staatsobligatierendementen stijgen over de hele curve. Het 10-jaarsrendement bereikte 5,14% terwijl het 30-jaarsrendement boven de 5,43% klom, beide het hoogste niveau sinds 2007. Fed's Williams voegde ook druk toe door te zeggen dat een nieuwe renteverhoging voor het einde van het jaar redelijk zou kunnen zijn. Japan helpt ook niet. Het 10-jaarsrendement van JGB sprong naar 3,055%, wat dicht bij een thr

