#LongYields5%NewNormal
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Long-end Treasury yields held after the Fed's Sept 16 25bps hike. The 10-year dipped to around 4.95% then returned to near 5%, the 2-year to around 4.73%, the 30-year above 5%. Walsh attributed the long-end to stronger growth, AI-driven capex, and geopolitics, but did not address fiscal deficits. If the 2-year stabilizes while the 10-year and 30-year hold above 5%, long-end pricing may reflect structural capital demand, inflation risk, and term premium, lifting the floor for high-beta assets.
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JPMorgan Asset Management: Datoria SUA a scăzut până la "punctul maxim de durere", este momentul să cumpărați obligațiuni guvernamentale pe termen lung
Bob Michele, directorul de investiții al companiei de administrare a activelor JPMorgan, a declarat că echipa sa a început să cumpere obligațiuni guvernamentale pe termen lung din SUA, Japonia și Australia, considerând că prețurile actuale sunt „pur și simplu prea ieftine” și că piața obligațiunilor a atins un punct critic de „durere extremă”.
Miercuri, Michele a declarat într-un interviu pentru Bloomberg TV că mai mulți factori favorabili se reunesc: de la majorarea dobânzii de săptămâna trecut
#LongYields5%NewNormal The Fed hiked 25bps, but the long end barely blinked 👀
The 10-year briefly dipped toward 4.95% before returning near 5%, while the 30-year stayed above 5%.
What caught my attention is the curve. If short yields stabilize but long yields stay elevated, this may be structural, not just Fed policy.
AI capex, inflation risk and term premium are competing for capital.
For BTC and high-beta assets, 5% long yields could become the new hurdle.
🚨 THE 5% LINE JUST BROKE — AND BITCOIN IS FEELING IT.
The US 10Y Treasury yield has officially pushed above 5%, its highest level since 2007.
Why does this matter for crypto?
Because when risk-free US yields get this attractive, money has less reason to chase risky assets.
#DailyOrbit
-year US Treasury yield breaks 5%
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The 10-year US Treasury yield has surpassed the 5% threshold, reaching a recent high. The risk-free yield has risen, putting pressure on BTC simultaneously, with continuous outflows from spot ETFs.
币圈阿飞-OKB
#10年期美债收益率突破5%
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Randamentul titlurilor de stat pe 10 ani a depășit pragul de 5%, atingând un maxim din ultimii ani. Randamentele fără risc au crescut, BTC este sub presiune în același timp, iar fondurile spot ETF continuă să iasă.
Consensul pieței
Partea descendentă consideră că, pe măsură ce randamentele titlurilor de stat americane devin mai atractive, fondurile se vor retrage din active de risc precum cripto; alții cred că principala problemă este că emiterea excesivă de obligațiuni fiscale a ridicat ratele dobânzilor, iar șocurile pe termen scurt s-ar putea să nu rămână ridicate mult timp.
Analizați logica de bază
Titlurile de stat americane sunt o ancoră globală de evaluare a activelor, randamentele depășesc 5%, iar costul de oportunitate al deținerii BTC crește. Fondurile vor prioritiza titlurile de siguranță ale titlurilor de stat, apetitul pentru risc scade, iar sectorul cripto este predispus la presiune. Pe viitor, accentul va fi pus pe declarațiile ședințelor FOMC.
Opinii personale (doar opinii personale, nu sfaturi de investiții) #本周FOMC揭晓 pot apărea majorările de dobândă?
$BTC $ZEC $XAU
92.4%! Markets are heavily pricing a 25bp September rate hike.
The bigger risk is what comes next: October expectations are also pointing toward further tightening, keeping pressure on liquidity and risk assets.
For $BTC and $ETH, the key isn’t just the hike—it’s the Fed’s guidance. A hawkish tone could add selling pressure, while a less-hawkish message may ease some of the pressure.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalates
$BTC is hovering around the $76,000 level.
US stock futures are up ahead of today's FOMC meeting, while oil is down.
Pre-market stock trading insights:
▫️Nasdaq futures is up 0.54%
▫️S&P futures is up 0.34%#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalates
the more critical time period tonight.
The market's core focus right now is still the FOMC; the expectation of a 25bp rate hike is already very high, close to 90%, so the simple fact of a "rate hike" has been largely priced in. What will truly determine the future direction of $BTC and $ETH is how hawkish Powell will be and whether further rate hikes will continue.
BTC is currently still weak, and ETH jointly suppr#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalates
The Fed just did something it hadn’t done since 2023.
Rates: +25 bps → 3.75–4.00%.
Vote: 12–0.
Signal: policymakers still see another hike this year.
Yet BTC held near $75.7K immediately after the decision instead of producing the expected macro shock. The hike was priced in; the forward path is now the real trade.