
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23
About FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23
The Fed raised rates 25bps to 3.75%-4.00%, first hike since July 2023 after five consecutive holds. Chair Walsh said inflation is 'too high and has lasted too long'. The dot plot shows 16 of 18 officials project at least one more hike before end-2026, pointing to a new tightening cycle. The Dow fell over 600 points, S&P 500 down around 0.4%, Nasdaq near flat. The 10-year yield above 5% keeps pressure on high-valuation assets. The White House is pushing for cuts, at odds with most Fed officials.
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Morgan Stanley о повышении ставок: будут ли ещё повышения?
Кратко (TL;DR)
Повышение ставки ФРС на 25 базисных пунктов в сентябре соответствует ожиданиям, но Morgan Stanley считает, что это действие не следует воспринимать как одноразовую корректировку политики.
С точки зрения логики принятия решений ФРС, после окончания длительной паузы и возобновления повышения ставок комитет обычно рассматривает серию мер, а не считает, что 25 базисных пунктов достаточно для изменения макроэкономического прогноза.
Однако значительная часть текущей инфляции обуслов
Crypto is reacting to the Fed again.
The Federal Reserve just raised rates by 25 basis points, its first hike in more than three years.
$BTC initially moved higher with broader markets, but the bigger question is what happens after the first reaction.
A rate hike changes the liquidity environment.
And crypto has become increasingly sensitive to liquidity.
So I'm watching $BTC around the $76K area and $ETH around $2.4K.
The interesting part isn't the headline.
It's whether buyers can absorb the tighter financial conditions.
The first move is often noise.
The reaction afterward is what I care about.
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve
$BTC x $ETH post-Fed 📊
Fed hiked 25bps. Unanimous. Warsh hawkish.
Priced in. No panic dump. No melt-up.
$BTC — around $75.8K.
Wick $75.3K. $76K is still broken.
Support: $75K. Lose it, and $73K is next.
Bulls need $77.5K back. $80K is not in play.
$ETH — around $2.38K.
Range $2.37–$2.43 after the print.
$2.45K is still resistance. $2.35K is the floor.
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalates

$BTC / $ETH — POST-FED 📊
Fed hiked 25bps, unanimously. Warsh sounded hawkish.
The move was largely priced in. No panic dump, no major melt-up.
$BTC — around $75.8K
Wick: $75.3K
$76K remains unreclaimed.
Support: $75K
Lose it → $73K could come into focus.
Bulls need $77.5K back before $80K becomes relevant.
$ETH — around $2.38K
Post-print range: $2.37K–$2.43K
Resistance: $2.45K
Support: $2.35K
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23
#CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve
#LongYields5%NewNormal

📊 $BTC & $ETH — THE POST-FED TEST
The Fed delivered 25bps, but crypto’s reaction stayed relatively contained.
$BTC — ~$75.8K
→ $75K remains the key support
→ $76K needs to turn back into support
→ Reclaim $77.5K and $80K comes back into focus
→ Lose $75K and $73K becomes the next level to watch
$ETH — ~$2.38K
→ Holding around $2.37K–$2.43K
→ $2.35K is the key floor
→ $2.45K remains the resistance to reclaim
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve #LongYields5%NewNormal
🚩THE REAL EFFECT OF FED RATE HIKES ON CRYPTO
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
Despite being priced in, Fed rate hikes still impact crypto by tightening liquidity and driving capital away from high-risk assets.
Immediate volatility stems from unexpected outcomes and the Fed's policy tone rather than the rate increase itself. Long-term, high rates raise capital costs, dampening investor sentiment and hindering new inflows.
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve #LongYields5%NewNormal 😍
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve The Fed delivered a 25bps hike, but $BTC and $ETH have avoided any major selloff so far.
🟠 $BTC → ~$75.8K
$75K → key support
$77.5K → reclaim could strengthen momentum
🔵 $ETH → ~$2.38K
$2.35K → support
$2.45K → resistance
For now, the market appears cautious rather than panicked.

📊 POST-FED — PRICE ACTION IS THE REAL TEST
The Fed delivered a 25bps hike, but crypto didn’t collapse.
$BTC recovered above $76K while $ETH moved back toward $2.4K.
Now the headline matters less.
Can buyers defend the recovery?
Watch support, volume and follow-through.
Price reaction > prediction. 👀
$BTC $ETH #FOMC
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #LongYields5%NewNormal #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve

📊 $BTC after the 25bps hike: no breakout, no major dump. BTC holds near $76.3K, while $ETH stays around $2.43K and $SOL near $100. The market bounced from pre-Fed lows, but confidence remains cautious. $75K is key for BTC, $2.45K for ETH, and $100 for SOL. With a hawkish Fed outlook, October becomes the next major catalyst. No FOMO—watch confirmation.#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve
THE FED DELIVERED THE SHOCK. CRYPTO DIDN’T BREAK.
The Fed raised rates 25 basis points, but the market is responding differently.
$BTC → rebounded toward $76.5K, showing sellers haven’t forced a deeper breakdown.
$ETH → reclaimed $2.4K, holding a key level.
$SOL → continues showing relative strength as capital searches for opportunities
Same macro shock, different market response
I’m watching what happens after the shock. If BTC holds and ETH follows, the reaction matters more than the headline
📊 $BTC / $ETH AFTER THE FED
The Fed delivered a 25bps rate hike as expected, but crypto held up without a major selloff.
➤ $BTC: ~$75.8K
BTC wicked to ~$75.3K and remains below $76K.
$75K is the key support. Lose it, and $73K comes into play.
Bulls need to reclaim $77.5K to bring momentum back.
➤ $ETH: ~$2.38K
ETH is trading between $2.37K–$2.43K.
$2.45K remains the key resistance, while $2.35K is the level bulls need to defend.
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23
#CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve
