#BTCOptionsExpiryTest

[Planet Sharing Merchandise-evenemanget är här 🌍] 💬 Deltagarämne: #BTC突破80000美元, kan den hålla en ny gräns? Dela dina marknadsuppfattningar, handelsinsikter eller publicera dina BTC-innehav (känslig information kan döljas) för att dokumentera ögonblicket tillsammans. 🎁 Evenemangets belöningar Vi kommer slumpmässigt att välja ut 3 högkvalitativa deltagare som får en planetarisk presentlåda. Oavsett om du har HODL:at hela vägen, köpt under nedgångar eller bara klivit in i denna marknadscykel, är din berättelse värd att se med $BTC. 😇

Watching BTC surge up and then quickly drop, just in time for a batch of options to expire. As an ordinary retail investor, my feeling is that the market has been very chaotic during this period. I used to think that when options expire, there would definitely be a big rise or fall. After experiencing it a few times, I realized it doesn't determine the big direction; it just stirs the price in the short term. As expiration ap#PCEToJacksonHole #AIMonetizationBroadens #BTCOptionsExpiryTest

$6.4B in $BTC options expire Friday. And everyone is watching the $68K max-pain level. But I think there's a mistake being made here: Max pain is not a Bitcoin price target. Around 81,700 $BTC options expire on Deribit at 08:00 UTC Friday, with calls currently outnumbering puts at a 0.83 put/call ratio. The interesting part is where the exposure is concentrated. $75K has roughly $236M in call notional. $80K has another ~$157M.

PCE delivered numbers, not direction. Core inflation held at 3.3% YoY and rose 0.2% MoM, while headline PCE came in slightly hotter at 3.7%. Q2 GDP stayed at 1.5% annualized. Sticky inflation, resilient underlying demand, and no clean signal for the Fed. Rate pricing moved, then came back. September hike odds jumped from about 36% to 44% after the release before easing to 36-37%. Odds of at least one hike by year-end remain near 73%. The broader path barely changed. That shifts attention to Warsh's first Jackson Hole keynote as Fed Chair, Friday at 10AM. The symposium's theme is "Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy." A $300B stablecoin market and the GENIUS Act sit in the backdrop, though the keynote's contents are not yet public. Treasury's decision to at least double the cap on long-end liquidity-support buybacks coincided with renewed demand for inflation and dollar-risk hedges. Through Aug 26, BTC was on track for its best August since 2017. The hedge trade is broadening: · August BTC ETF inflows have topped $3B, on track for the strongest month since October 2025 · Cumulative net inflows are near $54.4B, with net assets around $99B · GLD took in $3.4B in the week ended Aug 21, while GLD and IBIT re-entered the top 10 US ETFs by value traded This is not gold versus bitcoin. Both perceived hedges are being bid as investors reassess inflation, the fiscal outlook and dollar risk. Friday also brings a major BTC options expiry: · About 81,700 BTC options worth $6.44B expire at 08:00 UTC · 44,639 calls versus 37,061 puts; put/call ratio 0.83 · Max pain is near $68K · $75K holds about $236M in call OI, with another $157M at $80K Max pain is not a forecast. It misses hedging, entry costs, off-exchange positions and spot demand. But the expiry and Warsh's speech land six hours apart, with BTC near $79K after being rejected around its 50-week average near $81.1K. PCE is done. Friday is the real test. Which matters more for BTC: Warsh's policy tone or the options expiry? #PCEToJacksonHole #BTCOptionsExpiryTest #GoldVsBTCETFFlows

BTC still stuck at 80k. PCE beat forecasts. BTC got knocked back to 78k. Classic macro head fake. Spot ETFs saw ~$2B inflows in 5 days. Smart money accumulating, not retail FOMO. Friday: $6.4B BTC options expire. Max pain ~78k. Volatility incoming. My take: Not chasing. If we hold 77k, I'll add. Break 81k with volume? That's confirmation. What's your move? 👇 $BTC $ETH #美国核心PCE持平上月，沃什杰克逊霍尔讲话如何定调？ #黄金ETF大额吸金，避险资金如何重配 #ETH触及2500美元后震荡

$78k - $80k has become the mew norm for $BTC .Friday should bring enough volatility due to exporing options worth billions of dollars.

$BTC BTC $78,800 — dip or gift? 3 catalysts in 48hrs: Nvidia earnings tonight + $6.4B options expiry Fri + Fed chair speaks. ETFs +~$2B in 5 days. OI down 11% — spot-driven rally. Bears see top. Bulls see gold. Answer soon. ⚠️ NFA. DYOR.

BTC BELOW $79K — ETF FLOWS REMAIN KEY SUPPORT $BTC is consolidating below $79K after failing to hold $80K, but the broader recovery structure remains intact. Institutional demand is still supportive: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded +$314.37M in net inflows, while Ethereum ETFs added +$179.80M in the latest session. $ETH remains around $2.45K–$2.5K, while $SOL holds near $100. If BTC protects $77K–$78K, sustained ETF demand could support consolidation before another test of $80K.

$BTC $ETH $SOL This Friday (8/28 16:00 Beijing time), Deribit has 81,700 BTC options expiring, with a notional value of about $6.4 billion. This week’s volatility ceiling is fully maxed out. The bullish positions fill the screen, with huge chips locked at strike prices 75,000 (236 million) and 80,000 (157 million); but the maximum pain point#PCEToJacksonHole #AIMonetizationBroadens #BTCOptionsExpiryTest

🟠$BTC recent strength isn't happening in isolation. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs reportedly attracted nearly $2B in just five trading sessions, marking one of the strongest weekly inflow periods since October 2025. That's a meaningful development. The important part isn't simply the size of the inflow. It's the fact that institutional demand is showing up consistently while BTC is already trading at elevated levels. 🏦 WHY THIS MATTERS ETF flows give us a different view of the market. Price can move because of leverage, short covering or speculative positioning. But persistent spot ETF inflows indicate that capital is being allocated through regulated investment vehicles. That doesn't guarantee Bitcoin goes straight up. Institutions can accumulate while expecting volatility. They can also have a much longer time horizon than retail traders. But it does tell us that demand hasn't disappeared. 👀 THE NEXT TEST Now I want to see what happens if BTC stops moving vertically. If $BTC consolidates or pulls back modestly while ETF inflows remain strong, that would be even more constructive. It would suggest larger players are willing to absorb weakness rather than only chase breakouts. On the other hand, if inflows suddenly slow while BTC struggles at resistance, that would be a signal to become more cautious. So I'm not interested in blindly chasing the headline. I'm watching the trend in capital flows. Nearly $2B in five sessions is significant. The bigger question is whether that demand continues. Because one strong week can create excitement. Persistent institutional accumulation can create a much stronger foundation for the next phase of the Bitcoin market.

Risk/Reward – The Story Behind the Price Zone $BTC is approaching the $80K level, with support at $78.5K–$78.7K below. If it breaks above $80K, the next target could be $81.28K. $ETH is also consolidating just below the $2,515–$2,547 zone. At this point, there is no need to guess which one will rise faster; simply watch to see which breaks out first. Given the current R, waiting for a breakout or retest is safer than rushing to chase the price.