#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23

The Fed just ended three years of stillness. First hike since July 2023. The FOMC voted 12-0 to raise the federal funds rate by 25bps, bringing the target range to 3.75%-4.00%. Chair Warsh said inflation is "too high and has been for too long." The market had largely priced it in, with hike odds near 93% by decision day after hot August inflation data helped flip expectations. But the hike itself is not the story. The dot plot is. The new median dot implies one more 25bps hike before year-end, putting December firmly in play. The updated projections: · PCE inflation is now seen at 3.7% for end-2026, up from 3.6% in June · Core PCE rose to 3.4%, and the Fed does not expect inflation back at 2% until 2029 · Unemployment was revised down to 4.1%, while 2026 GDP growth moved up to 2.3% · The longer-run fed funds rate projection rose to 3.2%, keeping higher-for-longer in the frame Behind the inflation problem is an energy shock tied to the Iran conflict, with oil back above $100 and diesel prices elevated. The White House wants lower rates. The Fed delivered the opposite. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly crossed 5% before the decision, then pulled back toward 4.96%. In H1 2026, US spot BTC ETFs saw about $5.4B in net outflows as BTC fell from the mid-$90K area in January to the low-$60K area in May. The CLARITY Act also failed its Senate cloture vote 49-50 one day before the Fed, pulling a key regulatory catalyst off the table. Bitcoin briefly popped after the announcement, then gave the move back. Nobody heard a Fed that thinks the job is finished. Warsh also avoided committing to a fixed path, keeping the next move data-dependent. The Q4 setup: rates higher, oil elevated, yields near 5%, ETF demand fragile and regulatory progress stalled. That is not an easy soft-landing setup. Which matters more for BTC into Q4: the dot plot, ETF flows, or regulatory uncertainty? #FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23

₿BITCOIN HOLDS ABOVE $76K BTC recovered toward$76.3Kafter briefly falling near$75.35Kfollowing the Fed’s 25-bps rate hike. 📊BTC:~$76.3K 📈24H:modestly higher 🏦Fed rate:3.75%–4.00% ⚠️Key backdrop:another 2026 rate hike remains in policymakers’ projections. The immediate reaction shows how heavily the Fed decision was already priced into markets. Now traders are watching inflation data and future policy signals. #BTC #Bitcoin #BTCDormantSupplyRecord

📊 Post-FOMC Market Update The market is stabilizing after the Fed’s 25bp hike, which was largely priced in. $BTC → $75.9K | Support: $75K $ETH → $2.40K | Still weak $SOL → $97.4 | Risk appetite low $XRP → $1.28 | Weakest major $ZEC → $1.22K | Relative strength Total market cap: $2.60T BTC dominance: 58.5% $BTC holding $75K remains key for market stability. #FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve

Crypto just got another reality check. The Fed raised rates by 25 basis points, and the reaction in crypto was immediate. $BTC → swung around the $75K–$76K area $ETH → moved between roughly $2.37K and $2.43K $SOL → was slightly higher after the decision. What caught my attention isn't just the rate hike. It's how differently these assets are reacting to the same environment. Bitcoin is dealing with macro pressure. Ethereum is trying to hold its position while risk appetite changes. Solana is still attracting attention despite the broader uncertainty. This is why I don't look at crypto as one single market. Three assets can face the same headline and still tell three different stories. Now I'm watching the reaction after the initial volatility. The first move gets attention. The next move usually tells you more. #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #FOMCRateCallThisWeek

$BTC / $ETH post-Fed 📊 Fed hiked 25bps. Unanimous. Warsh hawkish. Priced in. No panic dump. No melt-up. $BTC — around $75.8K. Wick $75.3K. $76K is still broken. Support: $75K. Lose it, and $73K is next. Bulls need $77.5K back. $80K is not in play. $ETH — around $2.38K. Range $2.37–$2.43 after the print. $2.45K is still resistance. $2.35K is the floor. #FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalates

Last night, the Fed finally gave the market an answer. A 25 bps rate hike was officially implemented, bringing the federal funds target range to 3.75%–4.00%. The September projections also leave the door open to further tightening, keeping pressure on risk assets. But BTC did not crash. Instead, it entered intense consolidation around the $75,000 area. And this is exactly what I’m watching now: The news itself isn’t the scary part.#DailyOrbit

$ETH trades at 2,442.06 dollars, up 0.97%, holding firm just after the Fed's 25 basis point hike to 3.75%-4%. Volume hit 543.9 million dollars, the highest among majors and even above BTC's 486.33 million, showing $ETH absorbed the hawkish shift better than expected. With BTC only up 0.38%, ETH is outperforming despite tighter policy and rising Treasury yields. Watch whether this resilience holds once markets fully digest Warsh's rate path signals. #FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23

This time it's really different. Originally, the market was still betting on "no change," but in the past few days expectations suddenly reversed, and now the market has priced in a 25 basis point rate hike at a very high level. On September 15-16, the Federal Reserve FOMC meeting will take place. What’s really worth watching is not "whether to raise rates," but: after the rate hike, will they continue to raise?#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalates

#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 The Fed finally moved again, raising rates by 25bps to 3.75%–4.00% after five straight holds 🏛️ What caught my attention wasn’t the hike itself, but the dot plot: 16 of 18 officials now expect at least one more increase before the end of 2026. That makes this feel less like a one-off adjustment and more like the possible start of another tightening phase. The market reaction was telling. The Dow dropped over 600 points, while the Nasdaq stayed nearly flat. With the 10-year yield above 5%, expensive assets still have a difficult backdrop 📉 There’s also a clear gap between the Fed and the White House, which continues to push for lower rates. To me, the next inflation reports matter more than the political noise. Will they reinforce the Fed’s stance—or make this hike look overly cautious?