#FedOctHikeOddsHit55%

The Fed raised rates by 25 basis points this week & $BTC barely flinched. Bitcoin traded around $76K after the decision, while ETH and several major altcoins also recovered as broader risk markets strengthened. That doesn't mean the market is suddenly risk-free. It just reminds me that price reactions aren't always as simple as: Bad news = Bitcoin dumps Sometimes the market has already priced the news in. Sometimes the bigger story is how price reacts after the event. #FedOctHikeOddsHit55%

$BTC x $ETH post-Fed 📊 Fed hiked 25bps. Unanimous. Warsh hawkish. Priced in. No panic dump. No melt-up. $BTC — around $75.8K. Wick $75.3K. $76K is still broken. Support: $75K. Lose it, and $73K is next. Bulls need $77.5K back. $80K is not in play. $ETH — around $2.38K. Range $2.37–$2.43 after the print. $2.45K is still resistance. $2.35K is the floor. #FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalates

🧠 SMART TRADERS AREN’T WATCHING THE RATE HIKE ANYMORE. The Fed already made the decision. +25 bps → 3.75%–4.00%. � Federal Reserve Now comes the interesting part: Does crypto absorb it? If BTC holds → watch the reaction. If BTC breaks → watch liquidity. If BTC reclaims → watch whether volume confirms. The first candle can deceive. The reaction after the reaction is where the information gets interesting. $BTC or $ETH? Drop your chart below. 👇

🚩THE REAL EFFECT OF FED RATE HIKES ON CRYPTO $BTC $ETH $ZEC Despite being priced in, Fed rate hikes still impact crypto by tightening liquidity and driving capital away from high-risk assets. Immediate volatility stems from unexpected outcomes and the Fed's policy tone rather than the rate increase itself. Long-term, high rates raise capital costs, dampening investor sentiment and hindering new inflows. #FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve #LongYields5%NewNormal 😍

The Fed just ended three years of stillness. First hike since July 2023. The FOMC voted 12-0 to raise the federal funds rate by 25bps, bringing the target range to 3.75%-4.00%. Chair Warsh said inflation is "too high and has been for too long." The market had largely priced it in, with hike odds near 93% by decision day after hot August inflation data helped flip expectations. But the hike itself is not the story. The dot plot is. The new median dot implies one more 25bps hike before year-end, putting December firmly in play. The updated projections: · PCE inflation is now seen at 3.7% for end-2026, up from 3.6% in June · Core PCE rose to 3.4%, and the Fed does not expect inflation back at 2% until 2029 · Unemployment was revised down to 4.1%, while 2026 GDP growth moved up to 2.3% · The longer-run fed funds rate projection rose to 3.2%, keeping higher-for-longer in the frame Behind the inflation problem is an energy shock tied to the Iran conflict, with oil back above $100 and diesel prices elevated. The White House wants lower rates. The Fed delivered the opposite. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly crossed 5% before the decision, then pulled back toward 4.96%. In H1 2026, US spot BTC ETFs saw about $5.4B in net outflows as BTC fell from the mid-$90K area in January to the low-$60K area in May. The CLARITY Act also failed its Senate cloture vote 49-50 one day before the Fed, pulling a key regulatory catalyst off the table. Bitcoin briefly popped after the announcement, then gave the move back. Nobody heard a Fed that thinks the job is finished. Warsh also avoided committing to a fixed path, keeping the next move data-dependent. The Q4 setup: rates higher, oil elevated, yields near 5%, ETF demand fragile and regulatory progress stalled. That is not an easy soft-landing setup. Which matters more for BTC into Q4: the dot plot, ETF flows, or regulatory uncertainty? #FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23

CRYPTO MARKET HOLDS FIRM AS BTC RECLAIMS $76K AFTER FED HIKE $BTC $ETH Bitcoin climbed back above $76,000 and is holding the key $76,200 zone, showing resilience despite the Fed’s first 25 bps rate hike since 2023. ETH and ZEC are also participating in the steady recovery. #FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #BIP110ForkStalls #LongYields5%NewNormal

THE FED DELIVERED THE SHOCK. CRYPTO DIDN’T BREAK. The Fed raised rates 25 basis points, but the market is responding differently. $BTC → rebounded toward $76.5K, showing sellers haven’t forced a deeper breakdown. $ETH → reclaimed $2.4K, holding a key level. $SOL → continues showing relative strength as capital searches for opportunities Same macro shock, different market response I’m watching what happens after the shock. If BTC holds and ETH follows, the reaction matters more than the headline.

🚨 FED JUST HIKE RATES — SO WHY DIDN’T BTC CRASH? The Fed delivered the expected 25 bps rate hike, but the real market drama came afterward. 👀 The dot plot and Powell’s hawkish tone made one thing clear: inflation is still a concern, rates may stay higher for longer, and further hikes remain possible. So why didn’t Bitcoin collapse? Because the hike was already priced in. #DailyOrbit

🤔 The Fed is once again giving the market a reason for a strong correction The last time the Fed raised interest rates, Bitcoin dropped around 17% in the medium term🔽 Yesterday, the Fed raised rates by another 25 bps, marking the first rate hike since 2023 🔤 At the same time, the market received a relatively hawkish message, with policymakers still expecting another rate hike in 2026. Now the interesting part is to see how BTC reacts to this over the coming weeks

THE FED DELIVERED THE SHOCK. CRYPTO DIDN’T BREAK. The Fed raised rates 25 basis points, but the market is responding differently. $BTC → rebounded toward $76.5K, showing sellers haven’t forced a deeper breakdown. $ETH → reclaimed $2.4K, holding a key level. $SOL → continues showing relative strength as capital searches for opportunities Same macro shock, different market response I’m watching what happens after the shock. If BTC holds and ETH follows, the reaction matters more than the headline