
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23
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About FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23
The Fed raised rates 25bps to 3.75%-4.00%, first hike since July 2023 after five consecutive holds. Chair Walsh said inflation is 'too high and has lasted too long'. The dot plot shows 16 of 18 officials project at least one more hike before end-2026, pointing to a new tightening cycle. The Dow fell over 600 points, S&P 500 down around 0.4%, Nasdaq near flat. The 10-year yield above 5% keeps pressure on high-valuation assets. The White House is pushing for cuts, at odds with most Fed officials.
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Morgan Stanley's Interpretation of Interest Rate Hikes: Will There Be More Rate Hikes?
TL; DR
The Fed's 25 basis point rate hike in September was expected, but Morgan Stanley believes this move should not be simply interpreted as a one-time policy adjustment.
From the Fed's decision-making logic, once the long pause ends and rate hikes resume, the committee usually considers a series of actions rather than believing that 25 basis points is enough to change the macro outlook.
However, a large part of current inflation comes from supply-side factors such as tarif

🚨 FED JUST HIKE RATES — SO WHY DIDN’T BTC CRASH?
The Fed delivered the expected 25 bps rate hike, but the real market drama came afterward. 👀
The dot plot and Powell’s hawkish tone made one thing clear: inflation is still a concern, rates may stay higher for longer, and further hikes remain possible.
So why didn’t Bitcoin collapse?
Because the hike was already priced in.
#DailyOrbit
CRYPTO MARKET HOLDS FIRM AS BTC RECLAIMS $76K AFTER FED HIKE
$BTC $ETH
Bitcoin climbed back above $76,000 and is holding the key $76,200 zone, showing resilience despite the Fed’s first 25 bps rate hike since 2023. ETH and ZEC are also participating in the steady recovery.
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23
#BIP110ForkStalls
#LongYields5%NewNormal
CRYPTO MARKET STEADIES AS BTC RECLAIMS $76K AFTER FED RATE HIKE
$BTC $ETH
Bitcoin has climbed back above $76,000 and is holding around the key $76,200 level, showing resilience following the Fed’s first 25 bps rate hike since 2023. ETH and ZEC are also joining the broader market recovery.
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve #LongYields5%NewNormal

Crypto just got another reality check.
The Fed raised rates by 25 basis points, and the reaction in crypto was immediate.
$BTC → swung around the $75K–$76K area
$ETH → moved between roughly $2.37K and $2.43K
$SOL → was slightly higher after the decision.
It's how differently these assets are reacting to the same environment.
Bitcoin is dealing with macro pressure.
Ethereum is trying to hold its position while risk appetite changes.
Solana is still attracting attention despite the broader U

Crypto just got another reality check.
The Fed raised rates by 25 basis points, and the reaction in crypto was immediate.
$BTC → swung around the $75K–$76K area
$ETH → moved between roughly $2.37K and $2.43K
$SOL → was slightly higher after the decision.
It's how differently these assets are reacting to the same environment.
Bitcoin is dealing with macro pressure.
Ethereum is trying to hold its position while risk appetite changes.
Solana is still attracting attention despite the broader U
📌 Lesson: Right Entry + Patience = Profit
Kal $OP par 5x trade mein +15.67% move mila.
Ab focus $USDT ko idle rakhne ke bajaye smartly deploy karne par hai.
Option A → $USDT → X Stake ~10.12%
Option B → $USDT → Aave ~6.07%
💰 Capital ko blindly chase mat karo.
$OKB jese exchange tokens ko watch karo, aur $BTC ke liye dry powder ready rakho.
Mere liye smart money ka simple framework:
$BTC → Core
$USDT → Liquidity
$OKB → Ecosystem exposure
Patience bhi position hoti hai.
Agree? 👇
The Fed just ended three years of stillness. First hike since July 2023.
The FOMC voted 12-0 to raise the federal funds rate by 25bps, bringing the target range to 3.75%-4.00%. Chair Warsh said inflation is "too high and has been for too long." The market had largely priced it in, with hike odds near 93% by decision day after hot August inflation data helped flip expectations.
But the hike itself is not the story. The dot plot is.
The new median dot implies one more 25bps hike before year-end, putting December firmly in play. The updated projections:
· PCE inflation is now seen at 3.7% for end-2026, up from 3.6% in June
· Core PCE rose to 3.4%, and the Fed does not expect inflation back at 2% until 2029
· Unemployment was revised down to 4.1%, while 2026 GDP growth moved up to 2.3%
· The longer-run fed funds rate projection rose to 3.2%, keeping higher-for-longer in the frame
Behind the inflation problem is an energy shock tied to the Iran conflict, with oil back above $100 and diesel prices elevated. The White House wants lower rates. The Fed delivered the opposite.
The 10-year Treasury yield briefly crossed 5% before the decision, then pulled back toward 4.96%. In H1 2026, US spot BTC ETFs saw about $5.4B in net outflows as BTC fell from the mid-$90K area in January to the low-$60K area in May. The CLARITY Act also failed its Senate cloture vote 49-50 one day before the Fed, pulling a key regulatory catalyst off the table.
Bitcoin briefly popped after the announcement, then gave the move back. Nobody heard a Fed that thinks the job is finished. Warsh also avoided committing to a fixed path, keeping the next move data-dependent.
The Q4 setup: rates higher, oil elevated, yields near 5%, ETF demand fragile and regulatory progress stalled. That is not an easy soft-landing setup.
Which matters more for BTC into Q4: the dot plot, ETF flows, or regulatory uncertainty?
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23

📊 Post-FOMC Market Update
The market is stabilizing after the Fed’s 25bp hike, which was largely priced in.
$BTC → $75.9K | Support: $75K
$ETH → $2.40K | Still weak
$SOL → $97.4 | Risk appetite low
$XRP → $1.28 | Weakest major
$ZEC → $1.22K | Relative strength
Total market cap: $2.60T
BTC dominance: 58.5%
$BTC holding $75K remains key for market stability.
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve

🚨 FED JUST HIKE RATES — SO WHY DIDN’T BTC CRASH?
The Fed delivered the expected 25 bps rate hike, but the real market drama came afterward. 👀
The dot plot and Powell’s hawkish tone made one thing clear: inflation is still a concern, rates may stay higher for longer, and further hikes remain possible.
So why didn’t Bitcoin collapse?
Because the hike was already priced in.
#OutcomesOnOrbit #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve

$BTC / $ETH post-Fed 📊
Fed hiked 25bps. Unanimous. Warsh hawkish.
Priced in. No panic dump. No melt-up.
$BTC — around $75.8K.
Wick $75.3K. $76K is still broken.
Support: $75K. Lose it, and $73K is next.
Bulls need $77.5K back. $80K is not in play.
$ETH — around $2.38K.
Range $2.37–$2.43 after the print.
$2.45K is still resistance. $2.35K is the floor.
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalates

🔥 RATES CAN RISE. BUT CONFIDENCE DECIDES WHERE THE MONEY GOES.
The Fed raised rates by 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00%.
And yet, $BTC and $ETH are still showing relative strength.
That’s the part many traders overlook.
Higher rates make money more expensive, but they don’t automatically kill a bull trend. If investors still believe in future growth, capital can continue flowing into risk assets—even when monetary conditions get tighter.
#DailyOrbit
