
#SandiskValuationSplit
About SandiskValuationSplit
After gaining over 8% on Investor Day and long-term deal hopes, Sandisk fell as much as 9.18% after the Aug 18 open. Micron, Western Digital, Seagate and SK Hynix lost over 7%, signaling a broad storage reset. BofA says Sandisk's long-term growth and margin targets may guide Micron's valuation, as AI and HBM demand could move memory beyond cyclical pricing. Can Sandisk's deals of up to five years deliver stable revenue, high margins and cash returns, or is valuation compression just starting?
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#闪迪回落逾9%, розбіжність у оцінках у сховищах посилилася
Фундаментальні показники SNDK не погіршилися; після безперервного зростання вона зазнала потрійного охолодження оцінки, отримання прибутку та ліквідності фондового ринку США.
Враховуючи вчорашній аналіз, що SNDK успішно відскочив до сильного рівня підтримки відступу настроїв 1550-1600, доки SNDK утримується вище $1500, середньострокова зростаюча структура залишиться незмінною.
Ранні короткі позиції на цьому рівні можна розглядати як фіксацію прибутку, з обережністю як основним підходом, очікуючи можливості для пробного періоду праворуч. Велика ведмежа свічка минулої ночі щойно повернулася до верхнього краю попередньої зони концентрації чіпа.
Тут потрібно перевірити, чи може початковий рівень опору стати підтримкою. Наразі це більше схоже на отримання прибутку та оборот чипів після швидкого зростання, і типова топ-структура досі відсутня.
Далі зосередимося на трьох ключових позиціях:
$1600: Поділити між биками і ведмедями.
Утримання цієї позиції означає лише зупинку падіння; лише коли вона знову підніметься вище $1680–$1700, відскок підтверджується.
$1500: Зупинка тренду.
Фізична ціна за 4 години провалилася, перехід зверху вниз зазнав невдачі, а середньострокова бичача логіка є недійсною.
Щодо діапазону $1420–$1450, хоча підтримка трендової лінії існує, ми можемо лише повторювати і не можемо додавати позиції механічно.
Отже, мій план такий: чекати на сигнали стабілізації між $1550 і $1600, і малі позиції спробують помилитися; $1500 як логічна ціль стоп-лоссу; Якщо він відновиться вище $1700, розгляньте можливість додавання нових позицій.
Це не підходить для великих позицій, щоб передбачати розворот, і немає потреби оголошувати кінець ринку лише за великими ведмежими свічками. Спочатку подивіться, чи є підтримка на $1600, а потім нехай ціна дасть відповідь. $SNDK $BTC

$SNDK macro cycle of easy exponential gains has officially closed. Down over 99% from peak levels, structural unlock emissions and continuous leverage unwinds keep retail capital trapped beneath heavy supply walls.
While narrative peers like $BICO,$BEAT, $ALLO ,$KAITO , and $APR capitalized on returning market liquidity to construct solid recovery setups,$SNDK continues to bleed witUntil smart money shows clear spot accumulation #XiaomiEarningsWatch #30YYieldHits2007High #SanDiskLongTermDeals

$SNDK shows that there was heavy selling pressure in the first ten minutes after the market opened, but it was all absorbed, indicating that the pullback ends here. Today, it is highly likely to push towards 1800.
I don't understand, I have a short position around 1731, and I feel it's a pity to take profit because I can't predict the rise or fall. In my view, the current selling pressure on the market has been absorbed, #XiaomiQ2Earnings #30YYieldHits2007High #SanDiskLongTermDeals
$SNDK: Recovery Still Needs Proof ⚠️
$SNDK remains under heavy supply pressure after its steep structural decline, with spot demand still failing to establish a convincing floor.
Meanwhile, $BICO, $BEAT, $ALLO, $KAITO and $APR have shown stronger recovery structures as capital rotates.
For $SNDK, the key missing ingredient is clear: sustained spot accumulation.
Until demand strengthens and price stabilizes, chasing a long remains a high-risk bet.
$SNDK
#SandiskValuationSplit
Sandisk’s reversal from an Investor Day gain of more than 8% to a decline of as much as 9.18% after the Aug. 18 open looks less like a verdict on one company than a sector-wide reassessment: Micron, Western Digital, Seagate and SK Hynix also lost over 7%.
The valuation split is clear. Deals lasting up to five years could improve revenue visibility, while AI and HBM demand may support stronger margins beyond the usual memory cycle. But long-term targets only deserve a premium if they translate into durable cash returns. For now, the market appears to be raising the burden of proof across storage, not abandoning the thesis entirely. Not advice, just analysis.
#SandiskValuationSplit
SNDK remains highly volatile after its recent surge. Today’s move has brought it back toward the $1,600 area, which is an important near-term level.
Simple view:
Above ~$1,600 → rebound can stay intact.
Below it → $1,500 becomes the next downside area to watch.
After such a large run, taking some profit can reduce risk.
The longer-term AI/storage story remains strong, but the stock can still swing sharply.

$SNDK shows that there was heavy selling pressure in the first ten minutes after the market opened, but it was all absorbed, indicating that the pullback ends here. Today, it is highly likely to push towards 1800.
I don't understand, I have a short position around 1731, and I feel it's a pity to take profit because I can't predict the rise or fall. In my view, the current selling pressure on the market has been absorbed#XiaomiQ2Earnings #30YYieldHits2007High #SanDiskLongTermDeals
⚠️ $SNDK JUST HIT THE BRAKES
SanDisk fell back below $1,700 today, ending a six-day winning streak after its explosive August rally.
The long-term storage story remains strong, but momentum is being tested.
After such a massive run, the question is no longer:
“Can SNDK rally?”
It's:
How much of the good news is already priced in?
🔥 Continuation or 🩸 profit-taking?
#XiaomiQ2Earnings #30YYieldHits2007High

$SNDK shows that there was heavy selling pressure in the first ten minutes after the market opened, but it was all absorbed, indicating that the pullback ends here. Today, it is highly likely to push towards 1800.
I don't understand, I have a short position around 1731, and I feel it's a pity to take profit because I can't predict the rise or fall. In my view, the current selling pressure on the market has been absorbed, #XiaomiQ2Earnings #30YYieldHits2007High #SanDiskLongTermDeals

$SNDK overall pre-market in the US stock market dropped quite a bit today. My short position also returned to break-even profit, from despair yesterday to a calm mood today. It should be that the long positions were closed to take profits. Recently, in just a few days, the index went from forming a big dip to breaking new highs in just a week, and the profit-taking is obviou#XiaomiEarningsWatch #30YYieldHits2007High #SanDiskLongTermDeals

$SNDK overall pre-market in the US stock market dropped quite a bit today. My short position also returned to break-even profit, from despair yesterday to a calm mood today. It should be that the long positions were closed to take profits. Recently, in just a few days, the index went from forming a big dip to breaking new highs in just a week, and the profit-taking is obvious.
#XiaomiEarningsWatch #30YYieldHits2007High #SanDiskLongTermDeals